RE: Better late than never (Lowpe (J) vs tiemanj (A))
Posted: Tue Jan 13, 2015 2:29 am
Submarine Tactics
I've been doing a lot of analysis lately, and I'll start sharing some of the results as I get the chance. A while back, I did a study on successful (and not so successful) sub attacks to try to trick out what helps and what hurts. One thing I found was that high naval skill, low aggression skippers tended to do better in shallow water. Maybe they don't attack as much, but when they do, they are less likely to get wacked. So I took about half a dozen boats, replaced their skippers and sent them into the shallows of the western South China Sea. And they ran smack into a bunch of DDs escorting CAs. Doh! So an extension to this rule is necessary. Don't fight DDs (at least not without working torpedos). That said, none were lost (except 1 that I left on "direct" routing who stumbled into the minefield at Singapore), and 2 managed to sink a few large xAKs in the Straights of Malacca. So not really a success, but not a total failure. Now that I have working fish (or will by the time they arrive), I've sent another wolfpack to the southern Malacca Straights to see what they could scare up.
A second observation during my original study was that the lower the DL on the sub was prior to the attack, the more likely he was to attack a juicer target (and not an escort). Depressingly, one thing I can't study is the effect of DL on the target TF in terms of getting better attacks and better results. However, I have adjust my sub deployments, and I would like to think I am getting good results.
What I noticed in the Akagi attack was that successful was not the first attack on the TF of the night. Morton, in the Scamp (?) attacked the same TF at least once, and possibly twice (hard to tell, he just attacked escorts - but in 1 attack I saw the same DD that later counterattacked Rasher). Only after these attacks was Rasher able to get one home on Akagi. The same dynamic was at work in the Shokaku attack. I don't remember the subs names, but some attacked first, then someone else found pay dirt.
And finally, in the Kaga attack, first Hake strikes at the escorts, followed by S-35.
While I can't directly measure it, it seems even more important than DL on your sub (both the Akagi and Kaga attacks happened with subs with a high DL under enemy aircover), is DL on the enemy TF (profound, I know[:)]). What I think is happening is that the first sub (and possibly more, as each of these attacks took place where there were more subs in the area that did not attack) raises the DL of the enemy TF. With a high DL another sub is able to get in a good spread. Even with crap torpedos, this good spread (4-6 well aimed shots) is consistently scoring 3-4 hits... and odds are 1 will go boom.
As a result (actually, I started after the make a point of it after the Shokaku attack), I've been deploying my subs in wolfpacks - or multiple subs in interlocking patrol zones (one sub per TF). Patrols are usually in a slash pattern across an expected shipping route (or if I have a lot of subs or very good suspicion of his path, I'll just place multiple subs along that path). The slash for the next boat is right over / under the last boat. I'll continue to use this tactic in the coming months, and see how well it pans out.
I've been doing a lot of analysis lately, and I'll start sharing some of the results as I get the chance. A while back, I did a study on successful (and not so successful) sub attacks to try to trick out what helps and what hurts. One thing I found was that high naval skill, low aggression skippers tended to do better in shallow water. Maybe they don't attack as much, but when they do, they are less likely to get wacked. So I took about half a dozen boats, replaced their skippers and sent them into the shallows of the western South China Sea. And they ran smack into a bunch of DDs escorting CAs. Doh! So an extension to this rule is necessary. Don't fight DDs (at least not without working torpedos). That said, none were lost (except 1 that I left on "direct" routing who stumbled into the minefield at Singapore), and 2 managed to sink a few large xAKs in the Straights of Malacca. So not really a success, but not a total failure. Now that I have working fish (or will by the time they arrive), I've sent another wolfpack to the southern Malacca Straights to see what they could scare up.
A second observation during my original study was that the lower the DL on the sub was prior to the attack, the more likely he was to attack a juicer target (and not an escort). Depressingly, one thing I can't study is the effect of DL on the target TF in terms of getting better attacks and better results. However, I have adjust my sub deployments, and I would like to think I am getting good results.
What I noticed in the Akagi attack was that successful was not the first attack on the TF of the night. Morton, in the Scamp (?) attacked the same TF at least once, and possibly twice (hard to tell, he just attacked escorts - but in 1 attack I saw the same DD that later counterattacked Rasher). Only after these attacks was Rasher able to get one home on Akagi. The same dynamic was at work in the Shokaku attack. I don't remember the subs names, but some attacked first, then someone else found pay dirt.
And finally, in the Kaga attack, first Hake strikes at the escorts, followed by S-35.
While I can't directly measure it, it seems even more important than DL on your sub (both the Akagi and Kaga attacks happened with subs with a high DL under enemy aircover), is DL on the enemy TF (profound, I know[:)]). What I think is happening is that the first sub (and possibly more, as each of these attacks took place where there were more subs in the area that did not attack) raises the DL of the enemy TF. With a high DL another sub is able to get in a good spread. Even with crap torpedos, this good spread (4-6 well aimed shots) is consistently scoring 3-4 hits... and odds are 1 will go boom.
As a result (actually, I started after the make a point of it after the Shokaku attack), I've been deploying my subs in wolfpacks - or multiple subs in interlocking patrol zones (one sub per TF). Patrols are usually in a slash pattern across an expected shipping route (or if I have a lot of subs or very good suspicion of his path, I'll just place multiple subs along that path). The slash for the next boat is right over / under the last boat. I'll continue to use this tactic in the coming months, and see how well it pans out.




