Damn... and here I was at work missing all the live action [:D][:D][:D]
Oh, well better late than never!
@Chez:
quote:
Of course, you wouldn't know anything about how the game really works, would you?
I know alot more about how WitP works than you know about World War Two history.
Oooh, I'm deeply wounded! But you're right... I am ignorant of your version of WWII history... you know, your version of history that says the Japanese should never have won a single battle anywhere, anytime or in anyway. To hear you tell it, Pearl Harbor should have been a resounding Amercan victory. And to think the rest of us have been reading all those lies by Lundstrom, Shores, Bergstrom, Parshall et al.
(Speaking of Shores, where is that breakdown of aerial losses you promised us from Shores books? I can only assume that your failure to post it must have been because it didn't support your version of history. Could that be it? Or were you just lying about doing the work?
The rest of the WW2 ac project attends to USAAF losses in the China,Burma,Indonesia, Australia campaign and getting *good* information on that is a challenge. There are the Shores et al "Bloody Shambles" pair. Lots of detail but very weak on supporting data (no footnotes, no end notes, and no citations in re sources for losses given on specific dates). I have found a couple instances where USAAF official loss records simply bear no resemblance to Shores et al. So Bloody Sham v1 and v2 are questionable sources as to losses, at least for the US units. In turn, that means that the WW2 A.C. project is going to be a long, hard slog. So don't expect the summary stats any time soon.
Ah.. So that's what's going on. Oh, I see the plan now... discredit the sources first... good idea![:-]
In particular engagement of one of the US wings (VF2) at low power setting at Coral Sea owing to the extreme range of the combat. Absent that, I suspect, the USN's victory ratio vs A6Ms at Coral Sea would have been something like 2:1.
Oh, can't have that can we? Got to throw out any fact that slews the result away from your preconceived notion, right? Just like you wanted to throw out the air combat over Darwin with the P-40s and Zeros. [:-]
Show me a fellow who rejects statistical analysis a priori and I'll show you a fellow who has no knowledge of statistics.
What do you call someone who fails to produce those statistics that he said he would? [8|]
quote:
I said:
yeah... okay..NOT! That would only be true if the general level of experience of Japanese and Allied pilots and the aircraft mix were similar to those that participated in the real battle.
mdiehl replied:
There's one man's opinion.
And probably the opinion of most others who have even a passing knowledge of the airwar in the Pacific... something you semm to be singularly lacking. (oh, darn... and I was going to take the high road!)
quote:
I said:
If the Japanese player is able to keep experienced pilots alive into 1944, they should perform much better than the poorly trained RL participants.
mdiehl replaied:
I disagree. In 1943, veteran zero drivers were routinely shot down by well-trained but combat-inexperience F6F drivers and F4U drivers. That is because those qualitative intangibles only go a long ways when the a.c. pitted against each other are roughly comparable. By 1943, the Zero was outdated. It was just barely capable of holding its own against lowly F4Fs through October 1942, despite the Zero pilots generally having more experience.
Only a moron would argue that experience doesn't matter. The vast majority of Japanese naval pilots lost after 1943 were very inexperienced, most having only 10-20 hours in type upon leaving flight school. These were the pilots that were slaughtered in places like the Marianas and the PI and that was due more to their lack of training than any major deficiency in their aircraft. There is no doubt that the Zero was well passed its prime by 1944 but in the hands of an experienced pilot, it was still a dangerous opponent.
Pilots like Sakai, Iwamoto, Okumura, Okabe and Kanno all held their own against the best the US had to throw at them in 1944 and 1945 and they were flying these antiquated Zeros. Take a look at the Japanese naval ace list and see just how many of those died in the war. Indeed only 6 of the top 50 Japanese naval aces were killed in combat.
Of course, you probably won't do that because it doesn't fit your preconceived notions that thinks inexperienced US pilots blasted every experienced Japanese pilot in every encounter.
Uber CAP is a problem throughout the war in pretty much every iteration of WitP, but Japanese players don't seem to complain about being able to use Uber CAP in 1942 as far as I can tell. And yes lots of ships were lost to leakers. Not only in 1944 but indeed in 1942. The problem is that small numbers of a.c. have difficulty penetrating any cap. It's one of the details that makes the "Kido Butai Death Star" such an (ahistorically) attractive option for the Japanese, and one of the (several) reasons why the Japanese player routinely takes substantially more ground in WitP than they historically could.
And you would know about WitP ubercap in every iteration how? What is your experience with mid-late war ubercap? Just from reading the forum probably... certainly isn't from playing the game.
The problem with WitP is that it doesn't matter how large the strike is against a US carrier TF once the Corsair arrives. 10 planes or 500 planes attacking. They will all be shot down regardless of the experience level of the pilots involved and that my dear uninformed friend is the crux of the problem with the game.
You claim that the "Kido Butai Death Star" in WitP has the same effect in 1942. I submit to you that you don't know what you are talking about. You have no basis for comparison, certainly no personal experience with which to compare. KBDS can be deadly to be sure to those players wishing to impale themselves upon its sword. But KB's CAP is not invincible at any point in the game, unlike the late-war US CAP which is impervious to all strikes of any size. And if KB becomes so engaged, it will suffer air losses to such a large degree that it will be out of action for months while it retrains, much like the Zuikaku and Coral Sea.
Of course, I don't expect anyone who has only played one very early version game (and quit in May 42) to know any of this. I mean, why let the facts get in your way? BTW, did you ever return that copy of WitP you "borrowed" and delete the game from your harddrive?
quote:
Terminus said: "To the unintiated this is what we call bait... "
mdiehl replied: To the well informed it's what we call an "observation." It's not "bait" to note that the experienced Japanese pilots of 1942 (we can all, I think, agree that the IJN pilots of much of 1942 through October were pretty experienced, and had more combat experience than their American counterparts) were just capable of holding their own (about 1:1 losses as I have compiled them) against the F4F (an aircraft that we may agree to be demonstrably inferior to the F4U in pretty much every respect), despite the fact that in the South and CenPac campaigns through August 1942 the Japanese generally had superior numbers.
"Observation" said the blind man. I assume that this is a comprehensive compilation that you are willing to post online in this forum for all to see. Or are you just going to give us your "nutshell" version once again. I also assume that if you have such a comprhensive compilation that it includes date, time, place, pilot, aircraft flown and most importantly your references so that we may see you aren't using just Martin Caidin??? Or would that once again be too much to ask? Or is it like your Malaya compilation you promised... non-existant (except in your own mind).
As far as the Japanese having superior numbers go... try again. Take at look at the number of carrier aircraft available to both sides at Coral Sea and Midway. You'll find that the numbers were pretty equal. Then throw in the number of US land-based aircraft at Midway and it swings towards the American side.
Given all that, why would anyone expect the same Japanese pilots flying the same a.c. in 1943 to do substantially well against equally or better trained USN pilots, most of whom had more combat experience or in some cases advanced tactical school training (than USN pilots of of 1942) in a far superior machine?
You sure know how to twist one's words. No one is saying that the A6M was going to sweep the sky in 1943. But to say that experienced Japanese pilots in A6Ms could not be successful against Hellcats and Corsairs is to ignore history as Sakai along with several other aces demonstrated on several occasions over Iwo Jima and the home islands in late 44 and 45.
The Hellcat and Corsair were outstanding aircraft and when piloted by experienced aircrews were something to be feared by the average Japanese fighter pilot. These aircraft however were not invincible. Indeed the US lost 189 Corsairs to the IJNAF in air-air combat in 1944 (This does not include losses to AA or ops). It could have been worse had it not been for the dismal pilot training the Japanese had after mid-43. One need only to compare the prewar Japanese pilot training program with the 1943 program to know that the japanese had no hope of being victorious after 1942.
When comparing prewar training of both US and Japanese air forces, it would difficult, if not impossible to say that US naval pilot selection and training equalled, let alone bested, the Japanese naval pilot program. Japanese standards for pilot applicants were far more rigorous than were those in the US and the IJN pilot training program took over 2.5 years to complete whereas the prewar US pilot training program was less than 2 years. It wasn't until mid-42 when the Japanese loosened applicant standards and cut their pilot training program down to 10-12 months that US pilot training equalled the Japanese. And once the US advanced fighter schools opened in late 42, the Japanese pilot training program would never again be comparable to the US. And the situation only got worse as the Japanese further decreased pilot training time in mid-43. By mid-late 44, fuel and aircraft shortages resulted in most pilots receiving only 50 hours flight training with only about 10-20 hours in type. The US, on the other hand, was able to greatly expand its pilot training without a significant decrease in the quality of the training. And that was the key to the air war regardless of who was flying what.
Given the other US advantages such as radar, tactical innovation, unlimited logistical support and an endless stream of replacements, the conclusion was readily apparant. Even aircraft inferior to the Zero could offset the A6Ms advantages when radar was present. A perfect example is the F4F. Compare its effectiveness when under radar early warning and direction to those combats where radar wasn't a factor. The difference is night and day.
Ah... reinforcements! The more the merrier!
Doggie said:
The F-6F and F-4U could literally fly rings around the A6M.
Uh, not quite. Your statement implies that either could out turn the Zero. The A6M could still out turn either below 250mph but why let that get in the way. Suffice to say that the Hellcat and Corsair were substantially superior to the A6M and leave it at that.
Anyways, [>:][>:][>:]
Chez