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Not sure how you would represent it, but my understanding is that the single most important result of the two A-Bombs was to give the Emperor an excuse to bring his enormous prestige into the discussion of surrender. Put the military "die-hards" in an awkward position because as "protectors" of the Emperor they could hardly go against the Imperial wishes without revealing themselves for what they were---a bunch of moral cowards who would rather bring the entire nation to ruin than admit the war they started had been a total disaster. The idea of a drop in Japanese VP's sounds like a promising one.