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RE: What if Hitler had Conquered Britain?

Posted: Mon Nov 25, 2013 6:27 pm
by HexHead
ORIGINAL: AW1Steve

Germany barely was successful in taking Norway by sea. Even Hitler didn't have too much hope for taking the UK by sea. As he once said, "On land I am a lion , at sea, a coward". The allies nearly failed in several invasions in spite of having nearly total air supremacy , specialized landing craft and ships, lots of training and experience , and absolute MARITIME supremacy (think Anzio). A German attempt to carry out Sea lion would make Dieppe look like a church social.

and without the coffee & donuts.

RE: What if Hitler had Conquered Britain?

Posted: Mon Nov 25, 2013 6:31 pm
by AW1Steve
ORIGINAL: HexHead

ORIGINAL: AW1Steve

Germany barely was successful in taking Norway by sea. Even Hitler didn't have too much hope for taking the UK by sea. As he once said, "On land I am a lion , at sea, a coward". The allies nearly failed in several invasions in spite of having nearly total air supremacy , specialized landing craft and ships, lots of training and experience , and absolute MARITIME supremacy (think Anzio). A German attempt to carry out Sea lion would make Dieppe look like a church social.

and without the coffee & donuts.

If the Germans HAD coffee it would be ertzhad coffee!

RE: What if Hitler had Conquered Britain?

Posted: Mon Nov 25, 2013 8:18 pm
by spence
Germany barely was successful in taking Norway by sea.

And the Kreigsmarine took pretty severe losses doing so. There were relatively few escort type ships to protect the invasion fleet from RN light ships.

The video assumes a pretty optimistic schedule conquering Britian: roughly 40 days from invasion to the fall of London. Seems to depend on a rather lackadaisical defense or one in which the British population basically didn't care who was running the show.

The Luftwaffe was unable to inflict unacceptable losses on the RN when it evacuated the forces sent to Greece or again when it evacuated the forces on Crete. Admittedly evacuations don't win wars but in each case the Uk/Commonwealth forces got away to fight another day. Further, the RN fought through the Luftwaffe and Kreigsmarine to get the convoys through to Malta and Murmansk (most of the time). When fighting for the life of the homeland I think it is delusional to expect that the RN was not going accept horrendous losses to sink a German invasion. Germany had no great wealth of invasion shipping (and had to withdraw such shipping as it did have from the maintenance of the general European economy).

RE: What if Hitler had Conquered Britain?

Posted: Tue Nov 26, 2013 12:30 am
by Feltan
Yeah, yeah, yeah ......

BUT, if the Germans had been successful -- do you realize how much Monty Python would have sucked! The Krauts have no real sense of humor.

Regards,
Feltan

RE: What if Hitler had Conquered Britain?

Posted: Tue Nov 26, 2013 1:09 am
by witpqs
In the name of (stereotupical) efficiency, the poor Brits would have had to make due with the German pre-war joke.

"My dog has no nose."

"How does he smell?"

"Awful!"

RE: What if Hitler had Conquered Britain?

Posted: Tue Nov 26, 2013 4:20 am
by JeffroK
ORIGINAL: Feltan

Yeah, yeah, yeah ......

BUT, if the Germans had been successful -- do you realize how much Monty Python would have sucked! The Krauts have no real sense of humor.

Regards,
Feltan
But they would have had a better Soccer team!

RE: What if Hitler had Conquered Britain?

Posted: Tue Nov 26, 2013 6:12 am
by LargeSlowTarget
ORIGINAL: JeffK

ORIGINAL: Feltan

Yeah, yeah, yeah ......

BUT, if the Germans had been successful -- do you realize how much Monty Python would have sucked! The Krauts have no real sense of humor.

Regards,
Feltan
But they would have had a better Soccer team!

Image



But shht! There are Krauts on this forum - so don't mention the war!


RE: What if Hitler had Conquered Britain?

Posted: Tue Nov 26, 2013 7:26 am
by castor troy
ORIGINAL: Jorge_Stanbury

I didn't know it was their strategy to wait a bit.... but 4 to 6 divisions? no way... maybe 1 or 2 divisions and go very lightly equiped as the Japanese did early war (against tremendously light resistance)

it took the Allies significant resources and years or planning, trainning, preparing, etc. to achieve a 5-division invasion in 1944

And of couse German dive-bombing were top notch, but battleships were very tough targets; unless torpedoes are in the equation


couple of 500kg bombs on a BB will mission kill it. It's not always about sinking it, even if it only comes down to a certain number of bombs and fires plus other damage may sink the ship. And everything else in terms of ships can be sunk with bombs of that size. The Luftwaffe was probably a bigger threat to the RN than the Kriegsmarine was.

RE: What if Hitler had Conquered Britain?

Posted: Tue Nov 26, 2013 8:56 am
by Jorge_Stanbury
Stukas carried 250kg bombs. so we are talking Junkers, Heinkels or Dorniers... as far as I know these were all "glide" bombers so easier (bigger target) to kill than real dive bombers.
And hitting a warship "cost" many planes. the Luftwaffe would had started the campaign with many losses from the Battle of Britain. not to mention the need to support the ground troops if a beachhead was achieved

The Luftwaffe would had certainly damaged the RN; significantly more than the Kriegsmarine. But as Spence mentioned, their record on Greece, Malta, Norway and convoys (Murmansk and Malta) was never crippling.. capable of inflicting damage but never to fully stop the RN.










RE: What if Hitler had Conquered Britain?

Posted: Tue Nov 26, 2013 9:04 am
by Encircled
We'd have had a better football team?

Hell, we should have surrendered!

RE: What if Hitler had Conquered Britain?

Posted: Tue Nov 26, 2013 9:05 am
by castor troy
ORIGINAL: Jorge_Stanbury

Stukas carried 250kg bombs. so we are talking Junkers, Heinkels or Dorniers... as far as I know these were all "glide" bombers so easier (bigger target) to kill than real dive bombers.
And hitting a warship "cost" many planes. the Luftwaffe would had started the campaign with many losses from the Battle of Britain. not to mention the need to support the ground troops if a beachhead was achieved

The Luftwaffe would had certainly damaged the RN; significantly more than the Kriegsmarine. But as Spence mentioned, their record on Greece, Malta, Norway and convoys (Murmansk and Malta) was never crippling.. capable of inflicting damage but never to fully stop the RN.


Stukas wouldn't carry 250kg bombs plus their 50kg bombs for anti shipping strikes on major RN assets. A Stuka could (but barely ever did) carry a 1000kg bomb.

As to your mentioned examples like Malta etc., well, how much of the Luftwaffe was involved in these attacks? You may think that after beating the RAF the main purpose of the Luftwaffe would be to fend off the RN, not using one or two squadrons for this task. And I never said they would stop the RN, I said the Luftwaffe would be a bigger threat to the RN than the Kriegsmarine in case of an invasion.

RE: What if Hitler had Conquered Britain?

Posted: Tue Nov 26, 2013 9:38 am
by Encircled
The Luftwaffe stopped the coastal convoys through the channel

Well, it was a combination of losses and the realisation that it would be much more sensible to move the cargoes by rail.

Basically, its back to what actually happened. The Luftwaffe had to beat the RAF for an invasion to be even remotely possible, and as that never happened, it was a non starter

RE: What if Hitler had Conquered Britain?

Posted: Tue Nov 26, 2013 9:45 am
by Tellboy24
Interesting discussion going on here. From my reading of Churchill, the navy was to give the German navy a good going over during the invasion and the re-supply efforts, on the basis that they may be able to weaken the initial attack and then "starve" the assault forces of supplies and force a surrender.

The reality though was to save as much of the navy as a fighting force as possible, and move the command to Canada and / or Australia to continue the fight from there. Remember, the empire was large at that stage, and although the uk would be occupied, there would still have been a good starting point from which to continue the struggle, with large industrial resources to back those up.

Regarding the British defending the UK, don't forget that a lot of heavy equipment was lost in France, and although the manpower was coming through quite quickly, there was minimal stocks of rifles and ammunition to supply the troops. Some ingenious anti invasion weapons were designed, which would have had a serious effect on the invasion forces, but would it have slowed them down significantly, I'm not too sure...

RE: What if Hitler had Conquered Britain?

Posted: Tue Nov 26, 2013 10:43 am
by Jorge_Stanbury
A lot of the equipment was lost, but then the Germans would not be in a position to land anything close to blitzkrieg war machine that ravaged Europe. With their amphibious capabilities we are talking something closer to what the Japanese were able to land on Guadalcanal (riflemen, light artillery, very limited supplies).

Moreover, imagine the kind of sustained night naval bombardment that the RN could achieve.

RE: What if Hitler had Conquered Britain?

Posted: Tue Nov 26, 2013 11:04 am
by Apollo11
Hi all,

We had interesting thread about this few times... here is the last one (started by you 21 months ago [;)])...

"OT: Operation Sealion"
tm.asp?m=3087002



Re-post of my post from there:


War is won by logistics! [;)]

Germans could have trid the Sealion invasion and they might have succesfull landing in England - but they would be doomed there because the landed troops would eventually run out of ammo, fuel and supplies... [:D]

The Germans never had Mullbery harbours - they simply had to rely on capturing some ports in England - and to think that such port would be able to be defended agianst everything British would have thrown against it is impossible dearm for Germans!

BTW, there is one nice war game conducted in the, I think 1970's...
Operation Sealion - summary of an exercise held at the Staff College, Sandhurst in 1974.


Image


The full text is in 'Sealion' by Richard Cox. The scenario
is based on the known plans of each side, plus previously
unpublished Admiralty weather records for September 1940.
Each side (played by British and German officers respectively)
was based in a command room, and the actual moves plotted
on a scale model of SE England constructed at the School
of Infantry. The panel of umpires included Adolf Galland,
Admiral Friedrich Ruge, Air Chief Marshal Sir Christopher
Foxley-Norris, Rear Admiral Edward Gueritz, General Heinz
Trettner and Major General Glyn Gilbert.

The main problem the Germans face is that are a) the
Luftwaffe has not yet won air supremacy; b) the possible
invasion dates are constrained by the weather and tides
(for a high water attack) and c) it has taken until
late September to assemble the necessary shipping.

Glossary
FJ = Fallschirmjaeger (German paratroops)
MTB = Motor Torpedo Boat (German equivalent, E-Boat)
DD = Destroyer
CA = Heavy Cruiser
BB = Battleship
CV = Aircraft Carrier

22nd September - morning
The first wave of a planned 330,000 men hit the beaches
at dawn. Elements of 9 divisions landed between
Folkestone and Rottingdean (near Brighton).
In addition 7th FJ Div landed at Lympne to take the airfield.

The invasion fleet suffered minor losses from MTBs during
the night crossing, but the RN had already lost one
CA and three DDs sunk, with one CA and two DDs damaged,
whilst sinking three German DDs. Within hours of the landings
which overwhelmed the beach defenders, reserve formations
were despatched to Kent. Although there were 25 divisions
in the UK, only 17 were fully equipped, and only three
were based in Kent, however the defence plan relied on
the use of mobile reserves and armoured and mechanised
brigades were committed as soon as the main landings were
identified.

Meanwhile the air battle raged, the Luftwaffe flew 1200
fighter and 800 bomber sorties before 1200 hrs. The RAF
even threw in training planes hastily armed with bombs,
but the Luftwaffe were already having problems with their
short ranged Me 109s despite cramming as many as possible
into the Pas de Calais.

22nd - 23rd September
The Germans had still not captured a major port, although
they started driving for Folkestone. Shipping unloading
on the beaches suffered heavy losses from RAF bombing
raids and then further losses at their ports in France.

The U-Boats, Luftwaffe and few surface ships had lost
contact with the RN, but then a cruiser squadron with
supporting DDs entered the Channel narrows and had to
run the gauntlet of long range coastal guns, E-Boats
and 50 Stukas. Two CAs were sunk and one damaged. However
a diversionary German naval sortie from Norway was
completely destroyed and other sorties by MTBS and DDs
inflicted losses on the shipping milling about in the
Channel. German shipping losses on the first day
amounted to over 25% of their invasion fleet, especially
the barges, which proved desperately unseaworthy.

23rd Sept dawn - 1400 hrs.
The RAF had lost 237 planes out 1048 (167 fighters and
70 bombers), and the navy had suffered enough losses such
that it was keeping its BBs and CVs back, but large
forces of DDs and CAs were massing. Air recon showed a
German buildup in Cherbourg and forces were diverted to
the South West.

The German Navy were despondant about their losses,
especially as the loss of barges was seriously
dislocating domestic industry. The Army and Airforce
commanders were jubilant however, and preperations for
the transfer of the next echelon continued along with
the air transport of 22nd Div, despite Luftwaffe losses
of 165 fighters and 168 bombers. Out of only 732 fighters
and 724 bombers these were heavy losses. Both sides
overestimated losses inflicted by 50%.

The 22nd Div airlanded successfully at Lympne, although
long range artillery fire directed by a stay-behind
commando group interdicted the runways. The first British
counterattacks by 42nd Div supported by an armoured
brigade halted the German 34th Div in its drive on Hastings.
7th Panzer Div was having difficulty with extensive
anti-tank obstacles and assault teams armed with sticky
bombs etc. Meanwhile an Australian Div had retaken
Newhaven (the only German port), however the New Zealand
Div arrived at Folkestone only to be attacked in the
rear by 22nd Airlanding Div. The division fell back on
Dover having lost 35% casualties.

Sep 23rd 1400 - 1900 hrs
Throughout the day the Luftwaffe put up a maximum effort,
with 1500 fighter and 460 bomber sorties, but the RAF
persisted in attacks on shipping and airfields. Much of
this effort was directed for ground support and air
resupply, despite Adm Raeders request for more aircover
over the Channel. The Home Fleet had pulled out of air
range however, leaving the fight in the hands of 57 DDs
and 17 CAs plus MTBs. The Germans could put very little
surface strength against this. Waves of DDs and CAs
entered the Channel, and although two were sunk by U-Boats,
they sank one U-Boat in return and did not stop. The German
flotilla at Le Havre put to sea (3 DD, 14 E-Boats) and at
dusk intercepted the British, but were wiped out, losing
all their DDs and 7 E-Boats.

The Germans now had 10 divisions ashore, but in many
cases these were incomplete and waiting for their
second echelon to arrive that night. The weather
was unsuitable for the barges however, and the decision
to sail was referred up the chain of command.

23rd Sep 1900 - Sep 24th dawn
The Fuhrer Conference held at 1800 broke out into bitter
inter-service rivalry - the Army wanted their second
echelon sent, and the navy protesting that the
weather was unsuitable, and the latest naval defeat
rendered the Channel indefensible without air support.
Goring countered this by saying it could only be done
by stopped the terror bombing of London, which in turn
Hitler vetoed. The fleet was ordered to stand by.

The RAF meanwhile had lost 97 more fighters leaving only
440. The airfields of 11 Group were cratered ruins, and
once more the threat of collapse, which had receded in
early September, was looming. The Luftwaffe had lost
another 71 fighters and 142 bombers. Again both sides
overestimated losses inflicted, even after allowing for
inflated figures.

On the ground the Germans made good progress towards Dover
and towards Canterbury, however they suffered reverses
around Newhaven when the 45th Div and Australians
attacked. At 2150 Hitler decided to launch the second wave,
but only the short crossing from Calais and Dunkirk. By
the time the order reached the ports, the second wave
could not possibly arrive before dawn. The 6th and 8th
divisions at Newhaven, supplied from Le Havre, would not
be reinforced at all.

Sep 24th dawn - Sep 28th
The German fleet set sail, the weather calmed, and U-Boats,
E-Boats and fighters covered them. However at daylight 5th
destroyer flotilla found the barges still 10 miles off
the coast and tore them to shreds. The Luftwaffe in turn
committed all its remaining bombers, and the RAF responded
with 19 squadrons of fighters. The Germans disabled two
CAs and four DDs, but 65% of the barges were sunk. The
faster steamers broke away and headed for Folkestone,
but the port had been so badly damaged that they could
only unload two at a time.

The failure on the crossing meant that the German
situation became desperate. The divisions had sufficient
ammunition for 2 to 7 days more fighting, but without
extra men and equipment could not extend the bridgehead.
Hitler ordered the deployment on reserve units to Poland
and the Germans began preparations for an evacuation as
further British arracks hemmed them in tighter. Fast
steamers and car ferries were assembled for evacuation
via Rye and Folkestone. Of 90,000 troops who landed
on 22nd september, only 15,400 returned to France, the rest
were killed or captured.


Leo "Apollo11"

RE: What if Hitler had Conquered Britain?

Posted: Tue Nov 26, 2013 1:16 pm
by wodin
The British never had a big standing army like the other European Nations..pre WW1 we where used to small conflicts with local natives and that is the way our Army was organised (Hence Kaiser comment about our Contemptible little Army). Only pre WW1 and with War on the horizon did we start looking at increasing the Army and getting the young boys already trained up for Officer material through the Officer Cadets in school. When War broke out we still had a tiny Army compared to our neighbors. We also had no national service unlike France and Germany so our civilians had no military training at all. After WW1 I'm not sure if we went back to pre WW1 figures or kept abit more but again at the start of WW2 we had a small Army compared to France and Germany, we did however keep National Service up until the late fifties. The present day again we are seeing our Army shrink to really nothing and are going to be reliant of Territorials.

So though we had a huge Empire we had a very small Army to manage it. The Sea and the Royal navy made us feel safe and secure and so a large Army was not needed..or they thought not needed.

The scary thing is both preWW1 and preWW2 we were cutting back our Armed Forces and both times it damaged us when War broke out..again we hear the cry we don't need a reasonable size Army..and so it's being cut to almost nothing aswell as our Navy. Infact all Argentina needs to do is wait another ten years or so and they can stroll into the Falklands and we wont have the ships to do anything about it.


ORIGINAL: TulliusDetritus
ORIGINAL: HexHead

Churchill's government (a 'national' gov't under British procedures - there was no election, recall, Churchill succeeded to the PM's post) had made it about as clear as one can make it that there were to be no negotiations with the Hitlerite cabal.

Something about Naziism being eradicated from the face of the earth, IIRC. The RN was, if necessary, to remove to the western hemisphere to keep a fleet-in-being intact.

But eradicated by whom exactly? Not by the British. Why did they mobilize so few divisions (this always striked me: The British Empire was no small country. They had many resources)? Political decision taken very soon [;)] As if... somehow... sooner or later someone else might "eradicate" them. Namely the Red Army and eventually the Americans...

Read Churchill again. He mentions something like "we would hate to give the ships... but...". Ok, let's pretend he never said it. But we have to pay attention to a pure rhetorical piece: the eradicate speech thing. And this despite the British were TOTALLY uncapable of eradicating the Germans alone in the first place [:D]

This is the crude real world, politics, not Walt Dysney, mate [8D]

RE: What if Hitler had Conquered Britain?

Posted: Tue Nov 26, 2013 1:18 pm
by Jorge_Stanbury

9 divisions... crossing the channel directly from France... on barges [X(].... ouch




RE: What if Hitler had Conquered Britain?

Posted: Tue Nov 26, 2013 1:47 pm
by TulliusDetritus
ORIGINAL: wodin

The British never had a big standing army like the other European Nations..pre WW1 we where used to small conflicts with local natives and that is the way our Army was organised (Hence Kaiser comment about our Contemptible little Army).

Wodin, that was a well calculated political decision. The British Empire consistently followed that path since the Napoleonic Wars (and even before, the 7 Years War). The doctrine was really simple: the navy would block the continent, a continental ally would put the hundred/s of divisions to actually defeat the enemy. And of course a small force would be sent to fight along that continental ally (the BEF in WW1 and 2).

In WW1 this strategy failed and the British were forced to raise in the end a 90 divisions army (really well equipped etc. etc.). But the thing is, 2 decades later, just when hostilities began (WW2) the British cabinet decided they'd be following yet again the old, traditional doctrine.

In the end it always worked because they never ran out of these "continental" or "overseas" (the US) allies.

So the doctrine proved to be right. If anything a little bit dangerous when France surrendered and the British Army heavy equipment was left behind at Dunkirk [:D] Ah the razor's edge... [8D]

RE: What if Hitler had Conquered Britain?

Posted: Tue Nov 26, 2013 5:08 pm
by sprior
The kriegsmarine in September 1940 could only muster 2 old pre-dreadnought battleships, 3 light cruisers, 7 destroyers and 30 torpedo boats. Hardly a great escort for 168 transports, 1910 barges, 419 tugs and trawlers and 1,600 motorboats.

Plus German production was disrupted by the conversion of Rhine barges to assault craft.

An interesting repercussion of the preparations for Sealion was the faulty positioning of German beach obstacles. The Germans believed that the allies would land, like they had planned to do, at high tide, thus allowing their craft to dry out and unload. In fact the allies landed on a rising tide to allow their craft to float off and to either return for another load or clear the beach for follow-up troops.

RE: What if Hitler had Conquered Britain?

Posted: Wed Nov 27, 2013 11:32 am
by CT Grognard
Operation Sealion would have been an utter disaster.

Here is an interesting link: http://www.wargaming.co/books/paddyspra ... ealion.htm