Saturday, December 13, 1941
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2005 5:11 am
[font="Courier New"]Saturday, December 13, 1941
Henry:
I am not feeling much better, and the news I got today did not help.
I was not prepared for Hong Kong to surrender so quickly. I was sitting at my desk going through the intel on the battle at Yenen when a sergeant from Intelligence gave me the news. I wasted an hour having it double checked.
That frees up hoard of units for Japan to use elsewhere. One division, two gun battalions, three mortar battalions, we can expect all of them to be showing up again shortly.
Japan also has a huge task force heading west through the South China Sea . . . a transport task force. How much would you like to bet that they are going to put a division or two at Pakhoi and reinforce Nanning?
Anyway, back to the matter at hand:
Losses
Naval
• AP President Madison. It was hit earlier by the Japanese light carrier as it tried to flee the Philippines.
Air
• Another air attack on the Manila airfield. The 24th Fighter Group puts a fair number of P-40s in the air, but the pilots go up against the Zeros, turn and run, leaving the bombers to have free reign.
• Del Monte airfield shelled again. Still, three heavy bombers got repaired and shipped off to Diamond Harbor in India.
Territory
• Hong Kong
• Victoria Point (the southernmost part of Burma)
• Alor Star (another part of the northern border of Malaya)
• Miri. This is on the northeaster coast of Borneo. I did not even know there was a Jap army in the area.
Reinforcements for the Next Week
I decided that this is going to be a regular part of my Saturday report, specifying what I have been told will be released to me during the next 7 days.
Sunday, Dec. 14th
• No new units released on this day.
Monday, Dec. 15th
• TK Gulfgem, San Francisco
Tuesday, Dec. 16th
• AK Wallingford, San Francisco
• AK American Packer, San Francisco
Wednesday, Dec. 17th
• CA Australia, Sydney
• TK Solana, San Francisco
• TK Caliche, San Francisco
• MSW Bellachase, Vancouver
Thursday, Dec. 18th
• DD Nestor, Karachi
• AS Sperry, San Francisco
• TK Matinicock, San Francisco
• 84 Squadron (16x Blenheim), Karachi
Friday, Dec . 19th
• DMS Chandler, Pearl Harbor
• TK Chilbar, San Francisco
• MSW Bungaree, Sydney
Saturday, Dec. 20th
• TK H.D. Collier, San Francisco
As you can see, I get no ground units, and only one air squadron in the whole theater. That is not much to work with. I am certainly losing more than I am gaining.
Kuching Ambush
I decided to increase the number of planes there from 87 to 168 -- flying a lot of planes out of Singapore to add to the Dutch planes that have gathered at the two airports.
Singkawang actually has a decent sized airport -- large enough to handle all of the airplanes that I have sent there. Now, there isn't the ground crew one would like to keep all of the planes flying, but that is going to be one of the casualties of war.
I look at it this way . . . it is our factories versus their factories. We can produce more airplanes -- a lot more airplanes. If we play rough with them and burn a few up, then we can always get more.
What Japan cannot get (at least so easily) are new ships.
So, I am more than happy to risk a bit of wear and tear on a dozen or two planes from rough treatment in order to do some damage to a few Japanese ships.
Number 1 Worry
My main concern now is that poor leadership or bad weather will turn the mission into a failure. What has me concerned is that the planes sitting at Singapore had been set up to attack the Japanese fleet at Khota Bharu in northern Malaya. They sat at Singapore for three days without doing anything -- all of them. That is not what I want to see happen at Singkawang, but it is what I fear will happen.
The weather tomorrow is actually supposed to be good -- just about perfect for flying. A few scattered clouds should allow us to get close to our target without being seen, and then attack quickly. The winds will be low and the air calm. All is set.
Deployment
Here is what I have made available.
Swingkawang
• 31x Brewster 339D
• 27x Martin 139
• 26x Vildebeest IV
• 12x Hudson I
• 10x Blenheim IV
• 05x Swordfish
Pontianak
• 20x Martin 139
• 14x Blenheim I
• 11x T IVa
• 6x CW-21B Demon
I know that this is too much for the ground crews to handle. They will do their best. If I wanted to maintain this as a continual-use airbase, I would have to see about getting enough people there to do the job and the supplies to handle the missions as well. But, this is a one-shot deal. We attack, then we leave. Guerilla warfare from the air.
After the first turn, the planes fly away before the Japanese have a chance to swarm over and destroy them.
I double checked and I have been assured that Japanese fighters cannot reach Pontianak from any base in Indochina, so our fighters are gathered at Swingkawang.
Well, tomorrow will be a restless day.
New Jap Offensive in China
I remember being told, just before I started this job, that Japan was not expected to launch any major offensive except to clear the railroad from Shanghai to Hanoi.
Never trust an expert. Japan launched an attack on the northern province capital of Yenen. Speculation: Japan will march from Yenen to Kungchang to cut the soldiers off from the sources of food and peasants that are being grown in the rough western part of the country.
When I talked with Chang Kai Shek shortly after the start of the war I noticed the vulnerability at Kungchang and asked him to move some units back to cover the city. His answer to me: "It's not my problem. That's communist territory."
So, I talked with Mao Tse Tung. He did start some units heading back a while ago, but whether they can reach Kungchang in time, or hold it when they reach it, remains to be seen. Actually, I think that he got an early enough start that Japan will discover a greater strength at Kungchang than it anticipates.
The victory at Hong Kong will free some units that China can then throw into whatever offensive it wants.
I also mentioned tracking a Jap transport convoy heading west in the South China Sea. It will undoubtedly land at Pakhoi, on the southern shore of China, drop a few hundred units off, and reinforce Pakhoi and Nanning. This will be the first step in securing the rail line.
Burma
I said that the War for Burma was about to start. Japan took Victoria Point with a tank batallion, and is presently marching on Tavoy. We have nothing to stop them with.
I have ordered the frontier units in central Burma back to help in the inevitable defense of Rangoon. However, I expect that it will take them a while to get back out of that jungle. Why they had been placed in such a remote location, I cannot guess.
Subs
A Japanese submarine found our mercy ship AK Aldeberan, en route from San Francisco to Pearl Harbor with the first boatload of replacements and spare parts.
Quite a coincidence, that. The one ship we did not want them to find, and they find it. I am wondering if there is something more than coincidence at work here. It's not as if the ship took any of the standard routes.
Still, the AK Aldeberan's escort of destroyers chased the enemy submarine away. No damage was done. In fact, I do not even think the submarine actually saw the cargo ship. The escort found the submarine a fair distance away and forced it deep.
That worked out the way it should.
Negotiations
I am still spending the bulk of my day in negotiation between the different factions involved in this war. I believe that we have worked out a new war plan that treats seriously the factors that were not considered in the old Ranbow 5 -- such as the overwhelming advantage that Japan seems to be enjoying right now with air power.
As I understand it, the leaders of the different sections will be sending their orders out tomorrow for their units to move.
If I could give you a brief summary of the high points:
• Australia will donate the Fort Largs Coastal Artillery Regiment to the defense of Noumea. Transports are already at Hobart, Tasmania to pick up the cargo.
• The Dutch are going to set up fortresses on Bali and Aru Islands. Bali is in the central part of the Dutch East Indies, just east of Java; Aru is on the eastern edge, north of Darwin, Australia. These areas should be easier to defend than any of the larger land masses, and significantly hinder the Japanese advance until they can prepare to deal with it. They should serve as larger versions of Corrigadore in the Philippines.
• The U.S. will give first priority to securing trade routes. We will send units down to Panama. I know, Panama is not my responsibility. However, the plan that I worked out with them is consistent with this model of securing our most important infrastructure before preparing an attack. That infrastructure includes a string of islands in the South Pacific. In this, we will also be completing a series of airbases that have already been started from Christmas Island to Australia, and fortifying them. We will have to make sure that Japan cannot cut this line.
• With the fall of Victoria Point and Khota Bharu, Japan now controls a number of airbases from which it can block access into the Macassar Straight, the only route from India to Singapore. Singapore has been cut off from the west, and there is nothing east of there that can spare resources for its defense. Hopefully, Singapore can hold out for a while, but I fear it will become another Bataan. The British, then, are to use the time that Singapore buys them to fortify Ceylon and the eastern coast of India, as well as Burma, as much as possible.
I have a lot more to write about, but the hour is late and, as I said, I have a busy day tomorrow.
Wish me luck.
Thayne[/font]
Henry:
I am not feeling much better, and the news I got today did not help.
I was not prepared for Hong Kong to surrender so quickly. I was sitting at my desk going through the intel on the battle at Yenen when a sergeant from Intelligence gave me the news. I wasted an hour having it double checked.
That frees up hoard of units for Japan to use elsewhere. One division, two gun battalions, three mortar battalions, we can expect all of them to be showing up again shortly.
Japan also has a huge task force heading west through the South China Sea . . . a transport task force. How much would you like to bet that they are going to put a division or two at Pakhoi and reinforce Nanning?
Anyway, back to the matter at hand:
Losses
Naval
• AP President Madison. It was hit earlier by the Japanese light carrier as it tried to flee the Philippines.
Air
• Another air attack on the Manila airfield. The 24th Fighter Group puts a fair number of P-40s in the air, but the pilots go up against the Zeros, turn and run, leaving the bombers to have free reign.
• Del Monte airfield shelled again. Still, three heavy bombers got repaired and shipped off to Diamond Harbor in India.
Territory
• Hong Kong
• Victoria Point (the southernmost part of Burma)
• Alor Star (another part of the northern border of Malaya)
• Miri. This is on the northeaster coast of Borneo. I did not even know there was a Jap army in the area.
Reinforcements for the Next Week
I decided that this is going to be a regular part of my Saturday report, specifying what I have been told will be released to me during the next 7 days.
Sunday, Dec. 14th
• No new units released on this day.
Monday, Dec. 15th
• TK Gulfgem, San Francisco
Tuesday, Dec. 16th
• AK Wallingford, San Francisco
• AK American Packer, San Francisco
Wednesday, Dec. 17th
• CA Australia, Sydney
• TK Solana, San Francisco
• TK Caliche, San Francisco
• MSW Bellachase, Vancouver
Thursday, Dec. 18th
• DD Nestor, Karachi
• AS Sperry, San Francisco
• TK Matinicock, San Francisco
• 84 Squadron (16x Blenheim), Karachi
Friday, Dec . 19th
• DMS Chandler, Pearl Harbor
• TK Chilbar, San Francisco
• MSW Bungaree, Sydney
Saturday, Dec. 20th
• TK H.D. Collier, San Francisco
As you can see, I get no ground units, and only one air squadron in the whole theater. That is not much to work with. I am certainly losing more than I am gaining.
Kuching Ambush
I decided to increase the number of planes there from 87 to 168 -- flying a lot of planes out of Singapore to add to the Dutch planes that have gathered at the two airports.
Singkawang actually has a decent sized airport -- large enough to handle all of the airplanes that I have sent there. Now, there isn't the ground crew one would like to keep all of the planes flying, but that is going to be one of the casualties of war.
I look at it this way . . . it is our factories versus their factories. We can produce more airplanes -- a lot more airplanes. If we play rough with them and burn a few up, then we can always get more.
What Japan cannot get (at least so easily) are new ships.
So, I am more than happy to risk a bit of wear and tear on a dozen or two planes from rough treatment in order to do some damage to a few Japanese ships.
Number 1 Worry
My main concern now is that poor leadership or bad weather will turn the mission into a failure. What has me concerned is that the planes sitting at Singapore had been set up to attack the Japanese fleet at Khota Bharu in northern Malaya. They sat at Singapore for three days without doing anything -- all of them. That is not what I want to see happen at Singkawang, but it is what I fear will happen.
The weather tomorrow is actually supposed to be good -- just about perfect for flying. A few scattered clouds should allow us to get close to our target without being seen, and then attack quickly. The winds will be low and the air calm. All is set.
Deployment
Here is what I have made available.
Swingkawang
• 31x Brewster 339D
• 27x Martin 139
• 26x Vildebeest IV
• 12x Hudson I
• 10x Blenheim IV
• 05x Swordfish
Pontianak
• 20x Martin 139
• 14x Blenheim I
• 11x T IVa
• 6x CW-21B Demon
I know that this is too much for the ground crews to handle. They will do their best. If I wanted to maintain this as a continual-use airbase, I would have to see about getting enough people there to do the job and the supplies to handle the missions as well. But, this is a one-shot deal. We attack, then we leave. Guerilla warfare from the air.
After the first turn, the planes fly away before the Japanese have a chance to swarm over and destroy them.
I double checked and I have been assured that Japanese fighters cannot reach Pontianak from any base in Indochina, so our fighters are gathered at Swingkawang.
Well, tomorrow will be a restless day.
New Jap Offensive in China
I remember being told, just before I started this job, that Japan was not expected to launch any major offensive except to clear the railroad from Shanghai to Hanoi.
Never trust an expert. Japan launched an attack on the northern province capital of Yenen. Speculation: Japan will march from Yenen to Kungchang to cut the soldiers off from the sources of food and peasants that are being grown in the rough western part of the country.
When I talked with Chang Kai Shek shortly after the start of the war I noticed the vulnerability at Kungchang and asked him to move some units back to cover the city. His answer to me: "It's not my problem. That's communist territory."
So, I talked with Mao Tse Tung. He did start some units heading back a while ago, but whether they can reach Kungchang in time, or hold it when they reach it, remains to be seen. Actually, I think that he got an early enough start that Japan will discover a greater strength at Kungchang than it anticipates.
The victory at Hong Kong will free some units that China can then throw into whatever offensive it wants.
I also mentioned tracking a Jap transport convoy heading west in the South China Sea. It will undoubtedly land at Pakhoi, on the southern shore of China, drop a few hundred units off, and reinforce Pakhoi and Nanning. This will be the first step in securing the rail line.
Burma
I said that the War for Burma was about to start. Japan took Victoria Point with a tank batallion, and is presently marching on Tavoy. We have nothing to stop them with.
I have ordered the frontier units in central Burma back to help in the inevitable defense of Rangoon. However, I expect that it will take them a while to get back out of that jungle. Why they had been placed in such a remote location, I cannot guess.
Subs
A Japanese submarine found our mercy ship AK Aldeberan, en route from San Francisco to Pearl Harbor with the first boatload of replacements and spare parts.
Quite a coincidence, that. The one ship we did not want them to find, and they find it. I am wondering if there is something more than coincidence at work here. It's not as if the ship took any of the standard routes.
Still, the AK Aldeberan's escort of destroyers chased the enemy submarine away. No damage was done. In fact, I do not even think the submarine actually saw the cargo ship. The escort found the submarine a fair distance away and forced it deep.
That worked out the way it should.
Negotiations
I am still spending the bulk of my day in negotiation between the different factions involved in this war. I believe that we have worked out a new war plan that treats seriously the factors that were not considered in the old Ranbow 5 -- such as the overwhelming advantage that Japan seems to be enjoying right now with air power.
As I understand it, the leaders of the different sections will be sending their orders out tomorrow for their units to move.
If I could give you a brief summary of the high points:
• Australia will donate the Fort Largs Coastal Artillery Regiment to the defense of Noumea. Transports are already at Hobart, Tasmania to pick up the cargo.
• The Dutch are going to set up fortresses on Bali and Aru Islands. Bali is in the central part of the Dutch East Indies, just east of Java; Aru is on the eastern edge, north of Darwin, Australia. These areas should be easier to defend than any of the larger land masses, and significantly hinder the Japanese advance until they can prepare to deal with it. They should serve as larger versions of Corrigadore in the Philippines.
• The U.S. will give first priority to securing trade routes. We will send units down to Panama. I know, Panama is not my responsibility. However, the plan that I worked out with them is consistent with this model of securing our most important infrastructure before preparing an attack. That infrastructure includes a string of islands in the South Pacific. In this, we will also be completing a series of airbases that have already been started from Christmas Island to Australia, and fortifying them. We will have to make sure that Japan cannot cut this line.
• With the fall of Victoria Point and Khota Bharu, Japan now controls a number of airbases from which it can block access into the Macassar Straight, the only route from India to Singapore. Singapore has been cut off from the west, and there is nothing east of there that can spare resources for its defense. Hopefully, Singapore can hold out for a while, but I fear it will become another Bataan. The British, then, are to use the time that Singapore buys them to fortify Ceylon and the eastern coast of India, as well as Burma, as much as possible.
I have a lot more to write about, but the hour is late and, as I said, I have a busy day tomorrow.
Wish me luck.
Thayne[/font]







