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RE: Allied aircraft production figures

Posted: Fri Aug 11, 2006 10:08 am
by pauk
ORIGINAL: Andy Mac

Awe shucks

PZB is an excellent player but India is irrelevant to SOPAC campaign not securing Tarawa/Lunga and PM was fatal .... as you will soon discover <evil laugh>

interesting apporach.

But you can't scare me Andy Without Fighters I....[:D]

You have just discovered what will happens when you touch into hornet nests. And believe me, that is only a 10 % of what are you expecting..... I have a plenty of tricks for you ready....

RE: Allied aircraft production figures

Posted: Fri Aug 11, 2006 10:20 am
by Andy Mac
Har I am Andy with Fighters in this game as I will be able to downgrade my Hellcats to Wildcats as needed so fear the combined Allied SOPAC Fleet !!!!!
&nbsp;
You didnt really think I was going to sit still for a whole 9 more months did you !!!!
&nbsp;
I think I caught you unready old bean you really should&nbsp;increase your naval search !!!! (String you are NOT allowed to bring up an unfortunate failure of allied search around New Cal from our game)
&nbsp;
Andy&nbsp;

RE: Allied aircraft production figures

Posted: Fri Aug 11, 2006 10:23 am
by Charles2222
ORIGINAL: Jim D Burns

ORIGINAL: pauk
not true.

What's not true? I've been very careful to make sure I've gotten the allied numbers correct so I'm a bit miffed you're saying I've lied or mislead people somehow.

I've seen lots of rationalizations from the Japanese but the only person who has actually posted their aircraft production totals was for a game that was a complete blowout for Japan and is lost by the end of 42. Not an average example by any means. How about posting your production totals Pauk. How many first line fighters are you pumping out?

But my original point wasn't to slam Japan, it is simply to highlight how inadequate allied aircraft production is across the board. Especially given the horrendously bloody nature of the game engine. Yes F6F's are a problem, but so are just about every other allied plane.

Jim

Just how relevant is this discussion without bomber production game figures? It seems to me that as the game is made, the practical invincibility of B17's and the lot, make for a lot more IJ fighter losses, to say nothing of the industry that can be destroyed through bombing. I think you're basing your IJ figures on unbombed factories and any number of other factories and supplies that can be routinely taken away or destroyed are you not? Just remember tha historic IJ had it's aircraft production actually get bombed, thus reducing numbers somewhat. If the allies are such wimps that they won't bomb aircraft factories or the populace, then they have no reason to complain about high plane production. We all know that any nation could've produced more of practically any weapon system than they did, especially if they aren't getting bombed and IRL they did.

I may be wrong here, but it looks to me as though you're taking an IJ which the allies are refusing to bomb, and then comparing that to an IJ that did get bombed. I have to also question whether you're also considering IJ in some sort of infinite supply, since you also throw in huge factory upgrades. When I'm playing the game, and least for the first month, I "maybe" increased total production 5% and that's because I know that the supply won't hold up with this endless supply you seem to give them. Why don't you start with something a little more practical and tell us how much aircraft we see IJ producing at game's start, and then try to convince us that they can, or more importantly 'will' treble wartime production or some such. Naturally, part of the convincing has to account for some fairly hefty bombing especially in later years and how IJ doesn't have infinite supply, unless, that is, the allies are also not only not bombing but also letting IJ take everything practically.

RE: Allied aircraft production figures

Posted: Fri Aug 11, 2006 10:48 am
by AmiralLaurent
Jim,

I'm not a fanboy, and I agree that F6F Hellcat should be raised (or rather redispatched between F6F and F6F5N). Your above figures indicate that US is sending in the Pacific 1139 modern fighter (and please don't reject P40N, Japan is producing Oscars in his totals....). Please don't compare the number of fighters in one case to the number of aircraft in the other... And don't forget the Brits too (Spitfire VIII, Corsair IV, Hellcat I are all first-line fighters AFAIK).

The Japanese production of fighters should be around 2000 a month in the best cases... Yes that is more than what the US send to the Pacific, but are 1139 US fighters able to kill 2000 Japanese fighters: the answer is yes, kill ratio is 2-4 to 1 in normal conditions (no high fat or long range missions).

I think the problem is not that Japan may expand its production (the maximal number being 50% above the wartime total, the practical number should be 20-30% above), but that the Allied had no control over its own... I agree that there should be more F6F available, but there should be far less LB-30 available and so on....

On the whole, my conclusion is that as always in WITP both sides have too much AC and can use far too much on the frontline as the same time.....

RE: Allied aircraft production figures

Posted: Fri Aug 11, 2006 11:56 am
by pauk

Bah! Combined (Allied)Fleet... you copycat![:D]

You may be Andy With Fighters in this game, but you will always remebered as Andy without Fighters I on the board [:D] (joking aside, I can agree with you on Hellcats issue)...

But, Andy you was siting for 9 months, actually it was a year.!

As for my naval search - yes it really sucks. I can only try to improve that in my next games and put 2 LBA daitais on naval search so i could have a slighest chance to spot something.

The true is i'm screwed and will be finished soon, earlier than you would expeced. But finally some action!

[:)]

RE: Allied aircraft production figures

Posted: Fri Aug 11, 2006 12:06 pm
by Andy Mac
OK Joint Allied fleet then !!!![:D][:D]

Interesting the different perspectives we have. As an allied player I view myself on the defensive throughout 42 even late 42 I need to be carefull and not risk assets without cause. i.e. grabbing Tarawa had a decent risk/return ratio as I knew where KB was Perth retake less so but the bulk of the forces were Ground Based. (the bulk of my focus was on holding on for what I thought was an inevitable KB backed Japanese offensive against my LOC Tarawa, Suva or New Cal were my favourite possibilities I was determined to hold onto these points to avoid prejudicing my 43 offensives only when I realised you WERE NOT threatening these points that I released 1st and 9th Corps from defensive duties to allow the forces for the assault on PM)

I think you thought you were on the defensive from Autumn 42 so we ended up with a boring sitzkrieg for 6 months.

I genuinely dont see how the allies could attack with KB intact and the major IMO necessary 10/42 upgrade cycle to go through until Late Dec early Jan at earliest.

I suspect you saw it otherwise and were waiting on me to take risks and push the pace something I was not willing to do without those 40mm Bofors upgrades in the face of Zero Superiority.

Interesting how it works out.

Andy

RE: Allied aircraft production figures

Posted: Fri Aug 11, 2006 12:29 pm
by captskillet
Now I usually stay out of these debates, but for Japan to outproduce the US in anything, esp. by the last half of the war when their merchant fleet was shot to hell is CRAZY [:-] [X(] !!!

RE: Allied aircraft production figures

Posted: Fri Aug 11, 2006 12:41 pm
by treespider
ORIGINAL: captskillet

Now I usually stay out of these debates, but for Japan to outproduce the US in anything, esp. by the last half of the war when their merchant fleet was shot to hell is CRAZY [:-] [X(] !!!


And you hit the nail on the head....all of these statistical estimations about Japanese war production are assuming FULL production with no outside influences... Such as the sinking of the merchant fleet.

RE: Allied aircraft production figures

Posted: Fri Aug 11, 2006 2:10 pm
by pauk
ORIGINAL: Andy Mac
I suspect you saw it otherwise and were waiting on me to take risks and push the pace something I was not willing to do without those 40mm Bofors upgrades in the face of Zero Superiority.

Interesting how it works out.
Andy

yes that is really intersting and shows how fun is to play against opponent which always stick with one side and have no exp from the other side.
OK Joint Allied fleet then !!!!

I called it Britus fleet...

RE: Allied aircraft production figures

Posted: Fri Aug 11, 2006 3:52 pm
by DFalcon

I may be missing it in this information but I see no accounting of replacement airgroups. There are a lot of planes entering the game through replacement groups and they should be counted. Replacement groups for the allies do not take planes from the pool so should be added to the number of planes produced. Allied production can be increased by disbanding units that will then be filled with new planes not drawn from the pool. These would be hard to account for as it will vary greatly game to game.

RE: Allied aircraft production figures

Posted: Fri Aug 11, 2006 4:24 pm
by Andy Mac
No its a fair point new gps do get planes when they arrive but disbanded gps do draw planes when they re appear its only reinforcing gps that get free planes


RE: Allied aircraft production figures

Posted: Fri Aug 11, 2006 4:30 pm
by DFalcon
ORIGINAL: Andy Mac

No its a fair point new gps do get planes when they arrive but disbanded gps do draw planes when they re appear its only reinforcing gps that get free planes

I stand corrected. My information came from way back when I was testing for double dipping on disbanded airgroups. Then disbanded groups got planes, it has been many patches since then.


RE: Allied aircraft production figures

Posted: Fri Aug 11, 2006 4:44 pm
by panda124c
ORIGINAL: Jim D Burns

I took the time to tabulate total allied aircraft production for the entire game. I then separated the US figures from all the rest, so in the first line there are a total of 1656 Allied factories, of which 780 of them produce US planes.

Start date.....Total factories.....US factories.....Upgradeable factories...Months in production

Start............1656...................780................340.............................45
Jan42...........315....................245................150..............................44
Mar42...........50.....................0....................0..................................42
Jun42...........200....................130................100..............................39
Jul42............90.....................90..................0...................................38
Sep42..........30......................0...................0....................................36
Oct42..........100.....................100...............80...................................35
Dec42..........110...................80..................0.....................................33
Jan43..........643....................415................250.................................32
Feb43..........150...................150................0......................................31
Mar43..........20.....................20.................0......................................30
Apr43..........150....................100...............0......................................29
May43.........100....................10.................0......................................28
Jun43..........90......................90.................0......................................27
Jul43...........754....................669................0......................................26
Sep43..........395....................355...............75....................................24
Oct43...........55.....................5...................0......................................23
Nov43...........300...................250...............0......................................22
Dec43...........194...................144...............0......................................21
Jan44............155...................100...............0......................................20
Mar44...........105....................105...............75....................................18
Apr44...........180....................180...............75....................................17
May44...........90.....................0...................0......................................16
Jun44............50.....................0...................0......................................15
Jul44.............50.....................0...................0......................................14
Sep44...........150...................150................75....................................12
Dec44...........40.....................0....................0.....................................9
Jan45...........90.....................40...................0......................................8


Total production is then calculated by multiplying the number of factories times the number of months that factory is in production through Aug45. So for example starting factories are multiplied by 45 months. Edit: I should note upgradeable factories are already included in the first two columns totals so don't count them again. I simply added them as a separate stat line to show how many allied factories eventually turn obsolete.

Total production:

200,069

Total US production:

126,863

Now we know Japans industry can build them about 140,000 total planes through the war given the numbers posted by Admiral Laurent in this thread:

tm.asp?m=1217199&mpage=7&key=
Now with the 'historic conquests', the points available for AC production will be 5200 per day... Production of 3500-4000 AC a month, around 45 000 per year. That is 50% more that what historical Japan did.


So this proves beyond a doubt that Japan is far out producing the allies throughout the entire war given the fact that about 80% of allied factories are fixed and end up producing obsolete aircraft for most of the game. While Japans factories stay upgraded and keep producing top line aircraft for the entire game.

Japan is probably out producing the allies in first line aircraft by 2-1 or better for the whole game given the facts of these numbers.

So let’s take the year 1944 for example. Let’s assume all previous upgradeable factories are upgraded to front line equipment. Let’s assume that all factories producing aircraft from Jul43 are also producing front line aircraft.

So we start 1944 off with 1428 regular factories from Jul-Dec 1943 and an additional 920 upgraded factories from prior to Jul 1943. This gives us a total of 2348 factories plus another 155 that go online in Jan 1944 totaling 2503 factories. Here are the production numbers for front line aircraft in 1944 given these assumptions:

Jan44.....2503 factories times 12 months = 30,036
Mar44.....another 105 factories times 10 months = 1050
Apr44.....another 180 factories times 9 months = 720
May44.....another 90 factories times 8 months = 720
Jun44.....another 50 factories times 7 months = 350
Jul44.....another 50 factories times 6 months = 300
Sep44.....another 150 factories times 4 months = 600
Dec44.....another 10 factories

Total 1944 allied production = 33,786

Of this about 18k or so would be US production. I also seriously doubt all of these factories are producing front line equipment.

And according to Admiral Laurent’s figures quoted above, Japan will produce 45k+ aircraft in the same period. Of which 100% is front line equipment due to 100% upgradeable factories.

Jim

What happens if you do the same sort of analysis on pilot "production" and quality?

RE: Allied aircraft production figures

Posted: Fri Aug 11, 2006 6:25 pm
by Jim D Burns
All the Japanese fanboys seem to be missing my point entirely. I am not advocating the reduction of Japanese industry. I am simply pointing out the glaring fact that Japan out produces the US for the entire game due to fixed factories that cannot upgrade for the most part.

The US (forget the other allies, the US alone out produced Japan by at leas 3-1 in the Pacific) NEVER got out produced by Japan and thus needs a major revamping of their production. How about we make all Allied factories upgradeable?

That still won’t fix the total numbers problem since we know they’ll still only produce 200,000+ planes total (126,000+ of them US), but at least 80% of them won’t be obsolete planes when they get produced.

Right now the allies are screwed with these fixed factories. They will never come close to competing with Japanese production numbers of first line equipment.

Jim

RE: Allied aircraft production figures

Posted: Fri Aug 11, 2006 6:39 pm
by Jim D Burns
ORIGINAL: pbear
What happens if you do the same sort of analysis on pilot "production" and quality?

Going by this statement:
In 1942 USN pilot training programs started to ramp up; 10,869 aviators received their wings of gold, almost twice as many as had completed the program in the previous 8 years. In 1943 there were 20,842 graduates; 1944, 21,067; and, with then end of the war in sight, 1945 ended with 8,880 graduates. Thus in the period 1942 to 1945, the USN produced more than 2.5 times the number of pilots as the IJN. And each of those USN pilots went through a program of primary, intermediate, advanced, and, for the carrier pilots combat preparation in RAGs before heading west. New pilots were arriving for action in USN carrier squadrons with as many as 600 hours flying under their belts and as much as 200 hours of that in type.

Which I found here:

http://www.ww2aircraft.net/forum/aviati ... g-426.html

It's pretty obvious USN pilot training is way too few.

Here's his numbers for the Japanese:
As near as I can put together, during the course of the war the IJN trained some 24,000 pilots of all stripes. Roughly 18,900 of them, and their pre-war compatriots, were killed, either in action, training, or operationally. Over 2500 of these were killed in suicide attacks.

Here's a little more history of flight training in WWII:

http://www.centennialofflight.gov/essay ... g/GA20.htm
The CPTP/WTS program was phased out in the summer of 1944 but not before 435,165 people, including hundreds of women and African-Americans, had been taught to fly. The CPTP admirably achieved its primary mission, best expressed by the title of aviation historian Dominick Pisano's book—“To fill the skies with pilots.”

All aspects of US production were staggering, the game completely fails to recreate that.

Jim

RE: Allied aircraft production figures

Posted: Fri Aug 11, 2006 6:48 pm
by Ron Saueracker
Why can't all the factories be placed on map? I'm pretty sure Andrew Brown has experimented with this already. Have the factories automatically upgrade like the Wirraway does...it upgrades to the Boomerang. I still can't fathom a design which won't stop producing obsolete planes.

I'm beginning to think fixed production was added to the game simply because the production system was untested and floats like a cinder block.

RE: Allied aircraft production figures

Posted: Fri Aug 11, 2006 7:07 pm
by VSWG
ORIGINAL: DFalcon

I may be missing it in this information but I see no accounting of replacement airgroups. There are a lot of planes entering the game through replacement groups and they should be counted. Replacement groups for the allies do not take planes from the pool so should be added to the number of planes produced.

I can provide the numbers for CHS: the totals of all Allied AC entering the game through airgroups are:

9299 ready + 2792 damaged land based AC = 12091
4851 ready + 6 damaged ship based AC = 4857 (including all float planes)

Total: 16 948

Not sure how much CHS differs from stock in this area, but I guess it can be used as a first estimate.

RE: Allied aircraft production figures

Posted: Fri Aug 11, 2006 7:21 pm
by DFalcon
ORIGINAL: Jim D Burns


"Now with the 'historic conquests', the points available for AC production will be 5200 per day... Production of 3500-4000 AC a month, around 45 000 per year. That is 50% more that what historical Japan did. "


And according to Admiral Laurent’s figures quoted above, Japan will produce 45k+ aircraft in the same period. Of which 100% is front line equipment due to 100% upgradeable factories.

Jim

These numbers are too high. The most extreme example of Japanese production I could find was a little over 3000. Japanese production of 2000-2500 in 44 seems more typical.

RE: Allied aircraft production figures

Posted: Fri Aug 11, 2006 7:27 pm
by DFalcon
ORIGINAL: VSWG

I can provide the numbers for CHS: the totals of all Allied AC entering the game through airgroups are:


Total: 16 948

Under 400 a month, not a huge number but significant.

RE: Allied aircraft production figures

Posted: Sat Aug 12, 2006 4:11 am
by bradfordkay
" Why can't all the factories be placed on map?"


Well, as a historical fanboy, I would then demand that the map include the US east coast, especially Long Island.