ORIGINAL: PzB
Your lack of faith is disturbing!
Well, I think all those "unfaithful" are actually playing Allied side currently [;)]
In one of the longest battles I've ever seen the smaller and more agile Jap ships harassed the Allied battle line that lacked destroyers.
BBs seems to fare poorly at night. Next time get maximum number of ships, and lotsa torpedo tubes.
I can hardly believe that the Allied carrier force still is a match for the KB when it arrives.
with those number of attack planes it will be win-for-first-strike. So you better wait, until you decimate his attack planes.
Ground combat at Pantar (69,114)
Japanese Shock attack
Attacking force 274 troops, 1 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 20
Defending force 30 troops, 0 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 1
Japanese adjusted assault: 18
Allied adjusted defense: 1
Japanese assault odds: 18 to 1 (fort level 0)
Japanese forces CAPTURE Pantar !!!
Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+), op mode(-), leaders(+), preparation(-)
Attacker: shock(+), leaders(-)
OK, what is this? Are they in strategic mode? Is it even possible to drop paras not in Combat Mode?
But that still doesn't answer the question; "What does Andy want with Waingapu alone?"
Obviously, he want to get other side of island by land. There is also possible, that in few days, invasion fleet quickly return to assault other base.
Another question is how many replacement Hellcats that are available to Allies in 09/43.
You wish. They are available from 4/43, at 130 per month.
LBA From Australia is still limited to 2 bases: Port Hedland, size 6 and Darwin, size 7 - not convinced supply levels are topped up either.
And Yamato can pay them "visit" any moment [:D]
How many radar sets have you got at nearby islands? Are this lvl0 base in range of Allied CVs leaky CAP? If so, it would be interesting to sweep there [:)]
ORIGINAL: castor troy
A couple of hundred thousand supplies, av and nav support, lots of engis and flak and the Japanese can exactly do nothing about it but seeing the base growing and suddenly turn into a level 9 that is going to dominate the whole area.
Tell me, how exactly are you going to keep ONE airfield open (not even mentioning upgrading it), with 5-10 large Japan airfields in range, and bombarding from sea, and air at will?
ORIGINAL: Nomad
Just think of me as the little voice trying to keep everyone from getting victory disease.
What victory exactly? So far there was only some air battles. Indecisive mostly. Landing was overkill, so it went, as it should with those numbers.
ORIGINAL: Panzerjaeger Hortlund
I disagree, there is nothing that speaks for a japanese victory here, except blind luck. The allies are ashore now, within LBA range from Australia.
Oh? What Allied fighter types can reach this base from Australia coast? You seriously expect Allies to give a fair fight at maximum range, against 15 Japan bases at close range?
4Es can attrit any Jap CAP at any base in the vincinity of the fighting, and replacements can be flown in. The massive logistic superiority of the allies can now be brought to bear on the battlefield.
Allied planes production for 10/43:
F 615
FB 54
NF 2
DB 194
LB 237
RC 12
TR 82
PA 37
FP 18
TB 42
100 fighters more, than in 9/43. The only serious boost in next month would be TBs. Fighters numbers are static, and even drop slightly.
So...
can you match it, PzB?
I am afraid it is not 1945. Everything is still in the balance.
This battle is lost, the transports reached shore. Like Rommel said, the only way to win a defensive battle against an allied invasion is to prevent them from leaving the beaches. That has failed, and now the question is how to contain this invasion, not how to re-capture the base.
Why do you compare invasion against weakened Germany, with total air, and sea dominance, to this situation? In game terms it is impossible to stop invasion at beach, because you can not move reinforcements in one day.
Yes, Japan will lose attrition battle, in like 12 months. But I am afraid Allies will not stand even 3 in this situation. Considering last "antics" in Burma, Andy will probably resign after 2 weeks.
In 4 days Allies have lost ONE month of HELLCATs replacements. They are produced for 6 months now. Simple calculation shows, that with current attrition rate:
6*4=24. In 24 days there will be no HELLCATs flying.
Sure, PzB can throw 2, 4 or 6 divisions at this base, but that wont work, he will just be throwing them into a prison camp, like the Jap reinforcements at Guadalcanal.
At Guadalcanal Japan never reached numeral superiority. Your comparison is right, but it works other way. It is Allies now, who works at extreme range of their fighters, and once CVs left area, all day transports will be sunk by Japan planes.
I remind, that in THIS game, there was no great Japan defeat so far. Their land, and air forces are at full strength. And the year is still 1943, not 1945, with Japan airforce in shambles.