Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Allied #6. Impulse #254.
End of Turn Check (Previous Impulse, Axis #5)
(1) End of turn D10(1)=10 -> turn continues, die gods empathic (for now) about continuing -> Allied #6.
Current Standings.
(2) The conquest of Germany is assured this turn.
(3) However; the issue is in doubt whether that conquest will be incomplete or complete.
(4) For the Democratic Allied, an incomplete conquest would be a minor annoyance, as they will still be the overall winner by a large margin.
(5) However; for the Soviets the difference between an incomplete and complete conquest is the difference between finishing 3rd behind Germany or finishing 2nd.
(6) Given that Germany is their hated enemy, this would be a bitter end to the war in Europe for the Soviets for sure.
(7) From a counterfactual perspective this would be considered a negotiated peace between the Western Allies and Germany and one that was "forced" on the Soviet Union to accept.
(8) Such a situation, as put forth earlier, would likely lead to an early start of the Cold War and raising (or is dropping?) of the iron curtain.
(9) Though in this counterfactual world the iron curtain would not include "East Germany", as there is/will be no East Germany because all of Germany and the majority of Czechoslovakia were liberated and now controlled by the Western Allies.
(10) But, in this alternate reality, the Middle East (Persia & Iraq) is Soviet controlled, which has implications which are beyond the scope of this counterfactual to pursue.
(11) And Turkey is controlled by both, so there would likely be a West & East Turkey controlled by the Western Allies & USSR (respectively).
(12) In looking at how best to proceed for the allies, honestly the US started losing focus on their, and their allies, primary mission.
(13) That mission is the capture of as many objective cities as possible by the end of this turn
without being reckless.
(14) That last part, without being reckless, is a caveat that I added within the spirit of this counterfactual.
(15) Implicit to that caveat, also in the spirit of this counterfactual, is that what the Western Allies consider reckless is much more cautious than what the Soviets do.
(16) So getting the US focus back on mission, the Western Allies have a plan (approved & supported by the USSR) that they believe has a fair chance of knocking Germany out of the war completely (i.e., capture Ankara).
(17) Also, this plan has a fair chance of liberating Chungking, which will be 1 more VP for Democratic Allied side.
(18) At best the Soviets are ambivalent and at worse silently against this second part but so be it from the Democratic Allied side.
(19) With full Soviet air support (i.e., ground strike support), the allies give it 50/50 that Ankara will be captured before turn's end.
(20) Note, that with the axis surely passing next impulse, there's only a 70% chance that the allies with get another impulse after this one.
(21) So most of that 50/50 is wrapped up in not getting another impulse (i.e., a minimum of 2 allied impulses are needed to capture Ankara).
(22) The Democratic Allied also give it 50/50 or maybe 60/40 that Chungking can be liberated this turn.
(22) It's so tempting for the US to go ahead full speed with strategic bombing of Japan including moving their carriers, heavy cruiser and modern battleships to the Pacific.
(23) But now is not the time.
(24) The time is to stay mission focused!
(25) And that's what the allied actions below represent.
(26) Also, look for MacArthur HQ-I being railed into China for additional FTC to base US heavy bombers
if the 10% chance ground strike vs Chunking fails.
(27) If it doesn't; i.e., succeeds, Chunking
may be liberate this impulse.
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Weather & Actions.
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