Page 160 of 162

Re: GW Counterfactual Take 3.

Posted: Sun Aug 11, 2024 12:54 am
by rkr1958
Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Allied #6. Asian Theater.

End of Impulse.
(1) MacArthur was railed to Nanchang, China to set up and command an airbase there with runways long enough and facilities sufficient to support two B-29 Superfortress bomber wings.
(2) 2 B-29 Superfortress bomber wings, air and ground crews move from Pusan, Korea to the newly improved airbase in Nanchang.
(3) Nanchang is 12-hexes from Chunking, normal range of both B-29 air wings.
(4) Assuming the turn continues to another allied impulse (70% chance) these two bomber wings used for ground strike will have a 70% chance of flipping the isolated (non-elite) Chunking defending warlord band.
(5) This gives a minimum 49% (70% x 70%) that Chunking will be liberated this turn.
(6) Even if the ground strike misses, the assault may still be ordered depending on the assault odds.
(7) Thus the 50/50 or even 60/40 estimate given at the start of the turn of being able to liberate Chunking by turn's end is turning out to be pretty darn accurate.
(8) FYI. The real reason for railing MacArthur into China was to get the FTC needed to move the two B-29 bomber wings to China.
06-AL-Asian-China-EOI.png
06-AL-Asian-China-EOI.png (1.85 MiB) Viewed 4100 times

Re: GW Counterfactual Take 3.

Posted: Sun Aug 11, 2024 12:58 am
by rkr1958
Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Allied #6. Western Allies.

Combat Logs.
06-AL-Western-CL.png
06-AL-Western-CL.png (145.84 KiB) Viewed 4097 times
Artillery Ground Strike. Turin, Italy.
06-AL-Western-GSTK-Turin-Italy.png
06-AL-Western-GSTK-Turin-Italy.png (366.63 KiB) Viewed 4097 times

Re: GW Counterfactual Take 3.

Posted: Sun Aug 11, 2024 1:01 am
by rkr1958
Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Allied #6. Western Allies.

Land Combat & Support.
(1/3) Dresden, Germany.
06-AL-Western-LC-1-Dresden-Germany.png
06-AL-Western-LC-1-Dresden-Germany.png (194.12 KiB) Viewed 4094 times
(2/3) Germany 50,40.
06-AL-Western-LC-2-Germany-50-40.png
06-AL-Western-LC-2-Germany-50-40.png (245.12 KiB) Viewed 4094 times
(3/3) Czechoslovakia 53,39.
06-AL-Western-GSPT-3-Czech-53-39.png
06-AL-Western-GSPT-3-Czech-53-39.png (339.89 KiB) Viewed 4094 times
06-AL-Western-LC-3-Czech-53-39.png
06-AL-Western-LC-3-Czech-53-39.png (227.68 KiB) Viewed 4094 times

Re: GW Counterfactual Take 3.

Posted: Sun Aug 11, 2024 1:07 am
by rkr1958
Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Allied #6. Western Front.

End of Impulse.
(1) ETO declared secure.
(2) Combat operations in ETO officially have ended.
(3) The Western Allies armies status has chance to one of conquest to one of occupation.
(4) Incomplete conquest of Germany is now assured.
(5) All that's needed now for the allies to capture Ankara, Turkey for the complete conquest.
(6) That is, assuming that the capture of Turin, Italy is needed too?
06-AL-Western-Front-EOI.png
06-AL-Western-Front-EOI.png (2.03 MiB) Viewed 4093 times

Re: GW Counterfactual Take 3.

Posted: Sun Aug 11, 2024 1:09 am
by rkr1958
Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Allied #6. The Balkans. Turkey.

Combat Logs.
06-AL-Balkan-CL.png
06-AL-Balkan-CL.png (170.09 KiB) Viewed 4092 times
Ground Strike. Ankara, Turkey.
06-AL-Turkey-GSTK-Ankara.png
06-AL-Turkey-GSTK-Ankara.png (347.39 KiB) Viewed 4092 times

Re: GW Counterfactual Take 3.

Posted: Sun Aug 11, 2024 1:11 am
by rkr1958
Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Allied #6. The Balkans. Turkey.

Land Combat & Support.
(1/3) Turkey 67,58.
06-AL-Balkan-GSPT-1-Turkey-67-58.png
06-AL-Balkan-GSPT-1-Turkey-67-58.png (308.93 KiB) Viewed 4091 times
06-AL-Balkan-LC-1-Turkey-67-58.png
06-AL-Balkan-LC-1-Turkey-67-58.png (247.41 KiB) Viewed 4091 times
(2/3) Turkey 66,59.
06-AL-Balkan-LC-2-Turkey-66-59.png
06-AL-Balkan-LC-2-Turkey-66-59.png (249.22 KiB) Viewed 4091 times

Re: GW Counterfactual Take 3.

Posted: Sun Aug 11, 2024 1:12 am
by rkr1958
Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Allied #6. The Balkans. Turkey.

Land Combat & Support.
(3/3) Turkey 68,72.
06-AL-Balkan-LC-3-Turkey-68-72.png
06-AL-Balkan-LC-3-Turkey-68-72.png (250.12 KiB) Viewed 4090 times
HQ Reorg.
06-AL-Balkan-HQ-Reorg.png
06-AL-Balkan-HQ-Reorg.png (313.71 KiB) Viewed 4090 times

Re: GW Counterfactual Take 3.

Posted: Sun Aug 11, 2024 1:15 am
by rkr1958
Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Allied #6. The Balkans. Turkey.

End of Impulse.
(1) USAAF P-61 and RN Vildebeest rebased to theater and AUS Beau Fighter/Bomber reorg.
(2) The Western Allies are in EXCELLENT position to capture Ankara next (allied) impulse, knock Turkey out of the war and achieve complete conquest of Germany.
(3) The only "fly in the ointment" is the 30% chance that the turn will end next (axis) impulse with both Germany and Japan passing.
06-AL-Balkan-Turkey-EOI.png
06-AL-Balkan-Turkey-EOI.png (1.81 MiB) Viewed 4082 times

Re: GW Counterfactual Take 3.

Posted: Sun Aug 11, 2024 1:24 am
by rkr1958
Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Axis #7. Impulse #255.

Weather & Actions.
(1) Weather D10=7 -> same weather roll as last, storm continues in the North Monsoon, fine continues everywhere else.
(2) Adv=1, DRM=+0.
(3) Both Germany and Japan pass, which for anyone following should surprise no one.
(4) Turn will end on a 3 or less.
(5) Won't make you wait overnight, back shortly with result.
07-AX-Weather-Actions.png
07-AX-Weather-Actions.png (51.15 KiB) Viewed 4079 times

Re: GW Counterfactual Take 3.

Posted: Sun Aug 11, 2024 1:57 am
by rkr1958
Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. End of Turn.

Weather & Actions Summary.
(1) Well, you can do all the planning and execute that planning well; but you can't control the weather and can't control the end of turn; especially when the other side is passing.
99-Weather-Actions-Summary.png
99-Weather-Actions-Summary.png (53.04 KiB) Viewed 4075 times
Partisans.
(2) No new partisans.
(3) This will definitely be an interesting end; especially when it comes to the conquest phase.
99-Partisans.png
99-Partisans.png (85.12 KiB) Viewed 4075 times

Re: GW Counterfactual Take 3.

Posted: Sun Aug 11, 2024 2:17 am
by rkr1958
Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. End of Turn.

KIA Report.
99-KIA-Report..png
99-KIA-Report..png (33.22 KiB) Viewed 4072 times
Destroyed.
99-Destroyed.png
99-Destroyed.png (171.13 KiB) Viewed 4072 times
Dry Dock. Damaged.
99-Dry-Dock.png
99-Dry-Dock.png (103.58 KiB) Viewed 4072 times

Re: GW Counterfactual Take 3.

Posted: Sun Aug 11, 2024 2:29 am
by rkr1958
Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. End of Turn.

(1) I haven't decide yet if I'm going to continue after finishing this turn's end of turn.
(2) I'm providing data now, but plan on doing a deeper dive, analysis of it all.
(3) I do welcome any and all comment as I start pouring over and trying to summarize the 8562 log entries I've made so far.
(4) Though, I'm am a bit left wanting for the total conquest of Germany being so, oh so close, to knocking Turkey out.
(5) Japan, well that's a different story.
(6) I definitely don't have the desire to slug through an invasion and attempted conquest of the home islands.
(7) But, first I'm going to finish this turn's end of turn as the conquest phase will definitely be interesting.
(8) Again, any and all are welcomed to chime in one anything related or even unrelated.

Convoy Losses.
99-CP-Losses.png
99-CP-Losses.png (74.33 KiB) Viewed 4069 times
BOA Comparison.
By Year.
99-BOA-Comparison-by-Year.png
99-BOA-Comparison-by-Year.png (24.84 KiB) Viewed 4069 times
Cumulative.
99-BOA-Comparison-Cumulative.png
99-BOA-Comparison-Cumulative.png (26.87 KiB) Viewed 4069 times

Re: GW Counterfactual Take 3.

Posted: Mon Aug 12, 2024 2:15 am
by rkr1958
Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. End of Turn.

Use Oil.
99-Use-Oil.png
99-Use-Oil.png (29.74 KiB) Viewed 4043 times

Re: GW Counterfactual Take 3.

Posted: Mon Aug 12, 2024 2:18 am
by rkr1958
Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. End of Turn.

Conquest.
99-Conquest-CL.png
99-Conquest-CL.png (23.44 KiB) Viewed 4042 times
99-Conquest.png
99-Conquest.png (35.76 KiB) Viewed 4042 times
Post Conquest.
Central Europe.
99-Central-Europe-Post-Conquest.png
99-Central-Europe-Post-Conquest.png (2.14 MiB) Viewed 4042 times
Finland.
99-Finland-Post-Conquest.png
99-Finland-Post-Conquest.png (1.83 MiB) Viewed 4042 times

Re: GW Counterfactual Take 3.

Posted: Mon Aug 12, 2024 2:21 am
by rkr1958
Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. End of Turn.

Germany. Still Fighting On! Incompletely Conquered.
New Home Country (Turkey).
(1) Oh so close to a complete conquest by the allies.
99-Turkey-German-New-Home-Country.png
99-Turkey-German-New-Home-Country.png (1.91 MiB) Viewed 4040 times
Capture KM Ships & Boats.
99-Capture-Ships.png
99-Capture-Ships.png (29.85 KiB) Viewed 4040 times
Dissolved and/or Surrender German Units.
99-Disolved-Surrendered-German-Units.png
99-Disolved-Surrendered-German-Units.png (98.17 KiB) Viewed 4040 times

Re: GW Counterfactual Take 3.

Posted: Mon Aug 12, 2024 2:22 am
by rkr1958
Turn 36. Jul/Aug1945. End of Turn.

Economics.
99-ECON.png
99-ECON.png (107.43 KiB) Viewed 4039 times
Production Spiral (1/2).
99-Production-1.png
99-Production-1.png (225.59 KiB) Viewed 4039 times
99-Production-2.png
99-Production-2.png (229.36 KiB) Viewed 4039 times
99-Production-3.png
99-Production-3.png (179.35 KiB) Viewed 4039 times

Re: GW Counterfactual Take 3.

Posted: Mon Aug 12, 2024 2:22 am
by rkr1958
Turn 36. Jul/Aug1945. End of Turn.

Production Spiral (2/2).
99-Production-4.png
99-Production-4.png (155.58 KiB) Viewed 4038 times
99-Production-5.png
99-Production-5.png (107.63 KiB) Viewed 4038 times
99-Production-6.png
99-Production-6.png (116.66 KiB) Viewed 4038 times

Re: GW Counterfactual Take 3.

Posted: Mon Aug 12, 2024 2:23 am
by rkr1958
Turn 36. Jul/Aug1945. End of Turn.

Combat Logs.
Turn.
99-CL-Turn.png
99-CL-Turn.png (37.98 KiB) Viewed 4036 times
All.
99-CL-All.png
99-CL-All.png (47.07 KiB) Viewed 4036 times

Re: GW Counterfactual Take 3.

Posted: Mon Aug 12, 2024 2:28 am
by rkr1958
Turn 36. Jul/Aug1945. End of Turn.

Global Maps.
Control.
99-GM-Control.png
99-GM-Control.png (92.74 KiB) Viewed 4035 times
Units.
99-GM-Units.png
99-GM-Units.png (92.03 KiB) Viewed 4035 times
Active Axis.
99-GM-Active-Axis.png
99-GM-Active-Axis.png (125.48 KiB) Viewed 4035 times
Active Allied.
99-GM-Active-Allied.png
99-GM-Active-Allied.png (137.97 KiB) Viewed 4035 times

Re: GW Counterfactual Take 3.

Posted: Mon Aug 12, 2024 2:30 am
by rkr1958
Turn 36. Jul/Aug1945. End of Turn.

Oil Plots.
Reorg.
Need.
99-Oil-Need-Reorg.png
99-Oil-Need-Reorg.png (155.88 KiB) Viewed 4034 times
Used.
99-Oil-for-reorg.png
99-Oil-for-reorg.png (131.22 KiB) Viewed 4034 times
Income.
99-Oil-Income.png
99-Oil-Income.png (102.22 KiB) Viewed 4034 times
Stockpile (Strategic Reserve).
99-Oil-Stockpile.png
99-Oil-Stockpile.png (110.65 KiB) Viewed 4034 times