ORIGINAL: Mr.Frag
I understand, the question is would they have actually done it or simple rattled around and accepted it had Japan presented it as "you left us no choice".
Considering US public opinion was to stay out of even the European War, I doubt the US would have gotten involved over the Japs doing anything to the Dutch. The Brits probably, but so what? They already had their hands full with the Germans.
Without PH as an opening act, it becomes a lot tougher to justify what happened.
And Pearl Harbour was
not supposed to happen that way. Bushido alone demands that you face a warrior in honourable battle. This was an attack upon an enemyu that didn't even know there was a war on.
If the War declaration had gone through when it was supposed to. Thus Pearl had been notified that there was a war on, and thus was at alert. And thus Pearl had been a bit more of a fight (although with only an hour or so notice, it wouldn't have been much different), would it still have been "a day that will live in infamy"?
I doubt it. It would have just been "we got caught with our pants down".
The irony is that PH is hit with a sneak attack, and her commanders are on the chopping block. Macarthur sits on his hands until after the Japs bomb him, and that is... just the fortunes of war?
The Allies used this as an excuse to justify their actions when in reality they caused it themselves.
But Mr. Frag, we're the
good guys! We don't drive other nations into wars!
<cough>Treaty of Versais<cough> (sp)
We're Holy! And wonderful! And our wars are about Good vs. Evil! White vs. Black!
We don't go to war because of greed, or ambition, or any other bad reason. We go to war to defend justice! And to bring peace!


[:D]
Anyone want to buy a bridge?
Its cheap!
Oh and, by the way. If you don't like the idea of hypothetical scenarios, then why play the game? This is all about hypotheticals. "What if the Japs went to Midway with all 6 CVs instead of four?"
But they didn't. If you don't like "woulda, coulda, shoulda", then these games must be tripe to you.
And quite frankly, as 'simulations' go, WitP will be piss poor. And I can say that without ever seeing it. Why? Because it cannot be a decent simulation.
It is a
game. That is it. Nothing more, nothing less. It is based on a historical period, but beyond that, it is nothing. To claim you are 'studying history' while playing it is simply pretentious bull. No different than when I was a kid and told my parents that if I had a computer, it could help me with my homework (yeah, right - it was for games).
You want to study history? Go read books on the subject. Find people who were there and talk to them. But don't play a game that cannot even recreate the 'Doolittle Raid' - that literally did little, and yet did so much.
To be a proper simulation, the game would have to deal with so many factors that it simply cannot. Many of them human.
The Doolittle Raid - despite doing little actual damage - caused the Japanese to waste resources to prevent it happening again.
Hitler wasted time and resources on preventing attacks on (I think it was) Norway after a commando raid, because Churchill knew how to pull Hitler's chain.
The really important targets at Pearl were not the battleships. They weren't even the planes. They were the fuel storage and the port facilities. If those had been significantly damaged (particularly the fuel), that would have put a real dent into the US war plan for a while. Fortunately the commander was timid, and ran off before he hit the really important targets.
And what if the commander of the carrier group at Midway - the same one as at Pearl - hadn't been a wishy washy twit? Either equipping to go against the suspected US carriers, or finishing the job on Midway so the landing could commence, thus putting the US carriers in the bad spot of worrying about an invasion force AND a large carrier group. Midway was an amazing victory due to an indecisive IJN admiral, and some good old fashioned luck. Could have gone the other way real easy.
But it didn't. End of story.
As for WW2 being certain...
We may like to think that WW2 was a foregone conclusion (usually on the belief that the good guys who would always win) but it wasn't that simple. Sure, Hitler was a nut, but that was why his own people tried to take him out. If Hitler had not declared war on the US, would they have gone to Europe, or just focused all their attention on Japan?
England was on the ropes during the Battle of Britain, but they managed to give the impression that they weren't. If the Germans had kept after the airfields just a little longer, they would have had ownership of the skies, and then Sealion would have been possible. And if Britain fell, then the US couldn't have even thought about invading Europe.
Normandy wasn't even a forgone conclusion. Which was the decoy 'army' under Patton was so important. Hitler managed to keep focused there. If he had released forces against the Normandy landing in a timely manner, it might have been pushed back into the sea. Although that would have just meant the Soviets would have ended up owning all of mainland Europe, instead of just the East.
Hitler was a fool in the Soviet Union, over extending his armies and supply lines. Again, it is unlikely to believe that the Germans could have conquered all of the huge expanse of the Soviet Union, but bloodying them enough to agree to 'a bitter peace' was not unrealistic.
Many military historians agree that it is rather interesting how near a thing WW2 was. In Europe from 1939 and up until the winter really laid into the Germans in the Soviet Union, it was not a certainty at all. After that, German victory was probably impossible, but the fall of the Reich probably wasn't guaranteed until the landing in Sicily in '43. If they had assassinated Hitler, a negotiated peace with the Western Allies might have been possible (depends upon how sick of war the Brits and Americans were).
As for the Pacific War, really, it was a forgone conclusion from just after Pearl Harbour went wrong. The time line could vary, but the righteous indignation of the US was not going to relax until those nukes fell on Japan. But if Pearl hadn't been the way it was...?
Things could have gone a lot differently, they just didn't, and we can be glad of it. But to say that they went the only way they could have? No, that is simple arrogance.