RE: Next Steps
Posted: Fri May 17, 2013 8:56 pm
Brad,
Here are my thoughts from the IJ side.
1. Get all of your fighters together at one base, with an air HQ. Bigger base is better. i.e. maximize everything that will increase your sweep cohesion.
2. Target as you are: he is trying to protect Magwe, so sweep the AF's nearby. You're trying for CAP leakage. With that many fighters up, you'll be able to get 20-30 leakers. You may want to start your sweep targets farther away: Lashio or Taung Gyi.
3. Shift your sweep target randomly every day.
Once this start working, you will wear him down and there is little he can do to combat it except not fly. When he does, bring the 4E hammer and shut down a field.
As for his plane builds, his decision. What most beginner IJ player fail to realize is that there is a fixed number of HI that IJ will build over the course of the game and this is based on fuel. <period>. This total HI can be increased only if you take more fuel than the historic amount, or if you make severe cuts in the KB steaming days. Given this fixed HI, you can then only vary when you will build it. GJ has chosen to build it early and then to spend it on AC. I'm not suggesting this isn't a good strategy, but this is a finite sum issue. If he is spending it now on ahistorically high AC builds, then that means he will NOT be able to make historic builds for LCU's, Ships, and late war AC because he has not taken any more fuel than was taken historically.
Strategically, then you can easily see what you need to do (and mostly you are already doing it so just keep going).
1. Feints. Force him to steam the KB hither and yonder. If you can keep the KB steaming +20days/month you are depleting his potential HI severely. Worse, he probably won't realize the impact until too late.
2. LCU's. Keep up the pressure where you can. He doesn't have the HI to replace his losses. ARM and VEH cost 3 HI each and it take load cost of ARM/VEH to replace one device PLUS load cost of supply. Your replacements are essentially free. Get allied units that have good replacement pools in contact, and apply pressure.
3. Ships, he has undoubtedly cut way back on ship building to finance the AC. Keep you SS fleet in full gear. As you deplete his xAK's and TK's he will have to use ever more fuel inefficient ships to transport. His best TK (Tonan Whaler) is almost 2x efficient in moving fuel as the NEXT BEST, more than 4x the 3rd best ... etc. Ditto xAK's. Yusen S is really efficient, but once those are gone they get pretty inefficient fast.
In other words, without even getting into the DEI, you can put a lot of strain on his economy. But you do have to cut the DEI at near the historical date.
What about a landing in Sabang/Sibolga? If he has 1500 fighters in Burma, what does it look like in Celebs? For the IJ, it isn't how many fighters he has, he has a fixed amount of Aviation Support and that can't move quickly.
Just a bunch of thoughts, most you already know.
Here are my thoughts from the IJ side.
1. Get all of your fighters together at one base, with an air HQ. Bigger base is better. i.e. maximize everything that will increase your sweep cohesion.
2. Target as you are: he is trying to protect Magwe, so sweep the AF's nearby. You're trying for CAP leakage. With that many fighters up, you'll be able to get 20-30 leakers. You may want to start your sweep targets farther away: Lashio or Taung Gyi.
3. Shift your sweep target randomly every day.
Once this start working, you will wear him down and there is little he can do to combat it except not fly. When he does, bring the 4E hammer and shut down a field.
As for his plane builds, his decision. What most beginner IJ player fail to realize is that there is a fixed number of HI that IJ will build over the course of the game and this is based on fuel. <period>. This total HI can be increased only if you take more fuel than the historic amount, or if you make severe cuts in the KB steaming days. Given this fixed HI, you can then only vary when you will build it. GJ has chosen to build it early and then to spend it on AC. I'm not suggesting this isn't a good strategy, but this is a finite sum issue. If he is spending it now on ahistorically high AC builds, then that means he will NOT be able to make historic builds for LCU's, Ships, and late war AC because he has not taken any more fuel than was taken historically.
Strategically, then you can easily see what you need to do (and mostly you are already doing it so just keep going).
1. Feints. Force him to steam the KB hither and yonder. If you can keep the KB steaming +20days/month you are depleting his potential HI severely. Worse, he probably won't realize the impact until too late.
2. LCU's. Keep up the pressure where you can. He doesn't have the HI to replace his losses. ARM and VEH cost 3 HI each and it take load cost of ARM/VEH to replace one device PLUS load cost of supply. Your replacements are essentially free. Get allied units that have good replacement pools in contact, and apply pressure.
3. Ships, he has undoubtedly cut way back on ship building to finance the AC. Keep you SS fleet in full gear. As you deplete his xAK's and TK's he will have to use ever more fuel inefficient ships to transport. His best TK (Tonan Whaler) is almost 2x efficient in moving fuel as the NEXT BEST, more than 4x the 3rd best ... etc. Ditto xAK's. Yusen S is really efficient, but once those are gone they get pretty inefficient fast.
In other words, without even getting into the DEI, you can put a lot of strain on his economy. But you do have to cut the DEI at near the historical date.
What about a landing in Sabang/Sibolga? If he has 1500 fighters in Burma, what does it look like in Celebs? For the IJ, it isn't how many fighters he has, he has a fixed amount of Aviation Support and that can't move quickly.
Just a bunch of thoughts, most you already know.

