RE: Wrangling Loki - Mind_Messing (J) vs Lokasenna (A)
Posted: Fri Sep 09, 2016 5:30 pm
ORIGINAL: Bullwinkle58
ORIGINAL: mind_messing
ORIGINAL: Bullwinkle58
From 30,000 feet, I think you're far too sanguine about the loss of Singapore. Once he's east of Sumatra is Sumatra really useful to you? Especially since he can operate out of Singers yard-wise, load-speed-wise, and AF-size-wise? Given the status of CRB and Saigon you're really pushed back to Manila any time he wants to get angry with his navy and B-29s. Enjoy what oil you can get out for now. It won't be much longer.
The DEI is what it is. He can bleed you, but he doesn't have to. I think you're correct to worry about forting up Formosa. It will happen faster than you think. Or somewhere similar. He's into the body and he's got heavy equipment to dig with. He broke the dermal layer getting ashore on Sumatra and northern Malaysia and the torso is full of soft, fleshy organs.
Sumatra's usefulness will only last as long as the oil/refinery complex does.
With it, Sumatra is a nice unsinkable airbase in easy range of Singers and has organic supply production. Without that, I'm evacuating everything to Java, and thence the PI. Hell, once I get the turn back I'll probably start withdrawing everything from Minadano south up to Luzon.
You are on to something, though. I'm stil considering Manila as a rear area base because the Allies haven't quite moved up yet. That needs to end.
Now you have me really worried, I've three BB's repairing at Manila and the CAP is only a hundred planes or so...
He has P-51s and B-29s. Pbang is only a matter of him caring enough to take it down. He doesn't need the oil. He doesn't need to take it the base. He just needs to burn it. The rest of Sumatra is unsinkable sure, but his 4E forces now make any airbase he wants to take out pretty easy. There's not enough VPs left on Sumatra to matter that much in terms of slogging. Batavia OTOH is pretty fat.
You need to think about yards. You've got Manila and HK before it's HI time. I don't know if he goes amphib on Formosa, or slogs into China through the south, or takes Luzon. But any way he goes he has the navy and amphibs to do them.
So far, he hasn't. He made one good go at Pbang's airbase, and he seems to have pulled back from a second strike. He could probably have torched it as well on day two without much difficulty. Up until he does burn Pbang I want to make it as difficult as possible. The ball of yarn CAP I have over Palembang is the strongest defense, but I can have it transfered to Luzon in five days, tops.
Yeah, the location of naval shipyards has factored into my planning for the late war. Singapore is gone, obviously, as is Saigon.
I've rammed all the CD guns I have into Bataan, and Manila has level 9 forts, so it's pretty secure. Hong Kong has level 6 forts, and it's x3 terrain, so 2000 AV should do nicely to keep the Allies off it for a while. That just leaves Formosa and Okinawa - both of which are fairly under-garrisoned. Time to spend the 2k PP's I've saved...