ORIGINAL: treespider
as it would have to represent manpower shortages
You’re taking one snippet of information and making a huge assumption that there was some kind of drastic manpower shortage in the US during the war.
According to The Economics of World War II: Six Great Powers in International Comparison, the US labor pool increased steadily throughout the war until a drop in 1945 as wartime production was scaled back. Here’s the data given in table 3.10 on page 100:
The composition of increases in the United States supply of labor, 1939-1948 (percent changes over 1938)
1. Increase in number of workers
2. Increase in average hours
3. Reallocation effort
………….. 1………. 2………. 3
1939….. 3.0……. 1.5……. 1.0
1940….. 6.7……. 1.8……. 2.1
1941….. 15.4…. 2.6……. 5.7
1942….. 24.2…. 4.6……. 8.9
1943….. 33.5…. 7.4……. 12.7
1944….. 35.3…. 8.0……. 13.4
1945….. 32.8…. 4.1……. 12.9
1946….. 23.9…. -0.3….. 10.2
1947….. 24.5…. -1.8….. 10.3
1948….. 26.1…. -2.8….. 10.7
Page 101 table 3.11 gives employment figures. It’s a huge table so I’m not going to give all the details, but suffice it to say the work force steadily increased throughout the war until 1945 when production was scaled back. But even at its peak in 1944 with an employed population listed at 65,370,000, there were still 670,000 people on the unemployment rolls still looking for and unable to find work.
Page 104 table 3.13 breaks down the division of labor into three industrial groups. Group I is durable goods manufacturing, which in wartime provided the foundations of the munitions industry. Group II consist of workers in agriculture, mining, government, transportation and public utilities the ‘essential’ sectors. Group III consists of workers in non-durable manufacturing, construction, finance and services – the ‘inessential’ trades.
Britain’s war economy saw as many workers as possible reallocate from Group III to Group I to increase war mobilization. The US saw a remarkable increase in Group I, but group II remained constant and Group III fell slightly, but only in the peak years 1943 and 1944.
Composition of United States labor force by industry group, 1939-1948 (thousands)
………. Group I……..……. Group II……..……. Group III
1939. 4,715………………. 16,515……………… 18,119
1940. 5,363………………. 16,619……………… 18,849
1941. 6,968………………. 17,106……………… 20,695
1942. 8,823………………. 18,023……………… 21,368
1943. 11,084…………….. 18,695…………….. 20,717
1944. 10,856…………….. 18,633…………….. 20,263
1945. 9,074………………. 18,386…………….. 20,634
1946. 7,742………………. 18,445…………….. 23,415
1947. 8,385………………. 18,589…………….. 24,900
1948. 8,326………………. 18,813…………….. 25,732
So we can gather from this data that the US made no major sacrifices in consumer goods production during the war. They maintained Group II at current levels throughout the war and made no major effort to reallocate labor force from Group III to Group I as the British did.
This dramatically demonstrates that there was still a very large untapped pool of labor available to put into Group I if needed, but it simply was not needed. I’m sure there were occasional shortages in specific instances as the armaments industry grew, but on a whole the US never suffered labor shortages that would have affected overall production capacity.
In fact I’d go as far as to say they never even came close to their full production potential during the war. Had massive reallocations taken place, the US could have easily doubled Group I manufacturing abilities.
Jim