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RE: Near misses

Posted: Fri Mar 13, 2009 2:26 am
by Dili
Vals that sunk Cornwall used 250kg bombs exclusively (!) no depth charges. From 15 bomb hits described in the report only 6 were near misses, these opened up the hull, shut down boilers and caused critical damage to the ship. If there were only 9 direct hits, heavy cruiser, although badly damaged, could make it home.

Well that is a wrong paralelism. The correct one is if those 6 bomb have not been near misses and instead hit the ship. Would it sink?

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Other than that deck and armor issues are much more important than near misses.

RE: Near misses

Posted: Fri Mar 13, 2009 2:29 am
by Ron Saueracker
ORIGINAL: Nomad

I'm pretty sure I have seen bombs return the message that they scored a belt armor hit. That always seemed to me to be a near miss. To me the problem is that they never seem to penetrate the belt armor of warships.

Because it's assumed in Gary's games that the entire hull of any ship has the maximum thickness of armour everywhere. Just like deck, tower etc.

RE: Near misses

Posted: Fri Mar 13, 2009 2:33 am
by Ron Saueracker
ORIGINAL: Nikademus

ORIGINAL: Nomad

I'm pretty sure I have seen bombs return the message that they scored a belt armor hit. That always seemed to me to be a near miss. To me the problem is that they never seem to penetrate the belt armor of warships.

Since most bombs can't penetrate the belt armor hit location of heavily armored ships, you could interpret it as a non-damaging near miss. (there was such a thing) A "close" Near Miss hit location (a seperate HL vs. "belt armor hit") that i wanted long ago would have resurected a mechanism i'd seen before in a previous SSI title, whereby the warhead size would be compared to the belt armor size of the target ship + a random to see if some flotation damage and maybe a little bit of SYS occurs. It would make the larger targets more wary of bombers due to the random's potential to skew the straight up comparison of warhead to armor thickness. Ok so its not in AE......release the hounds! There's alot of other new features and tweaks in the game so like i said....anyone feeling cheated will initially be too busy to complain about it because your going to have a task scrutinizing all the other changes/tweaks/new additions that did make it in. A learning curve all over again.

JWE was right when he said the team can't do everything that everyone wants. It never could in the first place. Been there....heard that....been accused of it...you name it.



Hiya Steve. What's a damaging near miss on any ship with a belt armour factor? The max thickness is always assumed, despite the fact that not all ships have belt armour paint on the hull. "Bomb hits the bow of USS Boise. BOINK!! 5" armour!" That is the contention.

RE: Near misses

Posted: Fri Mar 13, 2009 2:40 am
by Ron Saueracker
Anyway....wow! Lots of input here. Boy, are we bored or what? Need AE!!![:D]

RE: Near misses

Posted: Fri Mar 13, 2009 5:39 am
by castor troy
Why not considering the belt armor hits (that penetrate) as near misses that do damage? And belt armor hits that don´t penetrate as near miss that didn´t do damage? I know, you need some imagination for WITP - at least that´s what I´ve been saying to myself for years now... [;)]

RE: Near misses

Posted: Fri Mar 13, 2009 9:58 am
by herwin
ORIGINAL: Gary Childress

ORIGINAL: herwin

ORIGINAL: bradfordkay

Harry, I understand everything in your post except for that last bit... how does an underwater near miss, causing the hull plates to buckle, increase the chance for a magazine explosion? Boyle's Law?

Typically, the near miss causes flooding - and flooding the magazines is a tactic used to prevent explosions.

Please help me understand. [&:]

A near miss produced a hot gas bubble expanding at supersonic speed. It was the shock of that bubble hitting the hull plates that caused the damage. If the shock wave got beyond the hull, you hoped that the underwater protection system (UPS) prevented it from getting into whatever was behind the UPS, such as the magazine. (Note cruisers and smaller carriers lacked a UPS.) If the shock wave damaged the magazine, you prayed for flooding.

How often were ships actually sunk by near misses in the war? Especially from magazine explosions? I don't think it's a matter of what CAN happen but of how often DID it happen in reality. I assume the chances of a near miss translating into a magazine explosion would be relatively rare. Ships weren't just blowing up from magazine explosions left and right in the war, were they? And I believe WITP-AE factors in things like magazine explosions. Who is to say that some of those magazine explosions are not due to near misses?

Casualties to RN cruisers by enemy action 1939-1945:

21-shelling, 3 sunk
65-bombing, 6-7 sunk by near misses, 2-3 sunk by fire (9 total sunk)
10-mining, 1 sunk
30-torpedoing, 11 sunk
126 total casualties, 24 sunk

Mean time to repair a shelling casualty: 6-7 weeks
Mean time to repair a bombing casualty: 6-7 weeks
Mean time to repair a mining casualty: about 28 weeks
Mean time to repair a torpedoing casualty: about 40 weeks

I hope that helps.

RE: Near misses

Posted: Fri Mar 13, 2009 10:04 am
by herwin
ORIGINAL: Dili
Vals that sunk Cornwall used 250kg bombs exclusively (!) no depth charges. From 15 bomb hits described in the report only 6 were near misses, these opened up the hull, shut down boilers and caused critical damage to the ship. If there were only 9 direct hits, heavy cruiser, although badly damaged, could make it home.

Well that is a wrong paralelism. The correct one is if those 6 bomb have not been near misses and instead hit the ship. Would it sink?

--------------------------------------
Other than that deck and armor issues are much more important than near misses.

Probably not.

RE: Near misses

Posted: Fri Mar 13, 2009 10:57 am
by Dili
Probably not.

I rate the ship armor deck specially carriers, armor coverage and torpedo defense systems as more important issues than near misses, same for AA fire control or not fire control, sonar and lack of damage to naval and AA fire control. I think tower hits maybe can simulate Fire control hits and degrade hit probablity from a ship.

RE: Near misses

Posted: Fri Mar 13, 2009 11:46 am
by GaryChildress
ORIGINAL: Ron Saueracker

Because it's assumed in Gary's games that the entire hull of any ship has the maximum thickness of armour everywhere. Just like deck, tower etc.

What do you want? 100 pound bombs crippling battleships because they happen to hit just the right spot and just the right angle? 1000 pound bombs aren't causing enough damage?

RE: Near misses

Posted: Fri Mar 13, 2009 12:16 pm
by herwin
ORIGINAL: Dili
Probably not.

I rate the ship armor deck specially carriers, armor coverage and torpedo defense systems as more important issues than near misses, same for AA fire control or not fire control, sonar and lack of damage to naval and AA fire control. I think tower hits maybe can simulate Fire control hits and degrade hit probablity from a ship.

Too much detail--implementation will be opaque. It's that sort of thing that people already complain about. Instead, someone can read through the existing publications on ship damage during WWII and produce a statistical model that could be used by the game to assess the effect of various kinds and amounts of damage. I did just that many years ago, and the data are more available now than when I was working. (I had to use USAF translations of Soviet analyses to get access to the Kriegsmarine war damage reports.)

RE: Near misses

Posted: Fri Mar 13, 2009 12:19 pm
by herwin
ORIGINAL: Gary Childress
ORIGINAL: Ron Saueracker

Because it's assumed in Gary's games that the entire hull of any ship has the maximum thickness of armour everywhere. Just like deck, tower etc.

What do you want? 100 pound bombs crippling battleships because they happen to hit just the right spot and just the right angle? 1000 pound bombs aren't causing enough damage?

They aren't by a factor of 5 or 10. On the other hand, the pHits are high by a factor of 5 or 10. The reality of bombing was that the threat was enough to cause warships to rebase.

RE: Near misses

Posted: Fri Mar 13, 2009 12:32 pm
by GaryChildress
ORIGINAL: herwin

ORIGINAL: Gary Childress

What do you want? 100 pound bombs crippling battleships because they happen to hit just the right spot and just the right angle? 1000 pound bombs aren't causing enough damage?

They aren't by a factor of 5 or 10. On the other hand, the pHits are high by a factor of 5 or 10. The reality of bombing was that the threat was enough to cause warships to rebase.

What do you mean by pHit? What is a pHit? [&:]

RE: Near misses

Posted: Fri Mar 13, 2009 12:35 pm
by witpqs
I think Harry means that in the game the percentage chance to hit is too high, while the damage done by each bomb (on average) is too low.

RE: Near misses

Posted: Fri Mar 13, 2009 12:38 pm
by herwin
ORIGINAL: Gary Childress

ORIGINAL: herwin

ORIGINAL: Gary Childress

What do you want? 100 pound bombs crippling battleships because they happen to hit just the right spot and just the right angle? 1000 pound bombs aren't causing enough damage?

They aren't by a factor of 5 or 10. On the other hand, the pHits are high by a factor of 5 or 10. The reality of bombing was that the threat was enough to cause warships to rebase.

What do you mean by pHit? What is a pHit? [&:]
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Shorthand for probability of hit. Often written p<sub>hit</sub> on an html page.

RE: Near misses

Posted: Fri Mar 13, 2009 12:59 pm
by Anonymous
It sounds like your mod will be better than Ae. will your mod come sooner.

RE: Near misses

Posted: Fri Mar 13, 2009 1:15 pm
by Dili
Too much detail--implementation will be opaque. It's that sort of thing that people already complain about. Instead, someone can read through the existing publications on ship damage during WWII and produce a statistical model that could be used by the game to assess the effect of various kinds and amounts of damage. I did just that many years ago, and the data are more available now than when I was working. (I had to use USAF translations of Soviet analyses to get access to the Kriegsmarine war damage reports.)

That was all well if the ships didn't varied but they have different characteristics. Doesn't seem over complicated. With a percentage of armor coverture we can define how much of tonnage of the ship is armored. The specifics of carrier deck can be handled by shooting aircraft operations after a number of hits except for ships that have armored flight deck. Torpedos defenses for torpedo hits in torpedo coverture. Tower hits for FControl damages. The game already has chances to hit/damage various devices and gun turrets.
Sonar submarine detection is important. Right now only "hacking" submarine weapons it can be invenetd a sonar but only increasing the chance of hits not the chance of finding the sub.

RE: Near misses

Posted: Fri Mar 13, 2009 1:37 pm
by GaryChildress
ORIGINAL: witpqs

I think Harry means that in the game the percentage chance to hit is too high, while the damage done by each bomb (on average) is too low.

So we have more hits with less damage where there should be less hits with more damage? From the sounds of the AE team we're going to have to live with it and make the best of it.

It still baffles me. WITP is probably the most detailed grand strategy game on the market and it is somehow full of flaws. Axis and Allies OTOH is about as undetailed as they come and somehow it is well made. Why even try? [:(]

RE: Near misses

Posted: Fri Mar 13, 2009 1:44 pm
by Yamato hugger
I have often said there is a fine line between playability and realism. The more "real" you make something the harder it is to play. Games like Axis and Allies - Third Reich - Risk are easy (and fun) to play simply because they ARENT realistic. [;)]

They are games and dont pretend to be anything but a game. I think its pretty safe to say that if you go on the Axis and Allies forum you arent likely to find a heated debate about how effective the bow mg was on a Mk IV tank.

RE: Near misses

Posted: Fri Mar 13, 2009 1:57 pm
by witpqs
ORIGINAL: Gary Childress

It still baffles me. WITP is probably the most detailed grand strategy game on the market and it is somehow full of flaws. Axis and Allies OTOH is about as undetailed as they come and somehow it is well made. Why even try? [:(]

I think you're taking it wrong. True, sometimes folks whine with the 'this totally screws the game' nonsense, but a lot of this discussion is not of that kind. People also discuss minor adjustments that might be made (eventually) or futures for fantasy '-2' product a decade or so away.

RE: Near misses

Posted: Fri Mar 13, 2009 1:58 pm
by witpqs
ORIGINAL: Yamato hugger

I think its pretty safe to say that if you go on the Axis and Allies forum you arent likely to find a heated debate about how effective the bow mg was on a Mk IV tank.

The MG was fine but the ammo was modeled wrong! [:'(] [:D]