T33
Weather slowly improving and so is bombing effectiveness.
Since I am making (some) progress in Italy have stopped using 15 Air in S Germany and its all aimed at the Italian rail net. I think I can manage another 10 or so turns of active operations in Italy before I really need to pull out planes and some combat formations to support the invasion of France.
Sticking with Italy, here's the end of turn. On the west not just managed to break the line again but this time managed to exploit. Strongly suspect that Polish brigade is going to be battered but it all helps to build up momentum.
On the east the naval landing with a single brigade reached 50% preparation so ordered it to attack. If there is any opposition its doomed so no real gain to having a higher number of PP. I've sent a US infantry division and will fly in a Para regiment (next turn) to give me a fairly solid stack.
And then start preparing another similar invasion closer to Rimini.
In the air, BC attacks to the east of the Ruhr. Basically will hit a cluster of small targets.
Worked out ok, Kassel itself was badly hit. Again the Germans are losing the air battle badly.
On which subject, the P-51s continue to do AS sweeps to the west of the Oder. This one was set up around the path chosen for 8 Air to give it more protection.
Looking at some of the detailed reports, the average experience of the German pilots is reducing rapidly.
Realise this is vs AI, and that a German player wouldn't have engaged with my FC sweeps in the summer/autumn of 1943 but this is by far the earliest I have seen this collapse of the Luftwaffe. In a PBEM you can delay it into the autumn.
I think it supports the logic to using FC aggresively in 1943, even if I did actually run out of Spitfires as a result. It also allows me to convert more squadrons from FB-F to FB which makes the impact of tactical air all the more devastating in France.
Tac Air back to the Netherlands as that v-weapon site is hard to keep suppressed.
Since I seem to have air superiority, 8 Air goes somewhere new. Time for a day time raid on Berlin.

Which proves to be devastating. Nice collection of VP targets and a lot of damage to the Stug production.
Again, note how ineffective the German fighters were.
So, unless I am really misreading the situation, that is the Luftwaffe finished as a dangerous force. The advantage to me now is that I can accelerate converting FB-F to FB and risk using lower levels of escorts for the bombers. Equally I can risk pushing 8 AAF outside its main fighter cover (into areas like SW Germany which has some juicy but isolated targets).
I've tried three things I've not done before:
a) FC as a very aggressive AS function – I had someone do this to me in a PBEM and while I could minimise it by careful deployment it was a constant source of losses. Negative is it was out of planes by October 1943 but there is a bit of so what to this. I start converting British and Canadian formations to FB and re-equipping with Typhoons and Hurricanes at that stage in any case.
b) using 55 as my morale cut off. I've tended to go higher, around 70, but this has not seen any real increase in my losses and its allowed me to keep a sustained bombing effort linked to
c) only using the Strat bombers 2-3 days a week means I have had little problem with fatigue or forcing beaten up formations to fly again (this does tend to generate operational losses)
My guess is that b+c gave me lower bombing VP for the first 10 or so turns but by the time I reached 10 per turn in 1943 I could sustain that relatively easily. One thing that doesn't work is pushing a tired strategic bombing force or risking raids with a limited bomber force. Early game, mass compensates for recon problems and also stops a small raid being dismantled if caught out badly by the Luftwaffe.