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Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. Allied #1. East Africa.

Combat Logs. Map.

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. Allied #1. Asian Theater.

Combat Logs.

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. Allied #1. Asian Theater. Manchuria. Korea.

Manchuria 69,152.
Ground Support. Land Combat. Map.

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. Allied #1. Asian Theater. Manchuria. China.

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. Axis #2.

Open, Resolved, New Axis War Directives.
(1) The big news here is that Germany has postponed (indefinitely) their planned invasion & conquest of Greece.
(2) Actually, it's a cancellation.
(3) Germany has now decided their main effort will be to break their neutrality pact with the Soviet Union.
(4) Don't believe that's possible this turn; but maybe next turn?
(5) Germany will definitely be able to break the pact next year (1941) when the garrison multiplier goes from 2 to 1.
(6) NOTE. Not playing with breaking the pact optional rule so that multiplier is still at 2 (instead of 1.5 if with the optional).
(7) Germany will definitely continue to help out the Italian in the Med, and to defend Albania, and certainly continue their U-boat war supported by the Italians against Allied convoy. Weather. Actions.
(8) Germany takes a rare naval in order to get U-boats in Brest & in Keil out into the Atlantic (probably the Faeroes Gap).
(9) A naval also allows them to move the Romania navy (CA DD flotilla and CP) out into the Black Sea and to get their Amph & TRS Gps out into the Baltic.
(10) Italy takes a naval in order to support Germany's battle in the Atlantic; and is looking to punish the RN for their "foolish" raid into the West Med.
(11) Well, really they want to engage and run off the RN in the West Med before they can fly out their newly rebases F3 air groups, which could flyout (but not react) to cover the RN in [3].
(12) Of course, the RN is hoping the Italians & Germans don't find with 3 Nav Air Gps covered by 2 FTR Gps in [2] (which will be flown out during their move).
(13) Japan takes a combine in order to get Yamashiro HQ-I and Kyoto MIL (both in Japan) to Korea and hopefully stabilize and save Korea and keep it's 1 RP.
(14) With Germany pushing to go to war with the Soviets, Japan is looking to keep the Soviets occupied in Asia for as long as possible.
(15) 2 of 3 Japan's land moves will go to debark Yamashiro & Kyoto MIL.
(16) 3rd LM & 1 rail will go to securing (i.e., garrison both Changsha and RP SW1 of Changsha) from the raiding, cheeky Chinese Cav div.
(17) Also, Japan will use most of their air moves to rebase their strategic bomber force in southern China and currently out of supply due to rain in the north monsoon to the north temperate in order to pound Chinese factories for the remainder of this turn.
(18) This will (should be) a long turn with fine weather in the north temperate, Med & arctic where most, if not all, the action will/should occur.

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. Axis #2. Naval Phases.

Combat Logs.

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. Axis #2. Naval Combat.

Faeroes Gap (1/2).

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. Axis #2. Naval Combat.

Faeroes Gap (2/2).

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. Axis #2. Naval Combat.

West Med(1/2).

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. Axis #2. Naval Combat.

West Med(2/2). East Med.

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. Axis #2. Rail, Land Move & Air Rebase. Combat Logs.

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. Axis #2. Asian.

Manchuria. Korea. China.

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. Axis #2. Med.

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. Axis #2. Europe.
Reich (Euro) Air Defense Matrix.

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. Allied #3. Impulse Planning. Weather & USA.

Weather. USA.
(1) All Ge U-boat flotillas & It Sub Gps are committed (Faeroes Gap, East Med or flipped in port).
(2) Therefore; US has fully met both elements of USA-WAR-37, "Escort Atlantic CPs".
(3) With no need to worry about sending out additional Atlantic convoy escorts, the US can now focus on getting the remainder of the required fleet out to Pearl Harbor.
(4) The are current 5 USN BBs based there, which means the USN needs 1 more BB, 2 CAs & 2 CVs to fill out the required fleet.
(5) A feat which the US will accomplish over the next two allied impulses.
(6) This impulse the USN will send 1 BB, 1 CA & 1 CV to Pearl; and next allied impulse 1 CA & 1 CV.
(7) US (neutral) action -> combine.
Active WAR.

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. Allied #3. Impulse Planning. CW & France.

Disrupted Convoy Lines, Spare CPs, Current & Future U-boat/Sub Threats.
(1) Allied (CW) CPs took a severe beating last impulse in the Faeroes Gap.
(2) 6 of CPs were sunk and the 7th was aborted, leaving no CPs in Faeroes Gap and a big hole in CW production.
(3) The upside is that the CW & French have the spare CPs and the time (i.e., several impulses this turn) to repair their lines and get back full (CW) production.
(4) The CW didn't even bother to open their production form and see what their degrade production is as a result of this beating.
(5) Actually, there's no need as the CW & French WILL replace the lost CPs before any chance of this turn ending (i.e., by Allied #7).
(6) Also, the CW & Fr could ensure these replaced CPs are even attacked by moving them into the Bay of Biscay.
(7) However; this creates a significant vulnerability for next turn.
(8) Specifically, 16 CPs in the Bay of Biscay with Ge U-boats & Fr Subs based in adjacent ports, available to attack from the highest sea boxes and with a +2 for 16 CPs vs +1 for 10 of less search bonus.
(9) After looking at the situation, the British Admiralty has decided to wait as long as possible (e.g., Allied #7) to fix the convoy lines and
(10) To risk replacement CPs being sent into the Faeroes Gap.
(11) The rationale for the latter is that the Admiralty feels this turn risk in the Faeroes Gap is less severe than next turn's risk of 16 CPs in the Bay of Biscay.
(12) Also, allied ASW in the 0-box is very strong and should inflict near parity losses on U-boats/Subs if found. Active CW WAR Directives.
(13) CW will take a land action and use that action in West Africa to eliminate 3 of the 4 OOS, flipped & isolated Italian stacks in Morocco.
(14) Planners were able to get automatic blitz (x2) and assault (x1) odds to eliminate 24 BPs of trapped Italian ground & air units.
(15) I think from a counterfactual perspective it's safe to say that these three land combats are surrenders by the Italians with exceptions of some small unit (battalion or less) actions.
(16) The CW was also take advantage of their land to move in East Africa against the OOS & isolated Italian inf in Asmara, Eritrea.
(17) However; it was be several impulses (maybe not this turn) before Wavell will have the forces in place to make an assault.
(18) That is, unless the RN gets very lucky with a 10% ground strike from the RN carrier in the Red Sea. West Africa. Attack Planning (Three Sure Things).
(19) No retreat possible for the Italian stack in W1-Rabat, Morocco; so */B (or LCR=21 -> +19B) will do the trick (i.e., destroy the stack with no chance of flip or loss).
(20) The final AP odds were +21B > +19B required.
(20) Retreat is possible for the Italian Mtn in SW1-Casablanca, Morocco; so */B would be a mini-disaster forcing the CW to either shatter, meaning the Mtn escapes, or retreat to the 4th 2-stack in the Mtns & not being attack this impulse.
(21) Such a retreat would add 6 (3 x 2) or DF to the this 2-stack already at 8 (4x2) though OOS, flipped & isolated.
(22) This means that the required result was */1B (or LCR=22 -> +20B); the final AP odds were +20.5B > required +21B.
(23) The final land combat this impulse was an assault vs OOS & flipped Graziani HQ-A (S2-Rabat, Morocco), who's already escape once (i.e., retreated) surrender or destruction; but will have no possible retreat this time (meaning */B will do).
(24) The final AP odds got +19B (*/B) on the nose.

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. Allied #3. Impulse Planning. China (CCP & Nationalist).

CCP Attack Planning.
(1) Oh my goodness, CCP has a good opportunity to liberate (i.e., take back) Tungkwan; but that opportunity comes with serious risk.
(2) And, this opportunity will pass (i.e, Jp will likely reinforce the sole Garr army holding it now) if the CCP doesn't act this impulse.
(3) It's not the 98% PWIN that's the concern, it's the 2.5% of losing 3 of the 4 attacking units (i.e., losing 2 inf armies & 1 Mtn corps) & leaving Mao's HQ-I flipped & exposed.
(4) Note that Mao is flipping not matter what as he's providing HQ support to the assault.
(5) The CCP would like to wait to later in the turn to take this chance (i.e., opportunity); however, if they wait it won't be there.
(6) Therefore; Mao orders the assault and will personally lead it!
(7) Mao hopes to keep at least 2 of his armies organized and in position to push Japan in the Nanyang (& south) sector.
(8) In addition to liberating Tungkwan, the goal is to draw Japanese forces south toward his axis of advance and away from the Soviet forces in Manchuria on the northern border of China. Active WAR Directives.
(9) The Nationalist in northern China (Garr army & Wld being recalled back), though few in units, play a significant role in helping Mao extend the impact of his southern flank.
(10) Also, the two Nationalist cav units (1 corps, 1 div) also play an important role in forcing Japan to deal with their raiding, or threat of their raiding.
(11) Now in the south (Southern China), Chiang is scrambling to do the best he can to hold onto both Chungking and Chentgu; the 2 cities of which account for 3 BPs of China's anemic (5 BPs before Japanese strategic bombing) war production.
(12) Both the Nationalist & CCP take a land; well the CCP takes a land because the Soviets will take a land.

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. Allied #3. Impulse Planning. USSR.

Active WAR Directives. Attack Planning.
(1) No good option for attacking Yamashita HQ-I or Umezu HQ-I blocking Soviet access to Port Arthur.
(2) Well, no good option this early in the turn with several more fine weather impulses to come.
(3) So, the Soviets in Asia will pivot their axis of advance in force to go after and conquer Korea.
(4) In addition to the Korean MIL defending the country, there's a Japanese MIL in the Sea of Japan that will be added.
(5) However; this is likely it and the Soviets plan is to go after and destroy/isolate those units quick enough to pivot for (hopefully) a late turn assault/blitz vs Yamashita and/or Umezu.
(6) In regards to the Soviet Sub and Strategic bomber threats; the Soviets intend to hold their powder until later in the turn or if Japan strips fighter reactive coverage away from cities with 2+ factories/saved oil.
(7) The Soviets take a land action.

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. Allied #3. Asian Theater.

Land Move - Combat Logs. Air Rebase. Manchuria. Korea.

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. Allied #3. Asian Theater.

Tungkwan, China.
(1) Attack planners (i.e., me!) missed the potential of defensive ground support.
(2) This potential did materialize, made the risk of the land to liberate Tungkwan more severe.
(3) Fortunately for Mao, he rolled well enough to avert the worse; but not high enough to avert any loss.
(4) The missed risked of defensive ground support also had a positive in that it significant reduced the Jp strategic bombing threat by taking their two best strategic bomber wings off the table.
(5) From an expected sense this "saved" China 1.1 BPs, which somewhat offsets the loss of the CCP inf army (3 BPs).
(6) Would CCP have gone through with this assault IF the potential for defensive ground support had been identified?
(7) Honestly I don't know ... so maybe it was a good thing that the CCP planners missed it? China.