World War III plot -- the chemical option?
Posted: Thu May 01, 2014 8:36 am
A question for history and alternate history buffs out there...
A lot of discussions of a possible NATO-Soviet confrontation assume that the Soviets would use chemical weapons and NATO would respond with tactical nuclear strikes.
What if NATO didn't do this but, instead, just used its own chemical weapons? "Sauce for the gander" logic. This is horrifying, but less horrifying than using nuclear weapons. It would also remove most of the advantage that Soviets had gained from using chemical weapons (yes, they had trained with them, but they would now have to deal with our chemical attacks.)
In effect, rather than escalate to nuclear weapons, NATO chooses to simply level the playing field. To use a poker metaphor, they don't "see and raise," but simply "see and call."
My own speculation...this avoid nuclear escalation. The Soviets did not want to be the ones to use nuclear weapons first and as long as NATO does not use them, it would be hard for them to justify it. In addition, the chemical attacks would actually taper off as the tactical advantages of using them diminished. After a week or so, the war would continue, but almost exclusively with conventional weapons and limited or no further use of chemical weapons.
Any thoughts on this? How plausible is this?
A lot of discussions of a possible NATO-Soviet confrontation assume that the Soviets would use chemical weapons and NATO would respond with tactical nuclear strikes.
What if NATO didn't do this but, instead, just used its own chemical weapons? "Sauce for the gander" logic. This is horrifying, but less horrifying than using nuclear weapons. It would also remove most of the advantage that Soviets had gained from using chemical weapons (yes, they had trained with them, but they would now have to deal with our chemical attacks.)
In effect, rather than escalate to nuclear weapons, NATO chooses to simply level the playing field. To use a poker metaphor, they don't "see and raise," but simply "see and call."
My own speculation...this avoid nuclear escalation. The Soviets did not want to be the ones to use nuclear weapons first and as long as NATO does not use them, it would be hard for them to justify it. In addition, the chemical attacks would actually taper off as the tactical advantages of using them diminished. After a week or so, the war would continue, but almost exclusively with conventional weapons and limited or no further use of chemical weapons.
Any thoughts on this? How plausible is this?