Return of an old expression
Posted: Thu Mar 27, 2003 7:43 am
"Those that forget the past are doomed to repeat it"
I am concerned genuinely worried about the upcoming days of the situation in Iraq.
I am not worried about the troops, they know the nature of their job I think.
I am not worried about the Iraqi people, they most certainly know what's happening as well.
I am genuinely concerned for the average schmuck viewer in tv land.
It is becoming apparent, to apparent, that most people have failed to learn much history.
The Gulf war went so stunningly successful, that I seriously think the average civilian has bought into the notion this is going to be a quick easy deal.
IT WON'T BE!
I sincerely believe this.
The coalition has done a fine job so far. Driving pell mell across open desert.
Baghdad is not open desert though.
Even if the coalition forces had rolled to Baghdad unopposed with zero trouble, I would be seriously concerned about the assumptions this is going to be any short term effort.
I recall the taking of Stalingrad - it wasn't taken.
Monte Cassino. What a slaughter taking that place. And several nations tried too.
Caen - they flattened it first, didn't make a difference.
Berlin - although the Russians did have disdain for their own troops.
Even with the opposition sucking wind after 6 years of all out warfare.
Even with the city totally surrounded and pounded by massive sums of artillery.
Even with hundreds of tanks.
The Russians suffered horrible casualties.
I think it is time that the average civilian woke up to the reality of urban warfare. I think the US might want to discuss things at length with the Israelis for instance.
I think the US will enter Baghdad and experience the first taste of real all out war in several decades.
It only takes one resister to fire bomb a tank.
Thats the cost of one individual willing to die, and one bottle of flammable substance, as measured against a well trained crew and a multi million dollar piece of gear.
The much reported shocking sunday, is likely going to be a much over rated event. The real fight will only begin when the US attempts to actually take Baghdad.
I for one though, would sure like to be 100% wrong on this one.
I am concerned genuinely worried about the upcoming days of the situation in Iraq.
I am not worried about the troops, they know the nature of their job I think.
I am not worried about the Iraqi people, they most certainly know what's happening as well.
I am genuinely concerned for the average schmuck viewer in tv land.
It is becoming apparent, to apparent, that most people have failed to learn much history.
The Gulf war went so stunningly successful, that I seriously think the average civilian has bought into the notion this is going to be a quick easy deal.
IT WON'T BE!
I sincerely believe this.
The coalition has done a fine job so far. Driving pell mell across open desert.
Baghdad is not open desert though.
Even if the coalition forces had rolled to Baghdad unopposed with zero trouble, I would be seriously concerned about the assumptions this is going to be any short term effort.
I recall the taking of Stalingrad - it wasn't taken.
Monte Cassino. What a slaughter taking that place. And several nations tried too.
Caen - they flattened it first, didn't make a difference.
Berlin - although the Russians did have disdain for their own troops.
Even with the opposition sucking wind after 6 years of all out warfare.
Even with the city totally surrounded and pounded by massive sums of artillery.
Even with hundreds of tanks.
The Russians suffered horrible casualties.
I think it is time that the average civilian woke up to the reality of urban warfare. I think the US might want to discuss things at length with the Israelis for instance.
I think the US will enter Baghdad and experience the first taste of real all out war in several decades.
It only takes one resister to fire bomb a tank.
Thats the cost of one individual willing to die, and one bottle of flammable substance, as measured against a well trained crew and a multi million dollar piece of gear.
The much reported shocking sunday, is likely going to be a much over rated event. The real fight will only begin when the US attempts to actually take Baghdad.
I for one though, would sure like to be 100% wrong on this one.