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When a friendly unit moves in to an enemy production centre the control does not take effect until after the upcoming enemy turn and that production centre is still occupied by a friendly unit.

What if the production centre cannot trace a supply route to a supply source? Will the control still change to friendly held?

Thanks in advance for any replies/comments.

Control will not change...it must be captured.
Any city space with a resource or just a resource space will work that way, at least in my testing.

Sorry, I was not clear enough in my question. Once a production centre is captured the amount of the production centre has impact on whether a country surrenders. Using Italy as an example, if the Allied capture a production centre worth 5 the number required for it to negotiate a surrender is reduced by 5. Will that centre still count if the Allied unit occupying it cannot trace supply to a source of supply?

Supply is irrelevant, only control. So if a country loses a "morale hex", that country morale will go down (and possibly cause a surrender depending on the numbers).