[ΤWEAK/FIXED] AAW hit rate of naval guns against drones
Posted: Wed May 27, 2026 4:54 pm
I have a question regarding the anti-aircraft (AA) hit rates of naval guns, specifically concerning their effectiveness against drones. I am unsure whether this falls under a Tech Support issue or a Database (DB) issue, but I am reporting it here first.
Based on indirect reports from various recent naval engagements in the Middle East, there is information indicating that naval guns like the Mk.45 5-inch gun and CIWS like the Phalanx are highly effective at intercepting slow, large suicide drones such as the Shahed-136.
Real-World Case Studies
USS Carney (2023–2024): While operating in the Red Sea, the USS Carney conducted 51 anti-aircraft engagements. By utilizing the Mk.45 gun and CIWS during these operations, they were able to conserve their missiles and engage targets efficiently.
Hellenic Navy Frigate Psara: While operating off the coast of Somalia, this frigate successfully utilized its Mk.45 gun to intercept drones, further proving the effectiveness of naval artillery in anti-drone warfare.
Reference:
https://www.twz.com/sea/uss-carneys-red ... capability
https://www.twz.com/sea/greek-warship-g ... -new-video
https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/ ... ne-defense
Technical & Historical Context
Practically speaking, this is not surprising. Large suicide drones like the Shahed-136 have a substantial radar cross-section, making them easy to detect. Furthermore, their slow flight speed allows for straightforward tracking using systems like the Mk.20 EOSS. Consequently, it is quite expected that an electronically controlled Mk.45 gun firing proximity-fuzed shells can successfully shoot down these drones.
Historically, during World War II, 5-inch anti-aircraft guns managed to shoot down Japanese Kamikaze aircraft—which were much faster than modern low-end drones—using what we would now consider very low-performance fire control systems. Considering this precedent, it is highly predictable that modern naval guns would boast a high probability of kill against contemporary drones.
Issues in the Current CMO Database
The problem is that the hit rates for these naval guns are currently set far too low in the CMO database:
Mk.45 5-inch gun: ~5% AA hit rate
76mm OTO Melara: ~2% AA hit rate
Mk.8 4.5-inch gun: ~4% AA hit rate
While these hit probabilities are perfectly reasonable when targeting modern jet fighters, applying these exact same figures to slow-moving drones results in a practical hit rate of a mere 1%. Similarly, the Phalanx CIWS has an approximately 30% hit rate against much faster cruise missiles, yet this exact same rate is being uniformly applied to drones.
Anti-Aircraft Range Issue:
In addition, the anti-aircraft range of naval guns in the game is set quite short, at around 1.5 nm. According to known real-world data, the effective AA range of the Mk.45 gun is approximately 7,000 meters, or roughly 4 nm.
Reference: http://www.navweaps.com/Weapons/WNUS_5-54_mk45.php
Conclusion
In conclusion, the existing anti-aircraft hit rates and ranges—which were clearly designed with fast jet fighters or cruise missiles in mind—are being uniformly applied to drones, leading to highly unrealistic outcomes in simulations. I believe this specific area requires a DB adjustment or modification.
I look forward to your positive response regarding this issue!
Based on indirect reports from various recent naval engagements in the Middle East, there is information indicating that naval guns like the Mk.45 5-inch gun and CIWS like the Phalanx are highly effective at intercepting slow, large suicide drones such as the Shahed-136.
Real-World Case Studies
USS Carney (2023–2024): While operating in the Red Sea, the USS Carney conducted 51 anti-aircraft engagements. By utilizing the Mk.45 gun and CIWS during these operations, they were able to conserve their missiles and engage targets efficiently.
Hellenic Navy Frigate Psara: While operating off the coast of Somalia, this frigate successfully utilized its Mk.45 gun to intercept drones, further proving the effectiveness of naval artillery in anti-drone warfare.
Reference:
https://www.twz.com/sea/uss-carneys-red ... capability
https://www.twz.com/sea/greek-warship-g ... -new-video
https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/ ... ne-defense
Technical & Historical Context
Practically speaking, this is not surprising. Large suicide drones like the Shahed-136 have a substantial radar cross-section, making them easy to detect. Furthermore, their slow flight speed allows for straightforward tracking using systems like the Mk.20 EOSS. Consequently, it is quite expected that an electronically controlled Mk.45 gun firing proximity-fuzed shells can successfully shoot down these drones.
Historically, during World War II, 5-inch anti-aircraft guns managed to shoot down Japanese Kamikaze aircraft—which were much faster than modern low-end drones—using what we would now consider very low-performance fire control systems. Considering this precedent, it is highly predictable that modern naval guns would boast a high probability of kill against contemporary drones.
Issues in the Current CMO Database
The problem is that the hit rates for these naval guns are currently set far too low in the CMO database:
Mk.45 5-inch gun: ~5% AA hit rate
76mm OTO Melara: ~2% AA hit rate
Mk.8 4.5-inch gun: ~4% AA hit rate
While these hit probabilities are perfectly reasonable when targeting modern jet fighters, applying these exact same figures to slow-moving drones results in a practical hit rate of a mere 1%. Similarly, the Phalanx CIWS has an approximately 30% hit rate against much faster cruise missiles, yet this exact same rate is being uniformly applied to drones.
Anti-Aircraft Range Issue:
In addition, the anti-aircraft range of naval guns in the game is set quite short, at around 1.5 nm. According to known real-world data, the effective AA range of the Mk.45 gun is approximately 7,000 meters, or roughly 4 nm.
Reference: http://www.navweaps.com/Weapons/WNUS_5-54_mk45.php
Conclusion
In conclusion, the existing anti-aircraft hit rates and ranges—which were clearly designed with fast jet fighters or cruise missiles in mind—are being uniformly applied to drones, leading to highly unrealistic outcomes in simulations. I believe this specific area requires a DB adjustment or modification.
I look forward to your positive response regarding this issue!