WITP Strategy
Posted: Fri Oct 01, 2004 12:53 am
(note: I'm getting sick and tired of seeing the so-called "Lawrence of Arabia Gambit" thread as the only strategic discussion thread in the War Room. So I'd like to suggest that we start a serious discussion about WITP strategy. I will starting by posting my thoughts, but let's all agree on one thing before we start: let's keep it strategic. Tactics and tricks are for other threads.)
WITP Strategy - How I see the Pacific War
Japan is the instigator of the war. For us it is a war for resources. The recurring theme for Japan is a lack of resources (materials, oil, ships, planes, soilders) compared to our enemies. Hence our war plans need to be tailored to aquiring more resources while conserving those we have.
The Manchukuo Front is stable and there is nothing we can do here. It still contains valuable resources that we need.
The China Front is our main theatre where we have been conducting a war since the 30ies. Changsa, Wuchow and Yenen are all immeditately obtainable objectives with HI and resources. However careful study of the map should disclose a potential for dislocating or isolating the Chinese Communists in the Yenen-Langchow-Sian triangle. If we can puncture the defenses somewhere along this line while conducting holding operations in the south we should be in a good postions to chase the Chinese to the interior where we can work on capturing Chungking, Kunming or Chengtu. The biggest danger is China is to spread our forces too evenly or worse yet to allow individual garrisons to be surrounded. Sufficient garrisons with larger reserves are necessary to avoid bad surprises. Should the Chinese be sufficiently weakened we can entertain the idea of sending troops from China to Burma and free up troops there.
The Malaya/Burma/India Front is a necessary war against the old European empires of the UK and the Netherlands. Both Malaya and Burma has large amounts or resources that we will need. Special mention goes to Singapore, which dominates DEI and controls the gateway to India. Capturing Singapore should be top priority from the start as subsequent operations depend on it. If you look closely at Burma, the last resources to be had are in Mandalay. Advancing beyond Mandalay will give us no discernible benefit unless we can reach India - and British defenses on the border of India will be strong. However India is such a valuable area that serious consideration should be given to invading it, by sea. Good beachheads locations are Yanam, Madras, Ceylon or even the west coast of India if you have complete domination of the seas. Such a blow would have to be landed with overwhelming force. Should India fall we are close to winning the war.
The DEI Front is where we will get most our conquered resources. Lightly defended, we should have no trouble marching in and taking what we need. The only speedbumps are the Phillipines, where I favor the use of massive force to take is as soon as possible (bring as many divisions as you can), and Java which has a fair concentration of enemy forces. I also favor a trust from the North through Singapore and Palemband as this is safer and will give you the bases you need for sufficient air cover.
Australia is a favorite subject for many would-be Japanese Empire builders. Unfortunately it is heavily defended, contains little oil and reaches across such a vast area as to make conquest extremely hard. Personally I would never consider invading Australia as the cost is almost sure to outweigh the benefit. Only if the Allied forces are somehow weakened would such a venture be possible and even then I would think twice. Cutting Australia off from supply from the US is also a dream (see Pacific Islands below).
The Pacific Islands/New Zealand/Hawaii - many historical battles were fought here, lots of ships sunk and yet there is nothing of value to be had. Not a single resource. Two arguments are often put forward; conquering a defensive line and damaging the opponent. For the first argument, I agree, provided you can advance at little cost. The second argument is dubious unless you sink/kill at the least with a 2 to 1 ratio. Remember you opponent has limitless resources - we are trying to conserve ours.
US West Coast/Alaska - No serious Japanese strategy would propose invading before India or Australia is taken.
In summary for Japan: We need resources and we need to only fight battles where we win by a clear margin. Trading blows is not a viable strategy. I favor going for China/DEI/Malaya/Burma and then an eventual assault on India if we have the possibility. I do not like the idea of trying to sink US carriers offensively - let them come to me. Lastly, I prefer to remain highly opportunistic and attacking where the enemy is weak. Finally, once you hit the wall - which in all likelyhood you will - it is important to realize it, dig in and prepare for the long years ahead. Offensives after you've reached your peak (Midway/Solomons historically) is folly.
For the Allies the situation is very different. We start weak and then grow stronger and stronger over time. Resources are not an issue. Our strategy will evolve around denying resources to the enemy and eroding his forces.
The China Front is crucial. Our starting position is not good and it is important that we do not give Japan any breathing space. If you follow a classical defensive strategy you are doomed. We need to defend lightly, dig forts in rear areas while raiding supply lines and mounting one or two offensives to hurt his forces and even take a city or two. Do not try to hold against his main offensive, but rather frustrate him by attacking where his defense is not. Best case Japan will dig down spreading his forces and we achieve a true stalemate where we are raiding him, worst case we make him fight as long as possible and lose much manpower and supply as he slowly pushes us back. Once defeat looks inevitable I prefer an "insect swarm" approach - spread your unsupplied forces all over the country side and let him hunt you down - it will take a long time before he can mount effective operations against your interior.
The Malaya/Burma/India Front is doomed. You can try to hold on to Singapore and delay him or you can try to evacuate. In the long run, don't try to hold anything by India. Securing India and using it as a base to raid him when possible is the best we can do. Avoid using too many troops in Burma as they will tire and not do much good against the enemy.
DEI is also doomed. I prefer to pull out and save as many forces as possible. Alternatively you can fight a delaying action but invariably your forces will be too weak and lose badly.
Australia should be made secure as soon as possible, and ready as a base for future offensive operations. Australian units start in ackward positions but the rail network should allow you to redistribute them before Japan is ready to probe your defenses.
The Pacific Islands - In the beginning you have virtually no forces here. I like holding Pearl Harbor and the Island chain down from Wake through to Noumea. The objective is not to make them impervious to assault but rather to make them costly to take (bleed his resources). Heavy mining, raider/defense battalions, heavy guns and/or anti-aircraft work well and are worth risking. Larger ground units are not. Patrol boats are also good. Invariably Japan will come and look for a fight (just like in history, unlike me) - having your fleet ready at key locations behind the front should allow you to counter-attack, and even if you don't achieve a Midway you should be able to trade losses at a good rate. Remeber he does not get replacements, you do.
Allied counter-offense: I really think you have to take the approach of least resistance. Quite possibly the Japanese player expects and advance through the Pacific and will have a stronger than historical defense. If so, you can advance from Darwin through DEI to the Phillipines or even mainland Asia. Or you could attack Malaya in concert with the British. Or you could invade Northern Japan through the Artic. It really depends on where the defense is weakest. Lastly but not least, submarines - goes without saying, used to sink as much oil/resources/shipment as possible.
What are your thoughts on strategy?
WITP Strategy - How I see the Pacific War
Japan is the instigator of the war. For us it is a war for resources. The recurring theme for Japan is a lack of resources (materials, oil, ships, planes, soilders) compared to our enemies. Hence our war plans need to be tailored to aquiring more resources while conserving those we have.
The Manchukuo Front is stable and there is nothing we can do here. It still contains valuable resources that we need.
The China Front is our main theatre where we have been conducting a war since the 30ies. Changsa, Wuchow and Yenen are all immeditately obtainable objectives with HI and resources. However careful study of the map should disclose a potential for dislocating or isolating the Chinese Communists in the Yenen-Langchow-Sian triangle. If we can puncture the defenses somewhere along this line while conducting holding operations in the south we should be in a good postions to chase the Chinese to the interior where we can work on capturing Chungking, Kunming or Chengtu. The biggest danger is China is to spread our forces too evenly or worse yet to allow individual garrisons to be surrounded. Sufficient garrisons with larger reserves are necessary to avoid bad surprises. Should the Chinese be sufficiently weakened we can entertain the idea of sending troops from China to Burma and free up troops there.
The Malaya/Burma/India Front is a necessary war against the old European empires of the UK and the Netherlands. Both Malaya and Burma has large amounts or resources that we will need. Special mention goes to Singapore, which dominates DEI and controls the gateway to India. Capturing Singapore should be top priority from the start as subsequent operations depend on it. If you look closely at Burma, the last resources to be had are in Mandalay. Advancing beyond Mandalay will give us no discernible benefit unless we can reach India - and British defenses on the border of India will be strong. However India is such a valuable area that serious consideration should be given to invading it, by sea. Good beachheads locations are Yanam, Madras, Ceylon or even the west coast of India if you have complete domination of the seas. Such a blow would have to be landed with overwhelming force. Should India fall we are close to winning the war.
The DEI Front is where we will get most our conquered resources. Lightly defended, we should have no trouble marching in and taking what we need. The only speedbumps are the Phillipines, where I favor the use of massive force to take is as soon as possible (bring as many divisions as you can), and Java which has a fair concentration of enemy forces. I also favor a trust from the North through Singapore and Palemband as this is safer and will give you the bases you need for sufficient air cover.
Australia is a favorite subject for many would-be Japanese Empire builders. Unfortunately it is heavily defended, contains little oil and reaches across such a vast area as to make conquest extremely hard. Personally I would never consider invading Australia as the cost is almost sure to outweigh the benefit. Only if the Allied forces are somehow weakened would such a venture be possible and even then I would think twice. Cutting Australia off from supply from the US is also a dream (see Pacific Islands below).
The Pacific Islands/New Zealand/Hawaii - many historical battles were fought here, lots of ships sunk and yet there is nothing of value to be had. Not a single resource. Two arguments are often put forward; conquering a defensive line and damaging the opponent. For the first argument, I agree, provided you can advance at little cost. The second argument is dubious unless you sink/kill at the least with a 2 to 1 ratio. Remember you opponent has limitless resources - we are trying to conserve ours.
US West Coast/Alaska - No serious Japanese strategy would propose invading before India or Australia is taken.
In summary for Japan: We need resources and we need to only fight battles where we win by a clear margin. Trading blows is not a viable strategy. I favor going for China/DEI/Malaya/Burma and then an eventual assault on India if we have the possibility. I do not like the idea of trying to sink US carriers offensively - let them come to me. Lastly, I prefer to remain highly opportunistic and attacking where the enemy is weak. Finally, once you hit the wall - which in all likelyhood you will - it is important to realize it, dig in and prepare for the long years ahead. Offensives after you've reached your peak (Midway/Solomons historically) is folly.
For the Allies the situation is very different. We start weak and then grow stronger and stronger over time. Resources are not an issue. Our strategy will evolve around denying resources to the enemy and eroding his forces.
The China Front is crucial. Our starting position is not good and it is important that we do not give Japan any breathing space. If you follow a classical defensive strategy you are doomed. We need to defend lightly, dig forts in rear areas while raiding supply lines and mounting one or two offensives to hurt his forces and even take a city or two. Do not try to hold against his main offensive, but rather frustrate him by attacking where his defense is not. Best case Japan will dig down spreading his forces and we achieve a true stalemate where we are raiding him, worst case we make him fight as long as possible and lose much manpower and supply as he slowly pushes us back. Once defeat looks inevitable I prefer an "insect swarm" approach - spread your unsupplied forces all over the country side and let him hunt you down - it will take a long time before he can mount effective operations against your interior.
The Malaya/Burma/India Front is doomed. You can try to hold on to Singapore and delay him or you can try to evacuate. In the long run, don't try to hold anything by India. Securing India and using it as a base to raid him when possible is the best we can do. Avoid using too many troops in Burma as they will tire and not do much good against the enemy.
DEI is also doomed. I prefer to pull out and save as many forces as possible. Alternatively you can fight a delaying action but invariably your forces will be too weak and lose badly.
Australia should be made secure as soon as possible, and ready as a base for future offensive operations. Australian units start in ackward positions but the rail network should allow you to redistribute them before Japan is ready to probe your defenses.
The Pacific Islands - In the beginning you have virtually no forces here. I like holding Pearl Harbor and the Island chain down from Wake through to Noumea. The objective is not to make them impervious to assault but rather to make them costly to take (bleed his resources). Heavy mining, raider/defense battalions, heavy guns and/or anti-aircraft work well and are worth risking. Larger ground units are not. Patrol boats are also good. Invariably Japan will come and look for a fight (just like in history, unlike me) - having your fleet ready at key locations behind the front should allow you to counter-attack, and even if you don't achieve a Midway you should be able to trade losses at a good rate. Remeber he does not get replacements, you do.
Allied counter-offense: I really think you have to take the approach of least resistance. Quite possibly the Japanese player expects and advance through the Pacific and will have a stronger than historical defense. If so, you can advance from Darwin through DEI to the Phillipines or even mainland Asia. Or you could attack Malaya in concert with the British. Or you could invade Northern Japan through the Artic. It really depends on where the defense is weakest. Lastly but not least, submarines - goes without saying, used to sink as much oil/resources/shipment as possible.
What are your thoughts on strategy?