Originally posted by tsbond:
The Russians could have been crippled after fine and strategic strikes on supply lines by air. Fuel and trains would have been a major target.
[This message has been edited by tsbond (edited February 18, 2001).]
I personally think the supply issue would have been the key to any fighting that occured between the two sides. The Soviet pattern had been consistent - gather supplies for a few months and then launch an overwhelming attack, but they were getting quicker as the war went on. This pattern was pretty consistent for all sides, actually - even the Germans had pauses during Barbarossa, although much shorter. The Soviets got by on much less than any other combatants, but they relied on masses of artillery, requiring shells, and their tanks required lots of fuel.
The Red Air Force never dominated anything but the front lines during the war - they never became real adept at using air power into the depths of the German rear. In part this was due to fairly short range for the Surmoviks, and also their C&C was fairly primitive. I don't believe they ever used more than primitive radar, if any, either.
Anyway, the Soviets would have required at least a short (1-2 months???) pause before being ready to strike for "the channel". Based on their normal lunges, this would require at least 2 offensives - first to the Rhine. They could not have reached it in one attack, especially as their supply situation was getting worse the farther west they went. I doubt that the West could stop the Soviets, but they might have been able to stop them short of the Rhine. The Americans, as someone said, had by far the best artillery of a major power in the war. The Soviet infantry would be pounded pretty well by it, reducing the support for the tanks. Nobody, including the Soviets, was ever able to operate tanks effectively without decent infantry support throughout the war. However, as someone else said, the Western allies did not have large numbers of reserve units, making it tough to respond. But then the Germans hadn't for 2 years either, and the Americans had much greater wheeled mobility than anyone else, making it easier to move around the men that were available. Also, the front would have shrunk as it moved west, up until the Rhine being crossed, improving the situation.
As to the air, the Western allies would have gained dominance before the Soviets reached the channel, say during the pause after the first offensive came to a halt, wherever that would have been. The West tank busters were not as good as the Sturmovik or the various German ones, but they had great tactical airpower that was good at operating in the depths of the enemy rear. The Soviets would have had a tough time moving up supplies throughout, and it would get worse as their airpower declined.
Anyway, I think the Soviets would have pushed forward at least a fair distance, possibly reaching the Rhine at which point they would probably have reached a stalemate like happened in Korea. The longer the battle lasted, the tougher for the Soviets to continue the fight so far from home and all.
It would have definitely been extremely bloody for both sides, and I really think it would have eventually ended in a stalemate somewhere in western Germany. Love the ideas of everyone on this issue.
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Rick Bancroft
Semper Fi
[This message has been edited by RickyB (edited February 18, 2001).]