Page 25 of 44
RE: Hell on Earth (Axis) HLYA vs (Soviet) JubJub
Posted: Sat Sep 11, 2021 2:11 am
by DeletedUser1769703214
Turn 9 Beginning of Turn
Real Turn updates when they happen (even my opponent can see them (if they want to look and are free to use them to their benefit))
Gomel Area
Looks like 3 Divisions for sure with possible Cav Division and another Soviet Division marked with yellow arros that is running but Forest ran out of gas it looks like.
Curious if that is the only CAV Division out here thus the ??? in the photo. Area will get recon to find out.
Jubjub did cut off the Brigade and Rgmt which I figured he would do. They both take a morale hit being surrounded.

RE: Hell on Earth (Axis) HLYA vs (Soviet) JubJub
Posted: Sat Sep 11, 2021 2:18 am
by DeletedUser1769703214
Turn 9 Beginning of Turn
Real Turn updates when they happen (even my opponent can see them (if they want to look and are free to use them to their benefit))
SouthEast of Smolensk
Soviets fade away into the Countryside as the pockets hold. Looks like the Soviet new line is at Bryansk.

RE: Hell on Earth (Axis) HLYA vs (Soviet) JubJub
Posted: Sat Sep 11, 2021 2:20 am
by DeletedUser1769703214
Turn 9 Beginning of Turn
Real Turn updates when they happen (even my opponent can see them (if they want to look and are free to use them to their benefit))
SouthEast of Smolensk Air Bombings
Soviets running mass unescorted bombings in the area. I haven't been too lucky catching these with auto intercept for many turns.

RE: Hell on Earth (Axis) HLYA vs (Soviet) JubJub
Posted: Sat Sep 11, 2021 2:23 am
by DeletedUser1769703214
Turn 9 Beginning of Turn
Real Turn updates when they happen (even my opponent can see them (if they want to look and are free to use them to their benefit))
SouthEast of Smolensk Air Bombings
I finally catch 1. 1 out of 6 isn't bad I guess. Will check my settings to make sure

RE: Hell on Earth (Axis) HLYA vs (Soviet) JubJub
Posted: Sat Sep 11, 2021 2:29 am
by DeletedUser1769703214
Turn 9 Beginning of Turn
Real Turn updates when they happen (even my opponent can see them (if they want to look and are free to use them to their benefit))
Pocket at Vyazma holds. Although Jubjub was crafty and air transported one of the CAV divisions out. Ended up being a 3rd CAV division that was in Vyazma.

RE: Hell on Earth (Axis) HLYA vs (Soviet) JubJub
Posted: Sat Sep 11, 2021 2:35 am
by DeletedUser1769703214
Turn 9 Beginning of Turn
Real Turn updates when they happen (even my opponent can see them (if they want to look and are free to use them to their benefit))
Pocket near Rvhez
Final pocket holds.
Only one CAV escape from a pocket thus evading the POW camp this turn in total.
Total units destined to the POW this turn = 12 Infanty Divisions & 6 CAV Divisions.

RE: Hell on Earth (Axis) HLYA vs (Soviet) JubJub
Posted: Sat Sep 11, 2021 2:42 am
by tyronec
Does anyone understand this ? An example would be helpful
What are the chances say of a unit passing this test if it has 12MPs and requires 11MPs commit.
Also, I am not sure but I think I have had examples where units activate when they don't have enough MPs to move adjacent to the opponent and execute a deliberate attack when that attack has been across a river. Could it be that the MPs to commit are calculated in a different way to movement on the map.

RE: Hell on Earth (Axis) HLYA vs (Soviet) JubJub
Posted: Sat Sep 11, 2021 2:52 am
by DeletedUser1769703214
ORIGINAL: tyronec
Does anyone understand this ? An example would be helpful
What are the chances say of a unit passing this test if it has 12MPs and requires 11MPs commit.
Also, I am not sure but I think I have had examples where units activate when they don't have enough MPs to move adjacent to the opponent and execute a deliberate attack when that attack has been across a river. Could it be that the MPs to commit are calculated in a different way to movement on the map.
I believe I understand this but we need someone like "Loki the Jedi Master of WITE2 rules" to confirm

RE: Hell on Earth (Axis) HLYA vs (Soviet) JubJub
Posted: Sat Sep 11, 2021 2:55 am
by DeletedUser1769703214
Turn 9 Beginning of Turn
Real Turn updates when they happen (even my opponent can see them (if they want to look and are free to use them to their benefit))
Air Losses

RE: Hell on Earth (Axis) HLYA vs (Soviet) JubJub
Posted: Sat Sep 11, 2021 2:59 am
by DeletedUser1769703214
Turn 9 Beginning of Turn
Real Turn updates when they happen
Pilot Losses
Not doing too bad here. I am trying to keep the Luftwaffe fighter arm alive as long as possible.

RE: Hell on Earth (Axis) HLYA vs (Soviet) JubJub
Posted: Sat Sep 11, 2021 3:02 am
by DeletedUser1769703214
Saving the turn and going to bed. 2 AM came quick and I have to pick up my daughter at the airport in the morning. Catch everyone sometime tomorrow and thank your for reading my ramblings.
RE: Hell on Earth (Axis) HLYA vs (Soviet) JubJub
Posted: Sat Sep 11, 2021 9:17 am
by loki100
ORIGINAL: HardLuckYetAgain
ORIGINAL: tyronec
Does anyone understand this ? An example would be helpful
What are the chances say of a unit passing this test if it has 12MPs and requires 11MPs commit.
Also, I am not sure but I think I have had examples where units activate when they don't have enough MPs to move adjacent to the opponent and execute a deliberate attack when that attack has been across a river. Could it be that the MPs to commit are calculated in a different way to movement on the map.
I believe I understand this but we need someone like "Loki the Jedi Master of WITE2 rules" to confirm
I think you'll need Joel for this one [;)]
that para reads like its been copied down from E1 to WiTW to E2 so I'd guess its precise if you know the code.
I'd parse it into 3 criteria
a) the easy one, does it have the MP to reach the battle paying all the terrain and situational costs?
b) the almost easy one, die roll vs leader initiative, so any initiative could feasibly fail (assume a die 10);
c) the opeque one. I think there are two moderated tests. Roll a Die (with this capped by the move cost) - so it can't be higher than the move cost (?), compare to a die (capped by unit MP). I think its the second bit that matters here, even if (a) applies, its just feasible that a die roll gives less 'MP for the moment' than are really there and if its a long range reaction there is then a chance of this dropping below the comparison.
So crudely, can it reach, does it pass the command test and does some
feng shui comparison of cost/available MP undermine the first two? Sounds feasible, a lot is in your control but there is a random element that can trip up the best set up.
RE: Hell on Earth (Axis) HLYA vs (Soviet) JubJub
Posted: Sat Sep 11, 2021 10:50 am
by carlkay58
As far as I know from experience, an activated reserve unit ignores enemy combat units. I have had them activate to defend a completely surrounded enemy unit (especially on turn 1 in the 41 Campaign) several times. I figured it was something like 'the reserves activated and came into the battle area while your units were encircling it'.
RE: Hell on Earth (Axis) HLYA vs (Soviet) JubJub
Posted: Sat Sep 11, 2021 11:41 am
by tyronec
I think you'll need Joel for this one
that para reads like its been copied down from E1 to WiTW to E2 so I'd guess its precise if you know the code.
I'd parse it into 3 criteria
a) the easy one, does it have the MP to reach the battle paying all the terrain and situational costs?
b) the almost easy one, die roll vs leader initiative, so any initiative could feasibly fail (assume a die 10);
c) the opeque one. I think there are two moderated tests. Roll a Die (with this capped by the move cost) - so it can't be higher than the move cost (?), compare to a die (capped by unit MP). I think its the second bit that matters here, even if (a) applies, its just feasible that a die roll gives less 'MP for the moment' than are really there and if its a long range reaction there is then a chance of this dropping below the comparison.
So crudely, can it reach, does it pass the command test and does some feng shui comparison of cost/available MP undermine the first two? Sounds feasible, a lot is in your control but there is a random element that can trip up the best set up.
Thanks Roger.
As Carl says I don't think 'a' works quite as described but clearly closer units activate more often. Actually I did a test and I know it doesn't.
As to 'c' it would be interesting to know what the exact calculation is but we get the gist.
RE: Hell on Earth (Axis) HLYA vs (Soviet) JubJub
Posted: Sat Sep 11, 2021 11:46 am
by DeletedUser1769703214
ORIGINAL: tyronec
I think you'll need Joel for this one
that para reads like its been copied down from E1 to WiTW to E2 so I'd guess its precise if you know the code.
I'd parse it into 3 criteria
a) the easy one, does it have the MP to reach the battle paying all the terrain and situational costs?
b) the almost easy one, die roll vs leader initiative, so any initiative could feasibly fail (assume a die 10);
c) the opeque one. I think there are two moderated tests. Roll a Die (with this capped by the move cost) - so it can't be higher than the move cost (?), compare to a die (capped by unit MP). I think its the second bit that matters here, even if (a) applies, its just feasible that a die roll gives less 'MP for the moment' than are really there and if its a long range reaction there is then a chance of this dropping below the comparison.
So crudely, can it reach, does it pass the command test and does some feng shui comparison of cost/available MP undermine the first two? Sounds feasible, a lot is in your control but there is a random element that can trip up the best set up.
Thanks Roger.
As Carl says I don't think 'a' works quite as described but clearly closer units activate more often. Actually I did a test and I know it doesn't.
As to 'c' it would be interesting to know what the exact calculation is but we get the gist.
I can't recall a reserve activation to a surrounded unit in all my games. I have seen activation to units in ZOC's though but I am sure you have to have at least 1 MP left over for that activation along with all other appropriate criteria.
RE: Hell on Earth (Axis) HLYA vs (Soviet) JubJub
Posted: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:34 pm
by loki100
ORIGINAL: tyronec
I think you'll need Joel for this one
that para reads like its been copied down from E1 to WiTW to E2 so I'd guess its precise if you know the code.
I'd parse it into 3 criteria
a) the easy one, does it have the MP to reach the battle paying all the terrain and situational costs?
b) the almost easy one, die roll vs leader initiative, so any initiative could feasibly fail (assume a die 10);
c) the opeque one. I think there are two moderated tests. Roll a Die (with this capped by the move cost) - so it can't be higher than the move cost (?), compare to a die (capped by unit MP). I think its the second bit that matters here, even if (a) applies, its just feasible that a die roll gives less 'MP for the moment' than are really there and if its a long range reaction there is then a chance of this dropping below the comparison.
So crudely, can it reach, does it pass the command test and does some feng shui comparison of cost/available MP undermine the first two? Sounds feasible, a lot is in your control but there is a random element that can trip up the best set up.
Thanks Roger.
As Carl says I don't think 'a' works quite as described but clearly closer units activate more often. Actually I did a test and I know it doesn't.
As to 'c' it would be interesting to know what the exact calculation is but we get the gist.
Oddly, I think (c) is relatively straightforward (but utterly impossible to test).
So eg1:
Activating unit has 20 MP and would expend 10 to get to the battle.
We roll 2 dice, for the base MP the outcome is 1-20, for the move MP the outcome is 1-10, if the 'move' roll is => 'base' roll the reaction is cancelled. The maths are a bit of a pain, but I'd say that won't happen in much over 15% of instances (you have the trail of base rolls > 10 as an insurance)
eg2
Activating unit has 6 MP and would expend 4 to get to the battle.
So the base roll comes out 1-6, the move roll 1-4, again the maths are a pain to do in detail but I'd say you are looking at a 40% failure rate (you still have a safefy net but clearly the chance of failing goes up a lot)
I could well be horribly wrong, but that is what I think goes on.
So put it together and a well led unit with lots of MP and close to the battle is very likely to pile in (remember that the initiative leader value is hit by command chain penalties). Something 10 or so MP away becomes vulnerable to the vagaries of (c)
RE: Hell on Earth (Axis) HLYA vs (Soviet) JubJub
Posted: Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:59 pm
by jubjub
ORIGINAL: loki100
ORIGINAL: tyronec
I think you'll need Joel for this one
that para reads like its been copied down from E1 to WiTW to E2 so I'd guess its precise if you know the code.
I'd parse it into 3 criteria
a) the easy one, does it have the MP to reach the battle paying all the terrain and situational costs?
b) the almost easy one, die roll vs leader initiative, so any initiative could feasibly fail (assume a die 10);
c) the opeque one. I think there are two moderated tests. Roll a Die (with this capped by the move cost) - so it can't be higher than the move cost (?), compare to a die (capped by unit MP). I think its the second bit that matters here, even if (a) applies, its just feasible that a die roll gives less 'MP for the moment' than are really there and if its a long range reaction there is then a chance of this dropping below the comparison.
So crudely, can it reach, does it pass the command test and does some feng shui comparison of cost/available MP undermine the first two? Sounds feasible, a lot is in your control but there is a random element that can trip up the best set up.
Thanks Roger.
As Carl says I don't think 'a' works quite as described but clearly closer units activate more often. Actually I did a test and I know it doesn't.
As to 'c' it would be interesting to know what the exact calculation is but we get the gist.
Oddly, I think (c) is relatively straightforward (but utterly impossible to test).
So eg1:
Activating unit has 20 MP and would expend 10 to get to the battle.
We roll 2 dice, for the base MP the outcome is 1-20, for the move MP the outcome is 1-10, if the 'move' roll is => 'base' roll the reaction is cancelled. The maths are a bit of a pain, but I'd say that won't happen in much over 15% of instances (you have the trail of base rolls > 10 as an insurance)
eg2
Activating unit has 6 MP and would expend 4 to get to the battle.
So the base roll comes out 1-6, the move roll 1-4, again the maths are a pain to do in detail but I'd say you are looking at a 40% failure rate (you still have a safefy net but clearly the chance of failing goes up a lot)
I could well be horribly wrong, but that is what I think goes on.
So put it together and a well led unit with lots of MP and close to the battle is very likely to pile in (remember that the initiative leader value is hit by command chain penalties). Something 10 or so MP away becomes vulnerable to the vagaries of (c)
Interesting, I've never seen a unit activate through ZOC, so it seems like the extra MP cost really lowers the odds of an activation, especially from infantry units.
RE: Hell on Earth (Axis) HLYA vs (Soviet) JubJub
Posted: Sat Sep 11, 2021 1:10 pm
by DeletedUser1769703214
ORIGINAL: jubjub
ORIGINAL: loki100
ORIGINAL: tyronec
Thanks Roger.
As Carl says I don't think 'a' works quite as described but clearly closer units activate more often. Actually I did a test and I know it doesn't.
As to 'c' it would be interesting to know what the exact calculation is but we get the gist.
Oddly, I think (c) is relatively straightforward (but utterly impossible to test).
So eg1:
Activating unit has 20 MP and would expend 10 to get to the battle.
We roll 2 dice, for the base MP the outcome is 1-20, for the move MP the outcome is 1-10, if the 'move' roll is => 'base' roll the reaction is cancelled. The maths are a bit of a pain, but I'd say that won't happen in much over 15% of instances (you have the trail of base rolls > 10 as an insurance)
eg2
Activating unit has 6 MP and would expend 4 to get to the battle.
So the base roll comes out 1-6, the move roll 1-4, again the maths are a pain to do in detail but I'd say you are looking at a 40% failure rate (you still have a safefy net but clearly the chance of failing goes up a lot)
I could well be horribly wrong, but that is what I think goes on.
So put it together and a well led unit with lots of MP and close to the battle is very likely to pile in (remember that the initiative leader value is hit by command chain penalties). Something 10 or so MP away becomes vulnerable to the vagaries of (c)
Interesting, I've never seen a unit activate through ZOC, so it seems like the extra MP cost really lowers the odds of an activation, especially from infantry units.
Correct.
RE: Hell on Earth (Axis) HLYA vs (Soviet) JubJub
Posted: Sun Sep 12, 2021 1:36 am
by DeletedUser1769703214
Turn 9 (Real Time update)
Air Phase
All areas recon'd and showed nothing new. So, the counters on the map is the Soviets new front line which is a huge pull back in the Kiev area. Gomel showed nothing else new. So it is wide open & is a calculated risk on the Soviets part. Only one area showed two units that showed up near Krivoi Rog an Airborne Brigade and Cav unit shown with orange arrows. This looks to be a wide open gap between Krivoi Rog and the Airborne Brigade marked in green.

RE: Hell on Earth (Axis) HLYA vs (Soviet) JubJub
Posted: Sun Sep 12, 2021 1:46 am
by DeletedUser1769703214
Turn 9 (Real Time Update)
Ground Phase
Near Nikolaev my 1st Rumanian stack was attacked by the Soviets. I can see that the Soviet 11TD participated in the attack and the relative strength. Thus I have a good idea how much it can take. To make this work I have to be able to get to the orange X marked on the map with 1 RFSS Brigade. The 1 RFSS Brigade has plenty of MP's for the job. Recon didn't show anything there but it is a swamp hex though which makes it doubtful. We want these two Soviet units to be retreated back towards my lines marked in light blue.
