T41 Axis Overview
It's the end of March and the Panzer convoy needs to get rolling from Poland. I haven't really made up my mind what to do with them yet, a decision needs to be made. We have Leningrad, Moscow is an option as is a drive to the Caucuses.
First some musing on TBs, which we are playing unlocked. These do create an additional interesting dimension to the game (as if there weren't already). I think playing unlocked gives the Soviets an advantage for turns 4-16 as they are able to bolster their defences during a critical period by raiding their TBs for formations. The Axis get some nice to haves such as the 2 powerful RFSS brigades which are uber SUs but the offensive seems to hit a wall of Russians quickly with TBs unlocked. I caution this analysis however, as this is only my second HtH, and the first with TBs unlocked. However, the Axis gains the advantage during the winter. Armour can be sent off to France in exchange for valuable infantry. The additional 2 RADs released from Norway on turn 1 also make winter supply a little more bearable.
We reached 590 VPs before winter set in. We declined to take Kharkov and Stalino in November as we knew that we couldn't hold them. We have accumulated a further dozen or so VPs from TBs (I think I was lucky through this period to get so many, though unlucky to not get very many in the early turns).
I don't have much territory.
In the north, Vet remains active, and frankly is becoming a bit of a nuisance but Leningrad is secure.

- T41 AGN interesting.png (2.86 MiB) Viewed 1159 times
In the centre, we are defending the outskirts of Smolensk i.e. we haven't got very farbut the super depot there has kept our troops fed through the winter.

- T41Centre recon.png (3.26 MiB) Viewed 1159 times
In what I refer to as AGCS, the Gomel-Kursk sector, we have fallen back a long way during winter but the upside is that our depots have an excess of supply

- T41 South recon.png (1.58 MiB) Viewed 1159 times
In the south, we have given up the ground around Stalino and defended D'town through the winter. (This shot is from T39)

- T39 AGS an avenue of clear terrain has appeared .png (3 MiB) Viewed 1159 times
Thankfully Sevastapol is in the bag though the Soviets have a foothold in the Crimea, through a fort at Kerch. We are now gunning for Kharkov before the mud sets in.
What to do?
I'd much prefer to put the North to bed and ignore it for the rest of the year. There are no VPs left in the area and the terrain favours the defender, yet I have now been pushed out of the decent terrain. Irritating! I am not going to be distracted though and send off a division or two to shore up the defences. I'll also keep my strategic reserve in the area on standby in case of a breakthrough.
The road to Moscow is thick with guard divisions, bloated like bluebottles swarming over the carcass of a still born lamb on a warm spring's day. See the centre recon shot above, many of these IDs are triple stacked in strong terrain. Not a pleasant simile, not a pleasant road.
Stalingrad/the Caucuses remain the obvious option. We have a decent supply framework now, the terrain is favourable for the attacker. However, we still have to get through 2-300 miles of the Donets basin before we can start. Stalingrad appears a long way away.
However, although not a critical sector, AGCS defences appear very porous

(see map third above). Vet does not tend to defend deep, but sets up a hard as nails front and counterattacks at every opportunity. This sector has some big units but with plenty of gaps to funnel panzers through. Casualties so far have been pretty heavy, but Vet has done a great job of keeping his divisions from been surrounded. It would be good to thin down his OOB a little.
My conclusion is to mass my panzers in the south and quietly around AGCS. I shall start my campaign in the south (where the weather tends to be better). 3-4 panzers will go to Smolensk where we will continue to demonstrate - as is about to be illustrated, victories can be found here. Some further air recon of AGCS is desirable, I'll do a more intensive recon in a couple of turns time just to make sure. I don't want to alert Vet of my intentions!