GW Counterfactual Take 3.

[rkr1958]

Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Allied #2. Naval Searches.

PTO. Sea of Japan.
Round 1/4.

02-AL-PTO-Sea-of-Japan-NC-1.png (214.53 KiB) Viewed 314 times

02-AL-PTO-Sea-of-Japan-NC-1b.png (148.38 KiB) Viewed 314 times

02-AL-PTO-Sea-of-Japan-NC-1d.png (192.27 KiB) Viewed 314 times

02-AL-PTO-Sea-of-Japan-NC-1f.png (193.26 KiB) Viewed 314 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Allied #2. Naval Searches.

PTO. Sea of Japan.
Round 2/4.

02-AL-PTO-Sea-of-Japan-NC-2.png (151.9 KiB) Viewed 312 times

02-AL-PTO-Sea-of-Japan-NC-2c.png (191.56 KiB) Viewed 312 times

02-AL-PTO-Sea-of-Japan-NC-2e.png (187.85 KiB) Viewed 312 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Allied #2. Naval Searches.

PTO. Sea of Japan.
Round 3/4.

02-AL-PTO-Sea-of-Japan-NC-3.png (166.68 KiB) Viewed 311 times

02-AL-PTO-Sea-of-Japan-NC-3b.png (193.19 KiB) Viewed 311 times

02-AL-PTO-Sea-of-Japan-NC-3c.png (244.64 KiB) Viewed 311 times

02-AL-PTO-Sea-of-Japan-NC-3d.png (172.78 KiB) Viewed 311 times

Round 4/4.
(1) IJN I-boat squadron does NOT commit.
(2) Combat ends.

[rkr1958]

Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Allied #2. Naval Searches.

BOA. Faeroes Gap.
(1) [fine] RN, no search.
(2) [fine, non-phasing] GER Sub Gp 5042[0] searches.
(3) Well, the Sub Gp had orders to search but either didn't get those orders or failed to follow them.
(4) MWIF skipped over and did not allow the sub to search from the [0-box], even though it would have had 10% chance of finding.
(5) Will need to see if that's repeatable and, if so, file a bug report.
(6) Yes, it's repeatable.

02-AL-BOA-Faeroes-GAP-NC-1.png (176.58 KiB) Viewed 308 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Allied #2. Air Combat.

PTO & Asian Theater.
Combat Logs.

02-AL-PTO-Asian-AC-CL.png (125.16 KiB) Viewed 303 times

Artillery Ground Strike. Chengchow, China.

02-AL-Asian-NAT-GSTK-Chengchow-China.png (410.03 KiB) Viewed 303 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Allied #2. Air Combat.

PTO. Strategic Bombing.
(1/2) Fukuoka, Japan.

02-AL-PTO-STRAT-1-A2A-Fukuoka.png (249.89 KiB) Viewed 302 times

02-AL-PTO-STRAT-1-AA-Fukuoka.png (660.43 KiB) Viewed 302 times

02-AL-PTO-STRAT-1-RES-Fukuoka.png (357.3 KiB) Viewed 302 times

(2/2) Tokyo, Japan.

02-AL-PTO-STRAT-2-A2A-Tokyo.png (280.03 KiB) Viewed 302 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Allied #2. Western Allies.

Ground Strike.
Combat Logs.
(1) 18 allied air wings/groups struck 11 locations, 18 land and air(base) targets.
(2) 9 actual vs 7 expected flips.

02-AL-Western-GSTK-CL.png (83.42 KiB) Viewed 301 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Allied #2. Western Allies.

Ground Strike.
(1/4) Helsinki, Finland.

02-AL-Western-GSTK-1-Helsinki-Finland.png (405.07 KiB) Viewed 300 times

(2/4) Germany 49,37.

02-AL-Western-GSTK-2-Germany-49-37.png (327.83 KiB) Viewed 300 times

(3/4) Germany 49, 39.

02-AL-Western-GSTK-3-Germany-49-39.png (348.95 KiB) Viewed 300 times

(4/4) Germany 50,38.

02-AL-Western-GSTK-4-Germany-50-38.png (329.87 KiB) Viewed 300 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Allied #2. Western Allies.

Ground Strike.
(5/11) Berlin, Germany.

02-AL-Western-GSTK-5-Berlin-Germany.png (371.08 KiB) Viewed 299 times

(6/11) Germany 50,40.

02-AL-Western-GSTK-6-Germany-50-40.png (351.7 KiB) Viewed 299 times

(7/11) Leipzig, Germany.

02-AL-Western-GSTK-7-Leipzig.png (340.27 KiB) Viewed 299 times

(8/11) Dresden, Germany.

02-AL-Western-GSTK-8-Dresden.png (356.27 KiB) Viewed 299 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Allied #2. Western Allies.

Ground Strike.
(9/11) Prague, Czechoslovakia.

02-AL-Western-GSTK-9-Prague.png (390.62 KiB) Viewed 298 times

(10/11) Ankara, Turkey.

02-AL-Western-GSTK-10-Ankara-Turkey.png (351.74 KiB) Viewed 298 times

(11/11) Turkey 70,63.

02-AL-Western-GSTK-11-Turkey70-63.png (386 KiB) Viewed 298 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Allied #2. PTO & Asian Theater.

China. End of Impulse.
(1) Unless Chungking Wld defending their city can be flipped next allied impulse (10% - 19% chance), then assault attempt will have to wait.
(2) Even if flipped, odds not that good so may wait anyway.
(3) Looks like the Western Democracies are just going to have to chance the 10% that the turn ends before they get a reasonable shot to liberate Chungking.

02-AL-Asian-China-EOI.png (2 MiB) Viewed 271 times

Korea. Manchuria. End of Impulse.
(4) MacArthur in command of all allied forces in Manchuria and Korea has been given the mission to bomb Japan into submission (i.e., surrender).
(5) The General is moving down Manchuria towards the joint allied SAC base in Pusan.

02-AL-Asian-Korea-Manchuria.png (1.7 MiB) Viewed 271 times

US West Coast. End of Impulse.
(6) It came from the desert! What is that in Long Beach?

02-AL-PTO-US-West-Coast.png (1.34 MiB) Viewed 271 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Allied #2. Western Allies.

Land Combat & Support.
Combat Logs.

02-AL-Western-LC-CL.png (347.93 KiB) Viewed 270 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Allied #2. Western Allies.

Land Combat & Support.
(1/7) Germany 49,39.

02-AL-Western-GSPT-1-A2A-GER-49-39.png (240.35 KiB) Viewed 269 times

02-AL-Western-GSPT-1-AA-GER-49-39.png (677.41 KiB) Viewed 269 times

02-AL-Western-GSPT-1-GER-49-39.png (335.1 KiB) Viewed 269 times

02-AL-Western-LC-1-GER-49-39.png (261.7 KiB) Viewed 269 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Allied #2. Western Allies.

Land Combat & Support.
(2/7) Germany 50,38.

02-AL-Western-GSPT-2-A2A-GER-50-38.png (229.93 KiB) Viewed 265 times

02-AL-Western-GSPT-2-GER-50-38.png (291.88 KiB) Viewed 265 times

02-AL-Western-LC-2-GER-50-38.png (249.79 KiB) Viewed 265 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Allied #2. Western Allies.

Land Combat & Support.
(3/7) Germany 51,38.

02-AL-Western-GSPT-3-GER-51-38.png (331.06 KiB) Viewed 264 times

02-AL-Western-LC-3-GER-51-38.png (258.51 KiB) Viewed 264 times

(4/7) Germany 49,37.

02-AL-Western-LC-4-GER-49-37.png (233.21 KiB) Viewed 264 times

(5/7) Nuremburg, Germany.

02-AL-Western-LC-5-Nuremberg-GER.png (208.57 KiB) Viewed 264 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Allied #2. Western Allies.

Land Combat & Support.
(6/7) Helsinki, Finland.

02-AL-Western-LC-6-Helsinki-Finland.png (232 KiB) Viewed 263 times

(7/7) Istanbul, Turkey.

02-AL-Western-LC-7-Istanbul-Turkey.png (234.58 KiB) Viewed 263 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Allied #2. Balkans. Turkey.

End of Impulse.
(1) Soviets in position to knock Bulgaria out of the war next allied impulse.
(2) Western Allies (at least) need at least 2 more impulses for a reasonable shot to capture Ankara, Turkey.
(3) The Soviets have offered ground strike support (against Ankara and/or other targets) to the Western Allies, who will likely accept their offer.

02-AL-Balkans-Turkey-EOI.png (1.99 MiB) Viewed 262 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Allied #2. The Western Front.

Western Allied Reorg.
(1) A massive air & sea resupply by the Western Allies (mainly CW) is able to reorg 6 US & UK land corps/divs and 6 air wings.

02-AL-Western-Reorg-CL.png (54.52 KiB) Viewed 261 times

02-AL-Western-HQ-Reorg.png (251.94 KiB) Viewed 261 times

02-AL-Western-Naval-Reorg-Baltic-Sea.png (299.64 KiB) Viewed 261 times

02-AL-Western-Naval-Reorg-North-Sea.png (303.72 KiB) Viewed 261 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Allied #2. The Western Front.

End of Impulse.
(1) The Red Army is chomping at the bit to "help out" their Western Allies finish off Germany.
(2) They've made several offers, all of them politely rejected, to do such.
(3) Molotov keeps pressing his Western Allied counterparts in the US, British & French governments if they will indeed be able to finish the conquest of Germany next allied impulse.
(4) The Western Allies reply that they will; but privately they begin to acknowledge that trying to capture Munich, Prague, Leipzig, Dresden & Berlin next allied impulse is unlikely.
(5) While there planners will certainly look at the possibility, but unless there's better than a 50/50 chance to do so the Western Allies may pursue a strategy that accepts some risk that the turn may end before they can conquer all these cities.
(6) In other words instead of accept a 50% combat risk next impulse for failure; the Western Allies will pursue a strategy that minimizes combat risk of failure (10% or less) and accepts a higher risk that the turn ends (50% or less) before they can execute their combat strategy.
(7) Now all this is held at the MOST SECRET, WESTERN ALLIED EYES ONLY level and not to be kept so much from Germany but from the Soviet Union; especially Stalin.
(8) SHAEF is under orders from the highest level NOT to let Soviet troops cross over into Germany!
(9) However; SHAEF is given some latitude to allow Soviet ground strikes against targets in Germany is so offered and needed.

02-AL-Western-Front-EOI.png (1.97 MiB) Viewed 258 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 36. Jul/Aug 1945. Axis #3. Impulse #251.

Current Standings.
(1) If Germany can just hold on through the end of this turn, they'll finish 2nd.
(2) If not, then they'll finish 4th behind Japan and in front of Italy.
(3) The Democratic Allied (US, CW, France & China) have this thing wrapped up, but they do want to finish off Germany and capture Chungking (either or both if possible) this turn.

03-AX-Current-Standings.png (133.38 KiB) Viewed 236 times

Weather & Actions.
(4) Weather D10=1 -> opposite of what the axis wanted!
(5) Fine across the map everywhere, including North Monsoon.
(6) Adv=1, DRM=+0.
(7) Germany takes a land and uses their O-chit to reorg Rundstedt HQ-A & von Leeb HQ-I, who in turn will be used to reorg flipped land and possibly air units.
(8) Japan takes a rare air action for Yamamoto to reorg a fighter, nav & AA div to impeded US strategic bombing; especially their 2 Synth oil.
(9) I need to look back but I think this may be the first air action taken by anyone this war (i.e., game).
(10) This will be a short impulse.
(11) Also, after this impulse both Germany & Japan will pass from then on in order to maximize the chance of the turn ending.
(12) For the Soviets, this game (i.e., war) is coming down to the wire.

03-AX-Weather-Actions.png (35.64 KiB) Viewed 237 times