31 March 1918
It was Easter Sunday for those who used the Gregorian calendar. (The countries to the east using the Julian calendar would celebrate it on May 5.) Artist Norman Rockwell had managed to enlist in the U.S. Navy by gorging on bannanas and doughnuts after he was first rejected for being underweight. However, he had already done some of the Saturday Evening Post covers which would make him famous, and the Navy recognized his talent. He was made a military artist and kept from active service, producing images such as this one for Leslie’s Weekly.
In Palestine, it was now clear that the Ottoman forces, with German help, had been built up too strongly for the British to complete the capture of Amman. General Allenby took the decision to retreat, meanwhile informing the War Office that he had achieved his objective by cutting the Hejaz Railway. In truth, the railway was still in operation up to the Amman station; it was only further on that the tracks had been destroyed.
The German Navy had made the same assumption, and as it turned out, the same mistake as the German Army was making. They had believed that unrestricted submarine warfare could win the war before the Americans could build up enough strength to affect the outcome. The U. S. Navy's battleships and cruisers were immaterial to the critical Battle of the Atlantic; what counted was destroyers and other escort ships to fight the U-boats. And the Americans were new to submarine-hunting, whereas the German submarine officers and crews had years of experience under their belts.
For a brief time the Germans seemed to have guessed correctly. A staggering 869,000 tons of Allied cargo ships had been sunk in April 1917, more than would be lost in any month of WWII. A full quarter of the merchantmen that sailed failed to return to their home ports. There can be little doubt that a few more months of such losses would have collapsed the British economy and war effort.
But the situation began to improve for the Allies the next month. The convoy system was implemented, and the results were dramatic. (German wolf packs were not used seriously until WWII.) American cargo ships helped to replace the shipping losses, and American destroyers provided welcome additions to convoy escorts. Since U. S. industry turned out good quantities of naval munitions, the Yankee crews occasionally dropped depth charges "without rhyme or reason", which technique rendered the U-boat captains' cleverest tactics useless. It did not sink many submarines, but it kept them from torpedoing the ships in the convoys. And that, of course, was the primary goal.
The British were having rather more success with their own violation of the rules of war. Their surface ships had imposed a complete blockade, including foodstuffs. This was prohibited by the Hague Conventions, which were the forerunners of the more famous Geneva Conventions, and other governments including the U.S. had protested at first. But after the sinking of the Lusitania and other ships without warning, world opinion had swung strongly against the Germans, and the blockade had been accepted. Food shortages in Germany had been serious during 1917, and although the conquest of grain-growing territory in the east had prevented outright starvation, the economies of both Germany and Austria-Hungary were in poor shape. Metals were also a problem: the German war effort would very likely have collapsed without the ores from the mines they had captured in Belgium and northern France. As it was, they found it expedient to train the
Stosstruppen rather than build large numbers of tanks to break through the trenches.
The German high command concealed the situation at sea from the German population. According to the press releases from Berlin, unless American troops learned to fly, they could not get past the U-boats to fight in Europe. "Foch's reserves" became a phrase to describe illusionary things. But in fact, by the beginning of spring in 1918 the higher-ups on both sides knew that the submarine blockade was failing, and the Allies would soon have hundreds of thousands of fresh troops for their counter-attacks.
When the figures were totaled up, Allied shipping losses for March would be 342,600 tons. This was no light matter, but well below the estimate of 600,000 tons per month which the Germans had calculated would be needed to knock Britain out of the war. It was also the beginning of the final decline of the U-boats’ war: never again would the monthly losses exceed 300,000 tons. With more confidence in their shipping capacity, the Allies relaxed their demand for Dutch cargo vessels, allowing the little nation to keep its neutrality.
Civil war? What does that mean? Is there any foreign war? Isn't every war fought between men, between brothers?
--Victor Hugo