Amphibious invasion of Pearl Harbor - results

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WITPPL
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RE: Amphibious invasion of Pearl Harbor - results

Post by WITPPL »

ORIGINAL: Bluebook

ORIGINAL: Bullwinkle58

With all necessary gentleness to your opponent, but maybe you should advertise for one who matches your game-playing abilities? [8|]

The butcher's bill you describe by the end of Jan 1942 would seem to come at the expense of an opponent who has not mastered the basics of the game.

I'm just sayin' . . .

Yeah, that must be it...

I dissagre. Totally. Mr Bluebook is a great opponent and a charming person. Very reliable gaming partner over all. I think that it is not a matter of abilities but rather a different aproach to a game and strategy. Everybody makes mistakes, It happened to me more than once in this game.

Most Allied generals Ive met are overconfident with Hawaii and USN carriers

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Djordje
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RE: Amphibious invasion of Pearl Harbor - results

Post by Djordje »

What everyone seems to be ignoring is that this is scenario 2, so Japan has stronger forces than historically. Taking Malaya, Philippines and Pearl Harbor in January 1942 is pure fantasy when playing scenario 1. In fact taking any one of those in that time frame is extremely difficult which can be seen in many AARs.

On the other hand scenario 2 + good play from Japanese player + bad play from Allied player + luck with no detection should sometimes be able to produce successful invasion of Pearl. This is just one example from one game, not really a good statistics sample for any engine changing conclusions...
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RE: Amphibious invasion of Pearl Harbor - results

Post by Bullwinkle58 »

ORIGINAL: bsq

ORIGINAL: Bullwinkle58

(Evidence from the Civil War suggests that shore emplacements don't stop determined naval invasions.)

That's was with round shot, chain shot and muzzle loaders (and against wooden vessels with the odd iron clad for support).

This is 100lb (6") to 2200lb (16") high velocity, breech loaded AP and HE - against paper thin gun boats and merchant ships. How in God's name is a PB still around after its first hit to receive 25 more when dueling with a 16" CD gun?

Another thing about naval guns when used as CD is that they tend to have larger charges, and greater elevation on the mounts (because Oahu is more robust than USS Colorado etc). The effect of the plunging fire, had it struck, would have devestated pretty much anything it struck.

Please note that I'm distinguishing between the game and RL. I agree that PBs 2000 yds offshore should be toast, but in the game aren't always. Likewise AKs at 6 NMs, in daylight. All of this without any beach prep. The game's results are way too generous to the floating guys.

In Rl, if the Japanese had tried this operation, they would have left the AKs OTH and prepped the beaches for days, at night. Shore emplacements don't move. Ships with a true cross-bearing fix KNOW where they are when they shoot, and they know where the targets are as well. They can shoot without available light. Then they move. They don't need sighters against fixed targets. Just blanket with volume fire, move away. Without radar the shore guys don't get to respond against maneuvering targets before the ships are out of range. You don't have to completely destroy a shore emplacement to make it a mission kill. Just break it, take it out of supply, or shell-shock its crew. Add in carrier CAS (with no Oahu CAP available after Dec. 7) and you can further isolate one, single invasion beach such as Ewa, or, maybe (weather permitting) Kaneohe Bay.

But also, as I said, from my sailor's perspective, I think that the Japanese would face bigger problems getting ashore than simply dealing with gun emplacements. The bottom drops off vertically within a few thousand feet of the beach. Unloading unanchored ships is a bear, even more so with 350 of them in close proximity. And that's just troops. Getting armor ashore without docking is not going to happen.

It would depend on how fast the Japanese could get light forces ashore, swing to the coastal highway (Ewa) or head over the Pali on foot (Kaneohe) , and drive on PH from the west or northwest. PH has no natural land defenses from the west. From the northwest (Kaneohe) Schofield Barracks would be a tremendous fight to get past. But if they did, PH was essentially open to occupation, with its docks and other goodies.
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WITPPL
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RE: Amphibious invasion of Pearl Harbor - results

Post by WITPPL »

ORIGINAL: castor troy

The main problem I see so far in the AARs, in this example of PH and from my own experience is that the Japanese seem to take far fewer losses in both ships and ground troops during their invasions. This makes it quite easy to invade, load up, invade, load up, invade, etc... throw a couple of divs somewhere, destroy the enemy, move on to your next target two weeks later and destroy it.

Hi Castor,

I think that this is what have happened in a reall world ie. historical.
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RE: Amphibious invasion of Pearl Harbor - results

Post by Bullwinkle58 »

My memory is fading now. Was Sandy Beach the one with the offshore formation known as "The Chinaman's Hat?" If so, that was a very flat, broad, inviting landing beach, except for reefs.

I believe the Old Pali Road was there in 1941, but that's from memory. Even so, Oahu isn't so large that trained troops couldn't force march from the North Shore around the western side and across the south side to PH in a couple of days. It's mostly all sand and lava and once south of Makaha pretty flat as I recall the topology.
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RE: Amphibious invasion of Pearl Harbor - results

Post by Bullwinkle58 »

ORIGINAL: John Lansford

Two of the 16" CD guns on Oahu had an ungodly range, and thanks to the extensive rangefinding system on the island, were accurate out past 35,000 yds.  All the long range CD guns used that same rangefinding system and the gunners were fairly well trained in its operation.  Without a long and comprehensive shore bombardment and air attack plan, I can't see how a 350+ ship invasion force within range of these guns wouldn't have been savaged worse than any invasion fleet ever.

How well did the rangefinding work at 0200 on a moonless night?
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RE: Amphibious invasion of Pearl Harbor - results

Post by John Lansford »

Area night bombardment against fortified positions is a waste of shells.  The USN figured that out quickly in their invasion bombardment missions against atolls; only deliberate, aimed fire at located gun positions, fired from slowly moving or anchored bombardment ships, would work.  The big gun positions on Oahu were protected from everything but direct hits from big shells; area bombardment wouldn't disturb them at all.  Rangefinder positions were numerous and camoflaged, so unless the Japanese knew where they were they couldn't hit them either except through luck.
 
If the IJN showed up offshore and started an Iwo Jima-like bombardment of Oahu, they'd get pounded.  If they tried a "blitzkrieg" invasion without aerial or naval bombardment, they'd be slaughtered both before and on the beach.  If the game doesn't point this out then it's not working right.
 
For example, in WitP I made an amphibious landing on Tinian with two big TF's of LST's and another of AP's and AK's, screened by DD's and CL's.  The CD units there had a field day with my ships; all the landing craft were at least damaged and many sunk, while the AK/AP TF had several ships hit and sunk.  The escorts got shot up too but nowhere near what the transports/landing craft did.  An attempt against Oahu should look worse than that.
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RE: Amphibious invasion of Pearl Harbor - results

Post by Bullwinkle58 »

ORIGINAL: WITPPL

ORIGINAL: Bluebook

ORIGINAL: Bullwinkle58

With all necessary gentleness to your opponent, but maybe you should advertise for one who matches your game-playing abilities? [8|]

The butcher's bill you describe by the end of Jan 1942 would seem to come at the expense of an opponent who has not mastered the basics of the game.

I'm just sayin' . . .

Yeah, that must be it...

I dissagre. Totally. Mr Bluebook is a great opponent and a charming person. Very reliable gaming partner over all. I think that it is not a matter of abilities but rather a different aproach to a game and strategy. Everybody makes mistakes, It happened to me more than once in this game.

Most Allied generals Ive met are overconfident with Hawaii and USN carriers


I don't know either one of you personally, and I apologize if I gave any offense. I was simply reacting to your record of steamrolling, not just in the ultimate HI invasion, but all the rest you described. A systematic march across mid-Pac islands, combined with simultaneous capture of Malaysia, invasion of Java, etc. suggested to me a quite differing ability level. I meant no reflection on anyone's reliability or personality.

FWIW, I'm sure you could knock me around at will in a PBEM game. I've never played one.
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RE: Amphibious invasion of Pearl Harbor - results

Post by EUBanana »

I can't believe this is being discussed to be honest. How many transports (not PBs) were actually sunk?

From the combat reports it looks like the answer is : Zero, and half a dozen damaged.

That is simply barking mad and defies discussion, frankly.

Possibly the early war Japanese amphibious advantage is responsible. Who knows. But the bottom line is that that is crazy. Utterly borked. We're talking about the most fortified island on Earth with apparently zero preparation or softening of any kind.
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castor troy
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RE: Amphibious invasion of Pearl Harbor - results

Post by castor troy »

ORIGINAL: Djordje

What everyone seems to be ignoring is that this is scenario 2, so Japan has stronger forces than historically. Taking Malaya, Philippines and Pearl Harbor in January 1942 is pure fantasy when playing scenario 1. In fact taking any one of those in that time frame is extremely difficult which can be seen in many AARs.

On the other hand scenario 2 + good play from Japanese player + bad play from Allied player + luck with no detection should sometimes be able to produce successful invasion of Pearl. This is just one example from one game, not really a good statistics sample for any engine changing conclusions...


but this invasion in the example of the OP isn´t either good play from the Japanese nor bad play from the Allied. Well, if the Japanese player hasn´t tried vs the AI to do the same then I would even say it is BAD play (sorry) because if he doesn´t know the completely screwed CD routine of the guns only engaging the crappy escorts (heck, why are there only expendable PBs? Why no CAs, CLs, DDs?) then this is the perfect example of how not to do such an invasion. No air attacks, no naval bombardments, no heavy units to surpress CD guns during the landing.

So what? Either the IJN player knew about it already due to testing it vs AI or it was a perfectly "how not to do it" that turned out perfectly (for the attacker) because the routine of the game is showing it´s worst face.
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RE: Amphibious invasion of Pearl Harbor - results

Post by castor troy »

ORIGINAL: WITPPL

ORIGINAL: castor troy

The main problem I see so far in the AARs, in this example of PH and from my own experience is that the Japanese seem to take far fewer losses in both ships and ground troops during their invasions. This makes it quite easy to invade, load up, invade, load up, invade, etc... throw a couple of divs somewhere, destroy the enemy, move on to your next target two weeks later and destroy it.

Hi Castor,

I think that this is what have happened in a reall world ie. historical.


yeah? In the same time scale? Within weeks? I can´t give you the exact day when and how the beach was named where the Japanese landed during 42, but they by far weren´t able to land those masses of troops at those bases seen in the ongoing games of experienced players vs each others.
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Mundy
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RE: Amphibious invasion of Pearl Harbor - results

Post by Mundy »

A RL question regarding this...
 
Assuming a mass fleet invading Oahu, how many guns could be brought to bear, and from there, how many targets actually engaged at once?
 
I figure one or more batteries would be controlled by a single director.  Once that's figured out, how long would they engage a given target until it suffered enough hits before moving onto the next?
 
My uninformed guess is that a bum rush would see ships making it close enough to offload the troops.
 
I would also guess that once the beach started filling up, all the "army" type artillery (plus mortars, MGs, etc) would keep them there.
 
Sorry for rambling...
 
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RE: Amphibious invasion of Pearl Harbor - results

Post by WITPPL »

ORIGINAL: castor troy

ORIGINAL: Mike Scholl

ORIGINAL: Bluebook
So the Japs land something around 75 000 troops on Pearl Harbor from 350+ ships, without any previous bombardment and against well-supplied and undisrupted US defences, and they lose something like 10-15 PBs, a handful of xAKs and roughly 1000 men?


There is a term for such results..., and it's abbreviation is "BS"!


All in all the losses for the invader are far from somewhere near what would have happened in real life. You can´t take out a base like PH and suffer only a handful crappy ships lost with 200 dead and 800 wounded from the landing when you attack such a base and yes the abbreviation for this result really would be BS. Unfortunatetely. In this case WITP definetely produced "better" results.

I´m confident that we´ll reach something better when the next couple of patches will be released, let´s say, in 24 months. [:D]


BS?

Sinking most modern BBs with a handfull of biplanes in Toronto? BS!
Getting Corregidor with forces they did? BS!
Sinking 6 CAs in one go and in the night? Without any visable loses? BS!
last but not least:

To sink several BBs in most defended "pearl" harbour in the world for a lose of a few pilots? BS! BS! BS!

[:D]

[;)]
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RE: Amphibious invasion of Pearl Harbor - results

Post by sfbaytf »

Sandy beach is between Waimanalo and Sea Life Park. Great body surfing, but the way the sand/beach is you have an occasional unlucky person break their neck on it. The undertow is very powerful.

Chinamans hat is going the opposite direction if my aging memory is correct. Its on the way towards Punalou? You are correct, the beaches and tides look inviting, but the reefs are a problem.

An old friends parents had a condo at Punalou and we would go swimming out to the reefs. Any invader would have been stopped at the reefs and would face a long slog to the beech in 6-10 feet of water if I recall correctly.

The Chinamans hat area is probably similar to Punalou, but I didn't explore that area much. I did do a little spear fishing for octopus close to Chinamans hat one summer when my uncle came for a visit.

BTW: Between Waimanalo and Sea Life Park there is a very restricted area. I heard all sorts of rumors about the place. I never bothered to go poking around the area. The concensus was it was a restricted dolphin training area. Who knows mabye it doesn't exist and is just folklore.

There is also a lot of research going on in that area and a deep sea exploration sub was lost there. That much I do know.

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RE: Amphibious invasion of Pearl Harbor - results

Post by WITPPL »

ORIGINAL: castor troy




All in all the losses for the invader are far from somewhere near what would have happened in real life. You can´t take out a base like PH and suffer only a handful crappy ships lost with 200 dead and 800 wounded from the landing when you attack such a base and yes the abbreviation for this result really would be BS. Unfortunatetely. In this case WITP definetely produced "better" results.

I´m confident that we´ll reach something better when the next couple of patches will be released, let´s say, in 24 months. [:D]
[/quote]


It is NOT taken....
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RE: Amphibious invasion of Pearl Harbor - results

Post by oldman45 »

Unless I missed something, we have not seen the results of day 2.
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RE: Amphibious invasion of Pearl Harbor - results

Post by EUBanana »

ORIGINAL: Mundy
My uninformed guess is that a bum rush would see ships making it close enough to offload the troops.

Sure, I agree.

But it looks like 100% of the transports so far have lived to tell the tale and about about 99.9% of the troops aboard are ashore and ready to rock.

I mean, you can haggle over how much force would be likely to survive the act of getting ashore. Haggle away. But I am certain that that percentage would not be 100 percent.
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RE: Amphibious invasion of Pearl Harbor - results

Post by Bullwinkle58 »

ORIGINAL: John Lansford

Area night bombardment against fortified positions is a waste of shells.  The USN figured that out quickly in their invasion bombardment missions against atolls; only deliberate, aimed fire at located gun positions, fired from slowly moving or anchored bombardment ships, would work.  The big gun positions on Oahu were protected from everything but direct hits from big shells; area bombardment wouldn't disturb them at all.  Rangefinder positions were numerous and camoflaged, so unless the Japanese knew where they were they couldn't hit them either except through luck.

If the IJN showed up offshore and started an Iwo Jima-like bombardment of Oahu, they'd get pounded.  If they tried a "blitzkrieg" invasion without aerial or naval bombardment, they'd be slaughtered both before and on the beach.  If the game doesn't point this out then it's not working right.

For example, in WitP I made an amphibious landing on Tinian with two big TF's of LST's and another of AP's and AK's, screened by DD's and CL's.  The CD units there had a field day with my ships; all the landing craft were at least damaged and many sunk, while the AK/AP TF had several ships hit and sunk.  The escorts got shot up too but nowhere near what the transports/landing craft did.  An attempt against Oahu should look worse than that.

Gotta disagree. Oahu and the atolls are fundamentally different in several respects. One, Oahu was not dug in like Iwo or even Saipan (I've been in the Saipan bunkers; pretty impressive.) A lot of Oahu emplacements were open air, or "hull down", not inside mountains. On some vectors, like the Ewa side we've been discussing, there aren't any mountains. It's lava flow for a long way inland.

Second, the emplacements were known about long before the war. There was virtually no op sec on Oahu before Dec. 7. You can see many of them from roads, or small boats. Pre-war Japanese intel should have mapped them very accurately. A big problem with the atolls was we had no idea in advance where the guns were. All we had was aerial photos, mostly very close to the invasion itself, and the emplacements were only visible horizontally.

Third, I'm not talking about area bombardment. I'm talking about known firing spot, known impact point, then volume fire. Repeat for several days. You don't ever get them all, but you get a lot. If we'd had another two weeks at Iwo we would have degraded that place a lot more too (especially in terms of human factors such as shellshock), but the B-29s didn't have those two weeks to spare.

Fourth, early 1942 rangefinding is pretty useless in the dark. There would have been some counterfire, but the advantage would be with the ships, which didn't need rangefinding services.

Fifth, many/most of the CD emplacements were positioned to protect PH itself. There was a system 360 around the island, but nowhere as intense or integrated as near the channel. Images of bristling 16-in emplacements girdling the island are false. To say it was the best protected island in the world shouldn't give the impression that such protection was uniform on each axis of invasion. It was hard to get to the North Shore in 1941, and it was doubly hard to haul building supplies and 16-in magazines over those mountains as well. PH was where the fleet lived, so it was what got protected in the big gun era when the CD system was designed. Nobody lived up at Kaneohe but Samoan fruit pickers (thought those big gun admirals.)

Who's in favor of a new "Let's invade Oahu!" game with 500-yd hexes?[:)]
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RE: Amphibious invasion of Pearl Harbor - results

Post by Mundy »

ORIGINAL: EUBanana

I mean, you can haggle over how much force would be likely to survive the act of getting ashore. Haggle away. But I am certain that that percentage would not be 100 percent.

I did say "ships", but not how many. [;)]

I guess I was more curious to the process in which they would be engaged by coast artillery.

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RE: Amphibious invasion of Pearl Harbor - results

Post by Mike Scholl »

ORIGINAL: castor troy

No idea if the big guns would have had AP ammo as I guess those were meant to fight BBs and cruisers but there would be more than enough medium sized guns around to shred both the PBs (heck, that´s the biggest joke of all) AND the merchants. It would have been like shooting ducks in a zoo. Get those transports in range and put halve a dozen 5 or 6 inch HE shells into them and I wonder how many troops such a ships would still be able to land. And PBs doing COUNTERFIRE. LOL, not even BBs or heavy cruisers were expected to get into range of such a coast defense. It´s laughable that such an invasion isn´t whiped out. Ok, perhaps you can´t whipe out every ship (while the invasion would be nuts in real life anyway, guess the ships would have tried to get away after losing the first four or five dozen?), but the invasion should really be clobbered. It´s January and it´s war already, you can´t expect to land somewhere and lose 6 PBs and nothing else, then take the base when it has one of the best CD of it´s time. That´s just plain wrong and the problem is clear anyway: if there are escorts, no matter how crappy they are, then they are "duelling" [8|] with the CD guns. This results in crappy PBs duelling with 16 inch CD guns and you see "PB Sh*t Maru firing at Pearl Harbor coast defense to supress 16 inch gunfire" [8|]


Exactly! This is the "BS" portion of the whole experience. Those PB's and AK's should never have survived to get close enough to land anything but flotsom and jetsom from their sinkings, let alone "dueling" with the CD batteries.
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