Originally posted by Nimits:
Another aspect of an early WWIII that no one has mentioned is the naval power. England, France, and the US would have easily established control of the waters around Russia and defeated the pathetic Russian fleet. American and British carriers would then have been free to roam the Russian coast and strike at target of opportunity, and the Allies could have conducted raids or naval invasions against a thinly held Russian coast, putting into play a wildcard that the Germans by themselves never held.
Think a bit of what you're saying. The Russian coasts? Do you know where they are?
a) The Baltic coasts, only reachable via the Danish Belts. These can be very easily mined from the air or surface, or blocked by occupation, and the Russian land forces would anyway be in Denmark before you could say "The Union Of Soviet Socialist Republics". The area was practically littered with mines already, besides which it is shallow with broken coasts and good coastal fortifications. From the mouth of the Belts it is still hundreds of miles to any *Russian* coasts or any industrial targets worth striking. Plus you are all the time within striking distance of the bulk of the Soviet Air Force. I think the correct naval term for this would be "suicide".
b) The Arctic coasts. Besides the fact that it is just a small trip round the Norway away
and the nice weather conditions prevailing there, especially in winter, any TF's would be a long, long way away from their bases and again only a short way away from enemy airfields. Add to this the facts that since the lend-lease has ended there's not much worth striking there (with the exception of the nickel mines - the bombing of which would be quite ineffective) and any invasion forces would be hundreds of miles of very easily defensible terrain away from anything useful, in weather conditions which they would be unaccustomed to as much as the Russians comfortable with.
c) The Black Sea coasts. A somewhat better proposition, especially if Turkey could be drawn into the war, given the short distance to areas worth occupying. Still, in naval terms it's a pond, with Russian/occupied territory on three sides, land-based aircraft within strike distance, and only reachable via the very narrow Strait of Bosporus. The Rumanians are already fighting with the Russians, and Bulgarians could be easily made to do so.
d) The Pacific Coasts. This would be the easiest, with large Allied forces already conversant with amphibious warfare and carrier operations present. Still, what's there? Even if you establish a bridgehead, there's the small trek across the continent of Asia before you reach anything useful.
It's not exactly urban area - how large a force could the Allies supply via the single rail line (destroyed by the Russians as they withdraw)? Plus you have the Chinese and Mongols to worry about too. Everything after the initial landing favors the defender here.
The Germans had a good navy in WW2. How much
of it did they use in their primary front, against Russia? Do you think they wouldn't have built the amphibious stuff if they had thought it would have been of any use against Russia?
Cheers, Teppo
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"I think, so I think I am." (Err... probably...)
"I think, so I think I am." (Err... probably...)