One relief that turn was a reduction in the enthusiasm of German attacks, I actually managed a +ve VP score

Few comments on the interaction between strategic bombing and tactical interdiction. Now to be clear, this is the AI and most human players would pull back their shiny tanks as opposed to moving under 5+ interdiction but the basic trade off works.
If I believe my recon reports, every Pzr IV factory is out of action. Now its probably too optimistic but I have steadily hit them. What I am seeing on the ground is Pzr divisions shedding CV – often a proxy for lack of trucks or a key component ... this turn one even routed. That tends to happen when the combat elements are ground down so all that is left is the support/heavy weapons elements.
Also going over some combats in detail is instructive. I'm looking for what was present when the Pzr divisions engaged. One thing I am finding is very few Pzr IV and the main medium tank is the Pzr V. Well those are the factories I'll now start trying to knock out.
Anyway back to the day to day air war.
After last turn's heart-warming re-unions over Southern Germany, 8 and 15 AAF went very seperate ways.
8 AAF went for a cluster of unbombed cities in Saxony. Not a great success but that is more damage for the Germans to have to repair.
As an aside, the P51 fighter sweeps are slowing down. Having to rest due to low morale/fatigue but they have effectively won the air war. German fighters now just flop out of the skies – usually a strong clue that they are no longer able to use experienced pilots.

15 AAF had a rare trip to the Balkans (as well as its usual focus on bombing rail yards in Italy). Those will probably fall to the Soviets soon but I'll have a few VP as a result. Fighter escorts were in place up to 2 hexes short and as is clear, no Axis air defences – I was suspicious as it is using the Romania air formations over Germany.
Note the Allied player does not gain VP for lost factories/manpower once they are captured by the Soviets.

Bomber Command went for a cluster of smaller towns north of the Ruhr. I'm struggling for critical mass in these raids as a lot of Lancasters are still doing naval interdiction and the Halifaxes are bombing ports and rail yards in France and the Netherlands.

And so to the ground war. Both tactical airforces concentrated on 1A sector. Tactical Air struck along the west bank of the Seine, 9 AAF exactly where my offensive occured.
2A is still pinned to the beaches but did manage a small breakthrough.
A fresh Canadian armoured division allowed 1A a relatively deep break through. Its a gamble but well protected by interdiction.
You can see the routed Pzr division I mentioned above in the lower middle. That was a rout resulting from a direct attack not out of encirclement.

Italy has gone quiet. Both sides taking a break on the east coast. Oddly its 8A that is making minor gains – another small city all adds to the VP collection.

Holding back the 3A landings in the Netherlands. Doing some naval interdiction (just in case) and prebombing the transport infrastructure but really need 9 AAF to remain focussed on the main landings.
5A is preparing for its landings in S France. I guess this will happen in about 4 turns – really depends on when I can redeploy Tac Air to provide ground attacks etc.