October 1940
Agents have obtained a memo originating from the Politburo regarding the Soviet analysis of the military situation.
Part one deals with the naval forces, and the Soviets realize they have no force to match the Western navies. This does not mean the Red Fleets will not harass our shipping, and perhaps do small amphibious operations, but in naval matters the advantage is ours.
Part two quotes the Soviet commander thus
"I have the ground game, and likely am close or even in the air"
The four nations which would stand opposed to the USSR in a future war are not weak in ground forces. The equipment edge in armor must be granted to the Soviets. However, this is not the only measure. We believe we have raw numbers in our favor. The Chinese have a very large army, and it is not the conscript army some imagine.
In the air we may be at parity, but perhaps we are stronger. The RAF successfully held off the Luftwaffe, which was not as frequently found on the Soviet front. Here we will defer judgement.
In the strategic realm our four economies should be stronger than the monolithic Soviet economy.