March 31st, 1941
Baldwin Hanson, Military analyst, New York Tribune
The break in the Soviet Union below 50% of VP, along with the entry of Japan into the global war, has caused much soul searching among the Allies. Here in America the feeling is that we "have not yet begun to fight". The loss of the Panama canal is a blow but Japan cannot hope to hold it against a coordinated RN and USN offensive. This is a stunt on Japan's part, nothing more. The USN has war-gamed the attack on the canal, but the Japanese hit us harder than we believed they could. As the president said of the sneak attack on Panama : "This day shall live in infamy". North Africa is a wasteland of sand. Great Britain does not need to defeat panzers there. Rather, she needs to fall back on her mighty shield of Empire, the glorious Royal Navy. India is far from lost, and even if this jewel in the Crown were to be subjugated, the rest of the Commonwealth can fight on.
The Soviet Union is seriously wounded, but if she can hold out as long as possible it will give the sea powers time to secure absolute sea supremacy. America is prepared to become the Arsenal of Democracy. As production ramps up things will change. The Axis cannot defend the bloated "empire" against seaborne raids and invasions. The tide will turn if only our resolve is strong.
Let us now examine the state of our war making.
