Focus on AGC.
For the first time in the campaign, the panzers fail to close a pocket - a sure sign of increasing fatigue and lack of supply rather than significantly increased Soviet resistance.
In fact, east of Smolensk has been rather inconsistant - likely just reaching the outer defenses of Moscow along the Rzhev-Vyazma line.
3rd Pz Grp, with XXXIX PzKps freshly supplied with an HQ buildup attempts to cut off the withdrawing Soviet forces - estimated at about a dozen divisions NE of Velizh. While its fuel and ammo are in good shape now, it is still well fatigued - cuts off Veliki Luki, and surges east, but fails to dislodge the last Soviet defenses between itself and the other thrust of the LVII PzKps - itself fatigued and not benefited of an HQ buildup. Bottom line - 3rd Pz Grp is now over-reaching and has failed to close the trap.
2nd Pz Grp continues to push east on its last fuel, its XXIV PzKps reaches the Soviet defenses being established near Vyazma. The defenses look to be incomplete, but the PzKps doesn't have the strength to batter it down - it must infiltrate through the gaps, hoping to collapse the defenses before they can be fully manned. I divert XXXXVII Pzkps south toward 4th Army to take advantage of some Rifle Divisions which are slow to withdraw, in an attempt to pocket them - again, lack of fuel prohibits the firm closure of a pocket.
4th Army continues to batter its way against a delaying action towards Bryansk. Without Panzers, its not constrained by fuel, but it is also limits its abiltiy to exploit success.
Overall, the "near" pockets may still pay off, as the Soviets will be challenged to fully get clear. Would have been better to have them closed of course. In any case, I need to pull the panzers out of the line and rest them for two weeks - getting at least two PzKps a build up. Lead panzers are about 100 miles west of Moscow! Soviet defenses will improve with each week of course. We'll need supporting attacks from both AGN and AGS to fully envelop and seize the Soviet Capital in the coming months.
