ORIGINAL: Canoerebel
New Caledonia can be a prison camp for the Allies. Early on, Japan can take it if Japan wants it. Committing troops there is a good way to get troops killed (plus their transports sunk if your opponent is coming hard and fast). Be very, very careful about committing too far forward. Noumea is tough to defend (despite good terrain) since Japan can land two or three divisions up the coast and waltz right on across the island. Japan can impose a pretty tight blockade, especially since you can't risk your carriers any further. Noumea is not real important to you under the circumstances. You probably need to be concentrating more on Oz and maybe a redoubt somehwere in SoPac - maybe Pago Pago or Christmas.
I have begun to build a series of defensive points to help protect my shipping between San Francisco and Auckland.
Auckland is growing to become my main supply depot. I have begun to build up Pago, Suva, Noumea and Tahiti with fighters, patrol planes and troops etc...I'm calling it the Roberson highway. I established Christmas Island as my forward supply depot day after the game started so it is building up nicely as well. The idea was to ship everything to San Francisco (nothing moves out of San Diego as he had a few subs poking around there at the start of the game) embark at SF and ship to Christmas Island. Unload, reembark on shipping from the South Pacific and drive down the highway to offload at Auckland. After that I decide what goes where along the front lines.
I discovered after my train wreck of a game with Xargun that aggressive Japanese players have no issue with sending carrier forces deep into the south and southwest pacific so I wanted to set up a patrol line this time around that way I don't suffer any surprises.
My big loss at Lunga was because my patrol planes at Noumea werent robust enough and I really thought I could sneak up and reinforce Lunga before he could get boots on the ground there given his interesting campaign strategy to date. I was coming to doubt he had any interest in that area.