House Stark.....great question! Dave has over 9 divisions and 17 artillery LCUs at Manila and where he deploys his army once he has taken all of Luzon will determine the course of the game. I imagine that Dave will leave his most beat up division on Luzon as a garrison. That leaves Japan with 8 divisions to create mischief somewhere.
If Dave wants to have a Phase II offensive he will need to commit all 8 divisions to one objective. If Japan commits 8 more divisions to China it would allow them to conduct 2 offensives at once instead of just one offensive and Dave would have a shot at taking either Sian or Changsha. India is rather stripped after I bought over 1000 AV of Indian armor and sent it down the coastal road to Burma. An amphib invasion of India with 8 divisions could cause the Allies quite a few problems and would require the redeployment of much of the US Navy...including the carriers.....to the Indian Ocean. An invasion of northern Australia with 8 divisions would cause me quite a few problems and woukd require the Allies to siphon off troops from both SWPAC and SOPAC to put up an adequate defense.
The only problem with the above scenarios for Japan is the current situation in Burma.If Japan doesnt reinforce its position in Burma.....and quickly...I will be in Thailand before Christmas. The Japanese position in SE Asia would basically collapse and I would overrun Indochina by early 1943. This is exactly what happened in my 1st game of AE ....."in Harm's Way" on page 5 or 6 of the AARs. I was able to overrun all of Indochina by 2/43 and was on the Indochina/Chinese border.
But Dave wont let me do that in this game. He will need to send at least 5 divisions to Burma quickly to save the situation. That leaves him with 3 divisions to cause me headaches. I think that the current Japanese offensive in northern Australia is merely a diversion and the presence of 3 more IJA divisions there wont make a difference. If Dave commits all 8 divisions to Burma it would probably force me to withdraw back to Myitkina and Kalemyo and go on the defensive for at least a year but that would leave the Allies free to advance at will in SOPAC and SWPAC(New Guinea especially).
I think that Dave will commit 5 divisions to Burma and 2-3 divisions to New Guinea to make a fight out of it in both places. Ive already planned for that eventuality and have the 32nd Division, the 1st Marine Division, the 6th Australian Division and a half dozen armor battalions already ashore in Papua New Guinea. Three additional IJA divisions will slow me down but wont stop SWPAC completely as we will have massive overwhelming aerial support.
10/9-10/10/42
SUBS
From the Japanese home islands to the South China Sea to the Andaman Sea and the Solomons Allied subs are becoming quite a nuisance for Japanese shipping and even occasionally fire a torpedo thats not a dud:
AFTER ACTION REPORTS FOR Oct 09, 42
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sub attack near Ominato at 120,54
Japanese Ships
xAKL Indus Maru
SC CHa-33
xAKL Shoan Maru
Allied Ships
SS Halibut
SS Halibut launches 2 torpedoes at xAKL Indus Maru
Halibut diving deep ....
Sub escapes detection
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sub attack near Puerto Princesa at 73,81
Japanese Ships
PB Takuna Maru #6
PB Shinko Maru #3
xAK Giyu Maru
PB Jokuja Maru
Allied Ships
SS Sargo
SS Sargo launches 2 torpedoes at PB Takuna Maru #6
PB Jokuja Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Takuna Maru #6 fails to find sub and abandons search
PB Jokuja Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Jokuja Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Jokuja Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Jokuja Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
Escort abandons search for sub
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sub attack near Toyohara at 125,48
Japanese Ships
DD Sanae
DD Amatsukaze
DD Asagao
Allied Ships
SS Pompano
SS Pompano launches 4 torpedoes at DD Sanae
Pompano diving deep ....
DD Asagao fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Asagao fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Asagao fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Asagao fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Asagao attacking submerged sub ....
DD Asagao cannot reach attack position over SS Pompano
DD Asagao cannot establish contact with SS Pompano
Escort abandons search for sub
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sub attack near Tsushima at 102,56
Japanese Ships
PB Hakata Maru #7
SC CHa-1
xAK Naples Maru
xAK Malta Maru
xAK Florida Maru
Allied Ships
SS Whale
SS Whale launches 2 torpedoes at PB Hakata Maru #7
Whale diving deep ....
PB Hakata Maru #7 fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Hakata Maru #7 fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Hakata Maru #7 fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Hakata Maru #7 fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Hakata Maru #7 fails to find sub, continues to search...
Escort abandons search for sub
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ASW attack near Shortlands at 110,131
Japanese Ships
PB Teshio Maru
Allied Ships
SS S-42
SS S-42 is sighted by escort
S-42 bottoming out ....
PB Teshio Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Teshio Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Teshio Maru attacking submerged sub ....
PB Teshio Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Teshio Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
Escort abandons search for sub
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sub attack near Toyohara at 125,47
Japanese Ships
DD Yugao, Torpedo hits 1, on fire, heavy damage
DD Amatsukaze
DD Asagao
Allied Ships
SS Pompano
SS Pompano launches 2 torpedoes at DD Yugao
DD Asagao fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Asagao fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Asagao fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Asagao fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Asagao fails to find sub, continues to search...
Escort abandons search for sub
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ASW attack near Victoria Point at 49,65
Japanese Ships
DMS W-13
Allied Ships
SS O21
SS O21 launches 2 torpedoes at DMS W-13
O21 diving deep ....
DMS W-13 fails to find sub, continues to search...
DMS W-13 fails to find sub, continues to search...
DMS W-13 fails to find sub, continues to search...
DMS W-13 fails to find sub, continues to search...
DMS W-13 fails to find sub, continues to search...
Escort abandons search for sub
Sub attack near Hakodate at 120,53
Japanese Ships
xAKL Indus Maru, Torpedo hits 1, heavy damage
xAKL Shoan Maru
xAKL Kuwayama Maru
Allied Ships
SS Guardfish
SS Guardfish launches 2 torpedoes at xAKL Indus Maru
Guardfish diving deep ....
Sub escapes detection
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sub attack near Miri at 64,86
Japanese Ships
PB Uchide Maru, Torpedo hits 1, heavy damage
TK Toen Maru
TK Nikkoku Maru
TK Mitu Maru
TK Mirii Maru
TK Fujisan Maru
TK Arima Maru #4
PB Tsukikawa Maru
Allied Ships
SS O23
SS O23 launches 2 torpedoes at PB Uchide Maru
PB Tsukikawa Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Tsukikawa Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Tsukikawa Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Tsukikawa Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Tsukikawa Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
Escort abandons search for sub
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ASW attack near Terempa at 55,84
Japanese Ships
SC Ch 3
E Manazuru
Allied Ships
SS KXVIII
SS KXVIII is sighted by escort
KXVIII bottoming out ....
E Manazuru fails to find sub, continues to search...
E Manazuru fails to find sub, continues to search...
E Manazuru fails to find sub, continues to search...
E Manazuru fails to find sub, continues to search...
E Manazuru fails to find sub, continues to search...
Escort abandons search for sub
ASW attack near Georgetown at 48,73
Japanese Ships
xAKL Arizama Maru
PB Heimei Maru
Allied Ships
SS O21
SS O21 is sighted by escort
PB Heimei Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Heimei Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Heimei Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Heimei Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Heimei Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
Escort abandons search for sub
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ASW attack near Georgetown at 48,73
Japanese Ships
xAKL Arizama Maru
PB Heimei Maru
Allied Ships
SS O21, hits 3
SS O21 is sighted by escort
PB Heimei Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Heimei Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Heimei Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Heimei Maru attacking submerged sub ....
PB Heimei Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
Escort abandons search for sub
Sub attack near Kushiro at 123,54
Japanese Ships
PB Kensin Maru
PB Nagato Maru
PB Marei Maru
Allied Ships
SS Kingfish
SS Kingfish launches 2 torpedoes at PB Kensin Maru
Kingfish diving deep ....
PB Nagato Maru fails to find sub and abandons search
PB Marei Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Marei Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Marei Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Marei Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
PB Marei Maru fails to find sub, continues to search...
Escort abandons search for sub
CBI
Chinese troops trash another RGC division as they capture Anyang:
Ground combat at Anyang (89,43)
Allied Deliberate attack
Attacking force 25727 troops, 136 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 1124
Defending force 1156 troops, 12 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 53
Allied adjusted assault: 683
Japanese adjusted defense: 7
Allied assault odds: 97 to 1 (fort level 3)
Allied forces CAPTURE Anyang !!!
Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+), leaders(-), experience(-)
Attacker:
Japanese ground losses:
861 casualties reported
Squads: 40 destroyed, 28 disabled
Non Combat: 7 destroyed, 10 disabled
Engineers: 3 destroyed, 0 disabled
Guns lost 10 (4 destroyed, 6 disabled)
Units retreated 1
Allied ground losses:
182 casualties reported
Squads: 2 destroyed, 21 disabled
Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 3 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
Defeated Japanese Units Retreating!
Assaulting units:
15th Chinese Corps
61st Chinese Corps
27th Chinese/A Corps
34th Chinese Corps
27th Chinese/B Corps
27th Chinese/C Corps
Defending units:
15th RGC Temp. Division
A Chinese army with 1100 AV will advance E from Anyang towards Chengting while another Chinese army with over 2000 AV will advance south from Kaifeng towards Kweiteh and then Suchow.
Chinese troops recapture Kanhsien.
Im not attacking at Sinyang even though U have 2x the size of the Japanese army there but Dave is concerned about it and is sending most of his air force to bomb the Chinese at Sinyang....that leaves the rest of my Chinese troops basically unmolested.
In Burma, Dave bombs my troops hard at Magwe and we are too disrupted to capture the base:
Ground combat at Magwe (57,47)
Allied Deliberate attack
Attacking force 1515 troops, 23 guns, 118 vehicles, Assault Value = 63
Defending force 902 troops, 10 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 9
Allied adjusted assault: 4
Japanese adjusted defense: 13
Allied assault odds: 1 to 3 (fort level 3)
Combat modifiers
Defender: leaders(+), preparation(-)
Attacker: disruption(-), fatigue(-)
Japanese ground losses:
21 casualties reported
Squads: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled
Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 2 disabled
Allied ground losses:
9 casualties reported
Squads: 0 destroyed, 2 disabled
Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled
Assaulting units:
2nd Recce Regiment
45th Recce Regiment
Defending units:
94th JAAF AF Bn
Additional Indian reinforcements are on the way to Magwe.
Meanwhile....Allied bombers hit the Japanese airfield at Taung Gyi hard and destroy 25 Oscars on the ground. Next turn the USAAF heavy bombers will hit Toungoo AF.
PHILIPPINES
Naval, gound and a very heavy aerial bombardment at Manila.
SWPAC
Dave sends in some surface raiders to interfere with my buildup at Milne Bay, Buna and Kirawina:
Night Time Surface Combat, near Milne Bay at 101,133, Range 9,000 Yards
Japanese Ships
CA Atago
CA Mogami
DD Nenohi
DD Wakaba
Allied Ships
APD Gilmer, Shell hits 4, and is sunk
Japanese Ships Reported to be Approaching!
Allied TF begins to get underway
Reduced sighting due to 0% moonlight
Maximum visibility in Clear Conditions and 0% moonlight: 9,000 yards
Range closes to 11,000 yards...
Range closes to 10,000 yards...
Range closes to 9,000 yards...
CONTACT: Japanese lookouts spot Allied task force at 9,000 yards
CONTACT: Allied lookouts spot Japanese task force at 9,000 yards
APD Gilmer sunk by CA Mogami at 9,000 yards
APD Gilmer sunk by CA Mogami at 9,000 yards
Combat ends with last Allied ship sunk...
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Night Time Surface Combat, near Dutch Harbor at 171,50, Range 2,000 Yards
Japanese Ships
CL Tatsuta
DD Asagiri
Allied Ships
YP-95, Shell hits 5, and is sunk
YP-98, Shell hits 6, and is sunk
Reduced sighting due to 0% moonlight
Maximum visibility in Overcast Conditions and 0% moonlight: 2,000 yards
Range closes to 10,000 yards...
Range closes to 9,000 yards...
Range closes to 8,000 yards...
Range closes to 7,000 yards...
Range closes to 6,000 yards...
Range closes to 5,000 yards...
Range closes to 4,000 yards...
Range closes to 3,000 yards...
Range closes to 2,000 yards...
CONTACT: Japanese lookouts spot Allied task force at 2,000 yards
CONTACT: Allied lookouts spot Japanese task force at 2,000 yards
Ikeda N. crosses the 'T'
CL Tatsuta engages YP-98 at 2,000 yards
YP-98 sunk by DD Asagiri at 2,000 yards
CL Tatsuta engages YP-95 at 2,000 yards
CL Tatsuta engages YP-95 at 2,000 yards
CL Tatsuta engages YP-95 at 2,000 yards
Massive explosion on YP-95
YP-95 sunk by CL Tatsuta at 2,000 yards
Combat ends with last Allied ship sunk...
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Night Time Surface Combat, near Kiriwina Island at 102,131, Range 7,000 Yards
Japanese Ships
DD Hatsushima
DD Hasu
Allied Ships
AM Launceton, Shell hits 12, and is sunk
xAKL Sigli, Shell hits 7, and is sunk
Japanese Ships Reported to be Approaching!
Allied TF begins to get underway
Reduced sighting due to 0% moonlight
Maximum visibility in Clear Conditions and 0% moonlight: 7,000 yards
Range closes to 10,000 yards...
Range closes to 9,000 yards...
Range closes to 8,000 yards...
Range closes to 7,000 yards...
CONTACT: Japanese lookouts spot Allied task force at 7,000 yards
Japanese open fire on surprised Allied ships at 7,000 yards
DD Hasu fires at xAKL Sigli at 7,000 yards
Range closes to 6,000 yards
Range closes to 4,000 yards
Massive explosion on xAKL Sigli
DD Hasu engages xAKL Sigli at 4,000 yards
DD Hasu engages xAKL Sigli at 4,000 yards
Range closes to 2,000 yards
DD Hasu engages AM Launceton at 2,000 yards
Range increases to 3,000 yards
DD Hasu engages AM Launceton at 3,000 yards
DD Hatsushima engages AM Launceton at 3,000 yards
Range increases to 5,000 yards
DD Hasu engages AM Launceton at 5,000 yards
Range increases to 7,000 yards
DD Hasu engages AM Launceton at 7,000 yards
Range increases to 9,000 yards
DD Hasu engages AM Launceton at 9,000 yards
DD Hatsushima engages AM Launceton at 9,000 yards
DD Hasu engages AM Launceton at 9,000 yards
Range closes to 8,000 yards
DD Hasu engages AM Launceton at 8,000 yards
Range closes to 7,000 yards
DD Hasu engages AM Launceton at 7,000 yards
DD Hasu engages AM Launceton at 7,000 yards
DD Hasu engages AM Launceton at 7,000 yards
Combat ends with last Allied ship sunk...
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Night Time Surface Combat, near Milne Bay at 101,133, Range 11,000 Yards
Japanese Ships
CA Atago
CA Mogami
DD Nenohi
DD Wakaba
Allied Ships
APD Fox, Torpedo hits 1, and is sunk
Japanese Ships Reported to be Approaching!
Allied TF begins to get underway
Reduced sighting due to 3% moonlight
Maximum visibility in Clear Conditions and 3% moonlight: 11,000 yards
Range closes to 11,000 yards...
CONTACT: Japanese lookouts spot Allied task force at 11,000 yards
Japanese launch Long Lance torpedoes at 11,000 yards before allies detect Japanese presence
CA Mogami launches Long Lance Torpedoes at APD Fox at 11,000 yards
CA Atago launches Long Lance Torpedoes at APD Fox at 11,000 yards
APD Fox sunk by DD Wakaba at 11,000 yards
APD Fox sunk by DD Wakaba at 11,000 yards
Combat ends with last Allied ship sunk...
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Night Naval bombardment of Milne Bay at 101,133
Allied aircraft
no flights
Allied aircraft losses
PBY-5A Catalina: 5 damaged
PBY-5A Catalina: 1 destroyed on ground
A-24 Banshee: 9 damaged
P-40E Warhawk: 6 damaged
C-47 Skytrain: 2 damaged
C-47 Skytrain: 1 destroyed on ground
Kittyhawk IA: 2 damaged
Japanese Ships
CA Mogami
CA Atago
DD Wakaba
DD Nenohi
Allied ground losses:
263 casualties reported
Squads: 0 destroyed, 2 disabled
Non Combat: 2 destroyed, 51 disabled
Engineers: 3 destroyed, 17 disabled
Vehicles lost 33 (4 destroyed, 29 disabled)
Airbase hits 11
Runway hits 27
Port hits 1
Port supply hits 1
E8N2 Dave acting as spotter for CA Mogami
CA Mogami firing at Milne Bay
CA Atago firing at Milne Bay
DD Wakaba firing at Milne Bay
DD Nenohi firing at Milne Bay
Then to add insult to injury....A-24s based at Port Moresby try to get revenge on the IJN CAs but the fightyer escorts dont fly and the Army DBs are slaughtered:
Morning Air attack on TF, near Cape Gloucester at 101,124
Weather in hex: Heavy cloud
Raid spotted at 12 NM, estimated altitude 15,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 4 minutes
Japanese aircraft
A6M2 Zero x 28
Allied aircraft
A-24 Banshee x 16
No Japanese losses
Allied aircraft losses
A-24 Banshee: 10 destroyed, 1 damaged
A-24 Banshee: 1 destroyed by flak
Japanese Ships
CA Mogami
Aircraft Attacking:
1 x A-24 Banshee releasing from 3000'
Naval Attack: 1 x 1000 lb SAP Bomb
CAP engaged:
Chitose Ku S-1 with A6M2 Zero (28 airborne, 0 on standby, 0 scrambling)
28 plane(s) intercepting now.
Group patrol altitude is 19000
Raid is overhead
These army pilots had been training in divebombing since the early war but now we are out of A-24 replacements so they will need to find a new line of work.
Lead elements of the 1st Marine Division enter Salamaua.
SWPAC builds a level 5 AF at Port Moresby and a level 1 fighter strip opens at Buna.
