End of Impulse.
(1) MacArthur was railed to Nanchang, China to set up and command an airbase there with runways long enough and facilities sufficient to support two B-29 Superfortress bomber wings.
(2) 2 B-29 Superfortress bomber wings, air and ground crews move from Pusan, Korea to the newly improved airbase in Nanchang.
(3) Nanchang is 12-hexes from Chunking, normal range of both B-29 air wings.
(4) Assuming the turn continues to another allied impulse (70% chance) these two bomber wings used for ground strike will have a 70% chance of flipping the isolated (non-elite) Chunking defending warlord band.
(5) This gives a minimum 49% (70% x 70%) that Chunking will be liberated this turn.
(6) Even if the ground strike misses, the assault may still be ordered depending on the assault odds.
(7) Thus the 50/50 or even 60/40 estimate given at the start of the turn of being able to liberate Chunking by turn's end is turning out to be pretty darn accurate.
(8) FYI. The real reason for railing MacArthur into China was to get the FTC needed to move the two B-29 bomber wings to China.
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