ORIGINAL: Yakface
would have done better to concentrate your units.
Hi G.H.,
I agree, I think you’re placing too much faith in the urban terrains ability to keep your units alive at Bombay. Manila holds out for as long as it does only against 4 divisions, 6 or 8 divisions could easily overwhelm Manila long before supplies run out, and Manila has closer to 1,500 AV. 1000 AV at Bombay is doomed if he simply steps on it with an uber stack.
While the AAA will hurt his bombers, it will also be hammered by the air attacks in return, and he has enough air power to hit the base and many individual land units every turn. So your unit’s disruption will be high making overcoming the base easier.
Bombay will work if your opponent doesn’t send a large 6-8 division stack at it. If he does, you’ll lose everything there for little gain. It’s all about the numbers, do the math, figure out what his AV is and you’ll get an idea of the minimum AV you need to live. 1,000 AV is too low, I guarantee it.
Your only long-term hope in India is to pile everything into a single large redoubt. It will take 4-6 months to get another 1,000 AV into Karachi to replace the 1,000 AV that you’re sending to Bombay. And Karachi will fall long before that can happen.
The critical time is now, not 6 months from now. Karachi has to hold or everything you have in India is lost. If you lose the land army in India, it would make the re-conquest later almost impossible.
Of course I may be over-pessimistic about the ability of your troops to hold Karachi. I’d say 3,000 AV there would be enough to hold over time against anything he throws at it. If you’ve got that and another 1,000 to spare at Bombay, then you’re good to go I guess. Anything less at Karachi and I think you’re helping your opponent to divide and conquer.
Also with so many of his armor units coming ashore at Vizagapatam, I’d say your opponent plans to race your retreating units towards Karachi, Bombay and Delhi in an attempt to cut you off. At this point I wouldn’t count on all your units getting to where they’re needed anymore, his armor is too fast for them to beat.
Get everyone moving ASAP now, lest he trap huge chunks of your force with his armor. It may already be too late for the units around Calcutta. I wonder if they have enough punch to blast through an armor only blocking force around Delhi.
Jim
Edit: You're not playing with Japanese troops, so your units all have low experience, low morale, low everything. They need to survive the initial onslaught to get their experience up high enough to count on them defending a base without having a huge hit to their adjusted AV.
What happened to my units at Singapore is a good example of what I mean. A couple months into the fighting, their experience and morale became high enough that suddenly it became apparent that they would hold until supplies ran out. Prior to that however their adjusted AV’s were pretty erratic due to low experience and morale.
Your units are going to need a month or two of sustained fighting before they too become dependable.