ORIGINAL: Mogami
No, Joel..., it isn't . Geometric impossibility. One side is closing at 30KTs, the other is
scattering at 10 kts. No matter what directional vector the "scattering forces" chose,
the relative distance BETWEEN the two continues to close. The best "escape vector"
would be directly away from the attacking force..., and it's still going to decrease by
20 knots every hour. Any other vector and the decrease becomes even greater. Now
if you carry it out to multiple hours eventually the fleeing units that chose vectors
that lead away from the attackers base course WILL start opening the range---but dur-
ing the actual period when most combat will take place (30-90 minutes) none of the
potential "escapees" is gaining an inch. The range keeps closing rapidly.
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Hi, Your keeping the transports together they are not scattering in the same direction.
A 30kt TF that begins 20k from a 10kt ship will close to 6200 yards but all the other ships will have went 6200 yards in other directions. If there are 2 ships at start and they turn 90 degrees from each other. You will be 6200 yards from the one you chase and 6200 yards plus the angle between where you began and where the 2nd ship is when you reach 6200 yards from the target. If there are 20+ targets many of them will be out of sight before you finish with many. Once you deal with the first you choose a new target and pursue. This of course will result in opening of range with majorty of other targets. If you go left 30k chasing ships that turn left you now have to come back 30k before you even start chasing a ship that went right at start. While you traveled 60k (30k out and 30k back) they have traveled 15k on their own. (so when you turn around before starting back that 30k they are long out of sight. ) Now you have to search in ever expanding box and hope you spot a ship to chase.
Let me explain it this way. When spotted the center of the transport formation is 20k away.
By the time you get to 6200 yards of this location every transport is 6200 yards from the old center. Ships that were 100 yards apart when you spoted them are now 12k apart.
All this assumes the surface force commander reacts perfectly.
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WRONG, MOGAMI. Sorry, but look at the facts. IF the attacker spotted the target at
30,000 yards, and can cover that distance in X minutes; while the defender can only
cover 10,000 yards in the same amount of time; then no matter what direction the
defender flees, he can only be 10,000 yards from where he started when the attacker
arrives at that point. That's a minimum closure of 20,000 yards in x minutes before
(even in theory) the range can BEGIN to expand.
Given realities, when the attacker sees that the defender is "defenseless", the attacking
TF will spread out to "cut the corners" on the defenders "scattering vectors" decreasing
the range even more.. Your theory holds true over an extended period of time, but not
during the critical period of the actual engagement.