Another location which will have, once it is adequately reinforced, "dip" orders. Germany has only so many units. The thick mountain range between Athens and Belgrade is expected to slow up any Allied advance long enough... for the Red Army to beat them to the punch.
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The setup in the Balkans is currently designed to keep resources flowing. The northern part of the region, near Belgrade and Budapest, will play host to the retreating forces from Rumania and the Carpathians, and to reinforcements from Vienna.
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The German army in Italy is desperately short of units. Yes, I have an armoured corps & engineer set up to march in from Vienna, but it probably won't be enough when stacked up against the forces the Allies have in place.
Southern France is even worse, but at least if the Allies want to make immediate progress they have to invade.
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Germany is also short corps here to fill out the coastal defences. Hopefully enough army will survive that, in combination with next turn's reinforcements, the Germans can form up a line along the Seine.
Germany's strategy here is to weather the Allied air assault, then try to destroy at least one invading hex right after the invasion.
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This sector of the Eastern Front is slightly more critical than Belorussia as the USSR is closer to Poland and, most importantly, closer to the Rumanian oil.
You will note in the lower right corner a corps remains in place in Sevastopol.
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German reinforcements for November-December 1944, the last turn Germany sets up with available reinforcements (any reinforcements in future turns appear due to German production).
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Germany needs to churn out pilots, in addition to those already scheduled to appear, to get these air units on the map on top of any units built out of the force pools.
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Submarines are about the only naval units Germany might contemplate starting this scenario, as they can evade detection, unless Germany wants to fight, are cheap and quick to produce, and have one main use in this scenario: send Allied sealift to the bottom of the ocean.
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What's in those stacks up in Paris, Rotterdam, and Aachen? You have to be a little worried with the French putting their two initial partisans in say, Rouen and Boulogne, and then having their buddies sealift in (they'd take a land) and put down say, De Gaulle and an inf, as well as some divisions, which will be pretty tough to drive out, in addition to whatever other invading forces are on their way.
But this potentially grabs two ports without the risk of invasion and automatically staying face up, and a lot of places they can move to. (2 more ports adjacent to the beachhead)
So do the Germans have the force on hand to react and knock out, or at the very least contain, troops landing such?
"When beset by danger,
When in deadly doubt,
Run in little circles,
Wave your arms and shout."
Hiding under the air units in the woods are big, beefy blitz units, so if the Allies land straight away without disorganizing them, they will get blitzed off. If the French land in Rouen courtesy of partisans it will just be De Gaulle and a division or two; not exactly the kind of units you want to stack up against the kind of armoured forces the Germans can muster in 1944.
Rotterdam has a PARA corps, which will travel down to Rouen as the big ARM unit in Denmark comes down the line.
Aachen used to have a big ARM, which has been shuffled down to reinforce the Italian sector; it has an arm division still.
Paris has a 9-factor INF corps. If need be it can walk into Rouen, I suppose.
To be honest, I hadn't really considered debarking onto partisans with the French forces. I may consider it more now, but probably not. The Allies are usually better off waiting to land after a couple of waves of groundstrikes have pinned a few German units down.