1945: It Sux 2 B Japan - Roger Neilson as the Allies

[Q-Ball]

ORIGINAL: durnedwolf


Below is the full extent of Japan's submarine fleet.

That is some serious underwater carnage! Only 4 of those subs were in service on Dec 7, 1941. A couple are '43 or '44 builds, which indicates that your predecessor must have continued to build IJN subs...and then lost almost all of them!

What is Roger doing that's so sub-deadly?

[durnedwolf]

ORIGINAL: Q-Ball

ORIGINAL: durnedwolf


Below is the full extent of Japan's submarine fleet.

That is some serious underwater carnage! Only 4 of those subs were in service on Dec 7, 1941. A couple are '43 or '44 builds, which indicates that your predecessor must have continued to build IJN subs...and then lost almost all of them!

What is Roger doing that's so sub-deadly?

Honestly, I don't know. I have limited fuel at this stage and I came into this game in April of '45. He has a *lot* of air groups on search so my WAG is that he was boosting his detection levels and then the late-war anti-sub munitions are of course, much more effective in 1945...

I just recently placed a few subs on patrol to the south of Japan. Most of my ships remain in TFs as Roger seems fond of playing whack-a-mole with ports that look like they might have ships in them.

[durnedwolf]

Last turn Roger really lit up Muroran. I think there were about 20 large bomber strikes. Port Damage 81%, AF Service 100%, & AF Runway @ 97%...

At Fushun I tried another Shock attack in an effort to drive the Chines out of the hex so I could try and strat-move the heck out of there. I only had 1-1 odds.

I had an AO with a pair of DD headed back to Japan after slurping 2k of fuel from Chichi-jima. She took a torpedo and sank.

There's an El Dorado near Guadalcanal that I'm trying to sneak to but it really looks like Roger has a swell search umbrella up. I don't have a choice - I've gotta try to go for it but I'm not sure of the best way. I've set up a TF with 5 tankers and 4DD but I'm wondering if I want to try and send individual tankers (smaller and slower) and hope they maintain a low DL…

Shikuka is now under Russian ownership. Right now Roger is steam-rolling Japan into a parking lot... <wry grin>

[durnedwolf]

Roger runs a SCCTF of 4 DD into Niigata and sinks three of my SC.

Lotsa air attacks, and sweeps, and searches, and allied aircraft… Roger owns the skies.

At Toyohara my Coastal defense is doing a good job tapping into an invasion force. Roger is not even providing escorts; there's little I can do.

I sent a small DD TF to the north of Japan in an attempt to draw Roger's attention while my tanker TF makes a run to the south. My hope is to make him think I'm headed for the Bonin Isles...

[Q-Ball]

That garrison at Tulagi has plenty of fuel, but no supplies! They probably wish they could eat gasoline!

I hope you brought along a few sandwiches or something for them to trade for gas

[durnedwolf]

ORIGINAL: Q-Ball

That garrison at Tulagi has plenty of fuel, but no supplies! They probably wish they could eat gasoline!

I hope you brought along a few sandwiches or something for them to trade for gas

Oh Come on - they've got 136 tons of supplies and it's the end of April in 1945. How much longer do you think they have to hold out? [:D][:D]

I mean - they're on an island. You'd think someone knows how to fish...

[durnedwolf]

I'm proud to say that the ever-victorious Imperial Japanese Army won another great victory today, liberating the good people of Chihfeng from the nasty allied forces.



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ground combat at Chihfeng (100,38)

Japanese Deliberate attack

Attacking force 13533 troops, 36 guns, 206 vehicles, Assault Value = 423

Defending force 1194 troops, 5 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 52

Japanese adjusted assault: 70

Allied adjusted defense: 23

Japanese assault odds: 3 to 1

Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+), leaders(+), leaders(-), preparation(-)
experience(-)
Attacker:

Japanese ground losses:
230 casualties reported
Squads: 0 destroyed, 19 disabled
Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled

Allied ground losses:
618 casualties reported
Squads: 17 destroyed, 19 disabled
Non Combat: 11 destroyed, 7 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
Units retreated 1

Defeated Allied Units Retreating!

Assaulting units:
107th/B Division
4th Manchukuo Distr/A Division
5th Manchukuo Cav Brigade
23rd Tank Regiment
RGC Capital Brigade
107th/A Division
23rd/C Division
28th/B Division
91st Field AA Battalion
205th JAAF AF Bn
174th JAAF AF Bn
22nd Field AA Machinecannon Company
56th Field AA Battalion
92nd Field AA Battalion
Botanko Hvy Gun Regiment
201st JAAF AF Bn
85th Field AA Battalion
28th Fld AA Gun Co
13th Ind.Hvy.Art Battalion
1st Manchukuo/C Division

Defending units:
28th Chinese/C Corps

So far, so good for the fuel TF that's running over near Guadalcanal. Fingers crossed as I could really use 40 thousand tons of fuel. [:D][:D]

[Nomad]

Every little victory helps morale.

[John B.]

Good luck with the fuel convoy. Not only getting it there, but getting it home.

What is the VP situation?

[PaxMondo]

ORIGINAL: durnedwolf

ORIGINAL: Alfred

Read my posts in this thread

https://www.matrixgames.com/forums/tm.asp?m=3697364

for how fuel demand at bases is determined.  The total demand is made up by a structural permanent demand and a temporary demand.

Alfred 

Thanks Alfred.

I am interpreting your notes in the light of a Japan with plenty of oil/fuel/supplies/resources. In this current map of Japan, Matsue had 800 fuel points last turn. It's just that almost every base in Japan is asking for resources and it seems to me that almost everything would push to Fukuoka or Tokyo. But every turn I'm finding smaller bases that receive or loose points of fuel or supplies and I'm not sure if there is a draw, a push, or maybe even a tiny bit of production that is creating the differences I see.

And again - thanks for the link to your previous post - I've book-marked it. [:)]

Alogrithms like the supply AI struggle when demand greatly exceeds supply. What Alfred sent you though is still pertinent. You have permanent demand and temporary. You can't change the first, you can the second.

Works for both fuel and supply.

[durnedwolf]

ORIGINAL: John B.

Good luck with the fuel convoy. Not only getting it there, but getting it home.

What is the VP situation?

Here's a screenie:

[durnedwolf]

ORIGINAL: Nomad

Every little victory helps morale.

Ain't that the truth? [:)]

[durnedwolf]

Roger rules the skies. Hordes of Russians are loose about the eastern side of the map. A few minor engagements by enemy subs or aircraft against Japanese naval forces. Near Iwo-jima, brave Japanese pilots find an enemy taskforce!

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Morning Air attack on TF, near Iwo-jima at 111,82

Weather in hex: Severe storms

Raid spotted at 6 NM, estimated altitude 7,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 1 minutes

Japanese aircraft
Ki-49-IIb Helen x 2
Ki-67-Ia Peggy x 5

Japanese aircraft losses
Ki-67-Ia Peggy: 3 destroyed, 1 damaged

Allied Ships
xAK Abigail S. Duniway, Bomb hits 1
xAK Andrew D. White
xAK B. F. Irvine

Aircraft Attacking:
5 x Ki-67-Ia Peggy bombing from 100 feet *
Naval Attack: 1 x 250 kg SAP Bomb
2 x Ki-49-IIb Helen bombing from 6000 feet *
Naval Attack: 2 x 250 kg GP Bomb

In other news:
My small TF of tankers is SW of Iwo-jima
8th Ind.Tank Brigade arrives at Nagoya
Pilot Kumagaya E. is reported as to have escaped capture!
APD Walter B. Cobb is reported to have been sunk near Polillo on Sep 30, 1944


Ground Combat
Naha holds VS a DATK
Uruppa-jima holds VS DATK
Pagan falls to the allies
Canton holds VS a DATK
Sunwa falls to the allies
Toyohara falls to the allies
Hailar falls to the allies

51st Base Force Wiped Out at Toyohara by attrition!!!

Japanese Unit(s) surrounded at Hailar

Japanese Unit(s) surrounded at Uruppu-jima

Japanese Unit(s) surrounded at Naha

Coast Watchers are busy - always best to view enemy ships from far-far away.
Coastwatcher Report: 1 ship in port at Iriomote
Coastwatcher Report: 3 ships in port at Nago
Coastwatcher Report: harbor at Gunzan is reported empty
Coastwatcher Report: harbor at Seishin is reported empty
Coastwatcher Report: 3 ships in port at Anking
Coastwatcher Report: 3 ships in port at Antung
Coastwatcher Report: 3 ships in port at Chefoo
Coastwatcher Report: 3 ships in port at Kiangtu
Coastwatcher Report: harbor at Shanghai is reported empty
Coastwatcher Report: 3 ships in port at Tsinkiang
Coastwatcher Report: 1 ship in port at Tsingtao
Coastwatcher Report: 3 ships in port at Tourane
Coastwatcher Report: 3 ships in port at Rachgia
Coastwatcher Report: harbor at Saigon is reported empty
Coastwatcher Report: 4 ships in port at Kwangchowan
Coastwatcher Report: harbor at Chinhae is reported empty
Coastwatcher sighting: 4 Allied ships at 105,48 near Genzan , Speed 17 , Moving West
Coastwatcher sighting: 9 Allied ships at 102,54 near Masan , Speed 18 , Moving Northeast
Coastwatcher sighting: 1 Allied ship at 100,53 near Moppo , Speed 8 , Moving Southwest

And Japan lives to see the rise of another sun…

[durnedwolf]

ORIGINAL: PaxMondo

ORIGINAL: durnedwolf

ORIGINAL: Alfred

Read my posts in this thread

https://www.matrixgames.com/forums/tm.asp?m=3697364

for how fuel demand at bases is determined.  The total demand is made up by a structural permanent demand and a temporary demand.

Alfred 

Thanks Alfred.

I am interpreting your notes in the light of a Japan with plenty of oil/fuel/supplies/resources. In this current map of Japan, Matsue had 800 fuel points last turn. It's just that almost every base in Japan is asking for resources and it seems to me that almost everything would push to Fukuoka or Tokyo. But every turn I'm finding smaller bases that receive or loose points of fuel or supplies and I'm not sure if there is a draw, a push, or maybe even a tiny bit of production that is creating the differences I see.

And again - thanks for the link to your previous post - I've book-marked it. [:)]

Alogrithms like the supply AI struggle when demand greatly exceeds supply. What Alfred sent you though is still pertinent. You have permanent demand and temporary. You can't change the first, you can the second.

Works for both fuel and supply.

I've been able to pull/move supplies around in Manchukuo but nothing much is working in Japan proper. Almost every base is red or yellow... If you've got some thoughts, please feel free to school me.

[durnedwolf]

So let's say I get my TF to Guadalcanal and bring back 40,000 tons of fuel. If I put it in a base and have fuel stockpiling on, will it stay there? Every base in Japan needs fuel...

[PaxMondo]

ORIGINAL: durnedwolf

ORIGINAL: PaxMondo

ORIGINAL: durnedwolf




Thanks Alfred.

I am interpreting your notes in the light of a Japan with plenty of oil/fuel/supplies/resources. In this current map of Japan, Matsue had 800 fuel points last turn. It's just that almost every base in Japan is asking for resources and it seems to me that almost everything would push to Fukuoka or Tokyo. But every turn I'm finding smaller bases that receive or loose points of fuel or supplies and I'm not sure if there is a draw, a push, or maybe even a tiny bit of production that is creating the differences I see.

And again - thanks for the link to your previous post - I've book-marked it. [:)]

Alogrithms like the supply AI struggle when demand greatly exceeds supply. What Alfred sent you though is still pertinent. You have permanent demand and temporary. You can't change the first, you can the second.

Works for both fuel and supply.

I've been able to pull/move supplies around in Manchukuo but nothing much is working in Japan proper. Almost every base is red or yellow... If you've got some thoughts, please feel free to school me.

DW:
nothing easy here.
to start, you're gonna have to some hand calcs. On the Home Isles, you gotta calculate how much supply you produce each turn (tracker can tell you or you add it up). Then how much are your troops eating each day (again, tracker can tell you or you add it up). I suspect that may be negative (production-army demand).

If it is in fact negative, you're pretty pooched.

If it is positive, then the left over supply is what you can use for air ops and/or replacements.
If it is positive, you have one major permanent demand, Tokyo the capital and the largest concentration of HI/LI/factories. So Tokyo is your first, best (as in easiest) location to pool supply/fuel.
Next, you have your temporary demand which is units in place. But not all units are equal. Command HQ's want 50K supply with them. At this point you have at least one command HQ in the HI. Move all of them to the same place, Tokyo to start. You likely have a lot of other troops there already (AA, ENG, etc) which adds to the demand. Now put the supply demand slider to max in Tokyo and min everywhere else. Wait 3 turns. Your calculated excess supply should start showing in Tokyo.

Moving it elsewhere is similar exercise, but you have to be more careful and thorough because the permanent demand in Tokyo as capital cannot move, so you are always fighting that …

Good luck!

[John B.]

Thanks for putting up the VP screen. To me it looks far better than I thought it would. He needs about a 60K swing in VP to get you to 2-1 (without an excessive use of the Abombs) and he does not have a whole lot of time left. So, that at least is a ray of hope.

[durnedwolf]

Regarding my fuel TF headed towards Guadalcanal:
Via email intel, Roger let on that he saw a TF heading towards the Philippines and wondered if it was my carriers. I'm more than willing to let him hunt around the PI as long as I can keep some distance from his ships. The challenge for me right now is that I'm sailing blind. I have no search aircraft anywhere to get a feel for if Roger has anything near me… Come on providence - don't fail me now!

Lotsa bombings and sweeps and attacks against my army grunts.

This is good info to feed to Japan's Public Relations Department:
DD Abner Read is reported to have been sunk near Chichi-jima on Mar 24, 1945
SS Shalimar is reported to have been sunk near Nagasaki/Sasebo on Jan 06, 1945

This part doesn't look good…
Allied forces CAPTURE Canton !!!
Allied forces CAPTURE Mangan !!!
Kure 5th SNLF destroyed near Pagan !!!
Kwajalein Base Force destroyed near Pagan !!!
8th JNAF AF Unit destroyed near Pagan !!!
Rashin expands airfield to size 6
China Expeditionary Army isolated with no supply!
8th Area Army isolated with no supply!
3rd Tank Division isolated with no supply!
13th Division isolated with no supply!
39th Division isolated with no supply!
11th Ind.Infantry Brigade isolated with no supply!
12th Ind.Infantry Brigade isolated with no supply!
15th Division isolated with no supply!
17th Division isolated with no supply!
64th Division isolated with no supply!
70th Division isolated with no supply!
6th Ind.Infantry Brigade isolated with no supply!
110th Division isolated with no supply!
1st Ind.Mixed Brigade isolated with no supply!
85th Infantry Brigade isolated with no supply!
8th Ind.Mixed Brigade isolated with no supply!
North China Gsn Brigade isolated with no supply!
41st Division isolated with no supply!
62nd Division isolated with no supply!
9th Ind.Mixed Brigade isolated with no supply!
83rd Infantry Brigade isolated with no supply!
108th Division isolated with no supply!
4th Division isolated with no supply!
5th Division isolated with no supply!
58th Infantry Regiment isolated with no supply!
Sasebo 6th SNLF isolated with no supply!
Iki Fortress isolated with no supply!
25th JNAF AF Unit isolated with no supply!
33rd/A Division isolated with no supply!
33rd/B Division isolated with no supply!
40th/C Division isolated with no supply!

Holy Kamikaze Batman!
Hakata Ku K-1 arrives at Fukuoka
Hakata Ku K-2 arrives at Fukuoka
Hakata Ku K-3 arrives at Fukuoka
Hakata Ku K-4 arrives at Fukuoka
Isahaya Ku K-1 arrives at Nagasaki/Sasebo
Isahaya Ku K-2 arrives at Nagasaki/Sasebo
Isahaya Ku K-3 arrives at Nagasaki/Sasebo
Isahaya Ku K-4 arrives at Nagasaki/Sasebo
Iwakuni Ku K-1 arrives at Hiroshima/Kure
Iwakuni Ku K-2 arrives at Hiroshima/Kure
Iwakuni Ku K-3 arrives at Hiroshima/Kure
Kannonji Ku K-1 arrives at Takamatsu
Kannonji Ku K-2 arrives at Takamatsu
Kannonji Ku K-3 arrives at Takamatsu
Kannonji Ku K-4 arrives at Takamatsu
Kowa Ku K-1 arrives at Tsu
Kowa Ku K-2 arrives at Tsu
Kowa Ku K-3 arrives at Tsu
Kwanju Ku K-1 is delayed to arrive at Tokyo
Kwanju Ku K-2 is delayed to arrive at Tokyo
Kwanju Ku K-3 is delayed to arrive at Tokyo
Kwanju Ku K-4 is delayed to arrive at Tokyo
Mineyama Ku K-1 arrives at Maizuru
Mineyama Ku K-2 arrives at Maizuru
Mineyama Ku K-3 arrives at Maizuru
Mineyama Ku K-4 arrives at Maizuru
Okazaki Ku K-1 arrives at Nagoya
Okazaki Ku K-2 arrives at Nagoya
Okazaki Ku K-3 arrives at Nagoya
Okazaki Ku K-4 arrives at Nagoya
Okazaki Ku K-5 arrives at Nagoya
Otsu Ku S-1 arrives at Osaka/Kyoto
Otsu Ku T-1 arrives at Osaka/Kyoto
Fusan Ku K-1 is delayed to arrive at Tokyo
Fusan Ku K-2 is delayed to arrive at Tokyo
Fusan Ku K-3 is delayed to arrive at Tokyo
Fusan Ku K-4 is delayed to arrive at Tokyo
Saiyo Ku K-1 arrives at Matsuyama
Saiyo Ku K-2 arrives at Matsuyama
Saiyo Ku K-3 arrives at Matsuyama
Saiyo Ku K-4 arrives at Matsuyama
Tsingtao Ku K-1 is delayed to arrive at Tokyo
Tsingtao Ku K-2 is delayed to arrive at Tokyo
Tsingtao Ku K-3 is delayed to arrive at Tokyo
Tsuiki Ku K-1 arrives at Fukuoka
Tsuiki Ku K-2 arrives at Fukuoka
Tsuiki Ku K-3 arrives at Fukuoka
Tsuiki Ku K-4 arrives at Fukuoka
Yamato Ku K-1 arrives at Tokyo
Yamato Ku K-1 arrives at Tokyo
26th Shinbu-tai is delayed to arrive at Tokyo
27th Shinbu-tai is delayed to arrive at Tokyo
54th Shinbu-tai is delayed to arrive at Tokyo
70th Shinbu-tai is delayed to arrive at Tokyo
72nd Shinbu-tai is delayed to arrive at Tokyo
110th Shinbu-tai is delayed to arrive at Tokyo
111th Shinbu-tai is delayed to arrive at Tokyo
112th Shinbu-tai is delayed to arrive at Tokyo
113th Shinbu-tai is delayed to arrive at Tokyo
32nd RF Gun Battalion arrives at Tokyo

161st Division arrives at Tokyo
49th Tank Battalion arrives at Tokyo

To PaxMondo:
OK - I was hoping you had a silver bullet I might-could use. I've already set all the bases to min except Tokyo so I guess there's no point crunching numbers; I'm pooched.

I guess a silver lining is that I made it to May - eh? And I still have a few opportunities to slip a cross or get jab in. What more can Japan ask for at this stage of the war?

[PaxMondo]

If you crunch numbers it may show (help you find) supply usage that you are unaware of … air units active, replacements on somewhere, etc. In the Mike Solli school of IJ economy, crunching number is de rigeur.

[durnedwolf]

Roger sent me a pic of one of his destroyers after a kamikaze hit it. It's nice to see I can still land a blow.

Bombers - Roger has lots 4E bombers. The last turn there were several raids of over 100. I don't know if Roger was holding them back or if the previous player for Japan didn't try to whittle them down but OMGosh!

I'm fielding Claudes now for CAP in a few of my fighter groups - lol.

My TF running for fuel is still alive and seems to be undetected so far.