ORIGINAL: Tom Hunter
I really enjoy the comparisons with Jims game because we both argue the numbers, so there is really something to work with.
I too enjoy these kinds of discussions and also learn quite a bit from them.
I have no idea how fast the factories expand, but its doubtful that production can be doubled in a month.
On Zero's Hoepner has more than doubled his production numbers. Again it is unlikely that he has 238 times 7 months of Zeros but I will give you that he has enough to keep Zeros in the air, because even without raising production he could match his losses.
Well I looked at his actual numbers before I edited the image for the sake of privacy from his opponent’s eyes, and he has 449 zeroes in his pool and has used 1220 by the date of his posting which was July 5th 1942. That’s almost exactly 7 months production and the total 1669 divided by 7 equals 238.42. So I assumed his production numbers hadn’t changed much. Perhaps he simply converted existing factories instead of expanding, I don’t know, but it looked like he’s been producing 238 a month from start to me.
I admit I simply just assumed the same was true for the rest of his production numbers without looking at the math as I did for the zeroes. That’s why I said I thought it was a typical Japanese production sheet without a lot of modifications. I may very well have been wrong.
and Lightings at 100 month.
Yeah but most (if not all) Lightening groups are 72 plane groups, so you’ll only have 3 or 4 groups upgraded by 1943 if you don’t take high losses in the first couple groups while waiting to upgrade more. There are only 2 groups that arrive (mid 43 I think) as reinforcements, the rest need to upgrade after you accumulate 72 planes in your pool. Actually this is true for most allied planes types, the majority need to upgrade slowly over time as you save up replacement aircraft.
One take away from this is that the Allies need to keep their Hawk, Demon and Buffalo units flying, don't lose them.
LOL easier said than done. Especially the short ranged stuff in the SRA. If your Japanese opponent is good he can trap a lot of air in Java/Borneo that you’ll not be able to evacuate.
After doing this analysis I am going to mellow my statements about pilot quality mattering less and production more in a very attrition oriented game such as the one I played against Blackwatch. It still matters, the Japanese bomber production is not keeping up with losses and this is reducing the ability of the Japanese to shut down Allied air bases in the Imperialism game.
However the production of fighters is so high that the only explaination for my gradual progress in the air war has to be the pilot quality. I don't have as many planes as Blackwatch, and I don't build as many but I still have the upper hand in the air. I can only assume that my superior pilots are chasing his inferior pilots away.
I agree in a very high attrition game like yours this is true, but most opponents won’t or at least shouldn’t allow you to gain air superiority anywhere in 1942. The AVG should be decimated ASAP and aggressive fighter sweeps flown against base CAP simply to destroy front line fighter groups as my opponent does. I actually think fighter sweeps are more critical than base bombardments because Japan’s quality edge is so high it litterly wipes out allied fighter opposition completely. Look at his op losses vs. air to air, he’s lost more zeroes to op losses than air to air, but he gained total fighter superiority at the front because of it.
I don't see the Allies running out of planes, as you suggest.
I would very much like to know the total number of air frames you are short of for filling out your air groups. My guess is you’ll need almost a full year to replace the shortfall in a lot of your air groups just because of the numbers you’ve lost to date.
I can't say why my sortie rate is so much lower than yours Jim, it's a mystery to me.
Simple I’ve conserved a lot more air frames than you so my group of 16 racks up 16 sorties while your same group might only have 4 air frames so it only gets 4 sorties.
I might argue that if I had 700k sorties there would not be a Japanese airforce, but I think that is really just silly.
LOL well we see what happens when you fly your planes your way, you can’t get 700,000 sorties out of them because they're dead. [;)]
Jim