The German attack odds from North to South as follows:
64:13 (+1 due to disorganized defender, USSR select LCT)
48:11 (+1 due to disorganization and blitz bonus if assault and USSR select LCT
(my bad mistake. It is +2 if blitz)) 34:2 (+1 due to blitz bonus, Germany select LCT)
Will USSR provide any shore bombardment support to the attacked cavalry?
(Ground support step is after shore bombardment.)

Picture from Jul/Aug 41 Impulse #5 (Axis) - Land Combat
















