Hi Crackaces,
It isn't about winning or losing as Japan, I'm not thinking that deep here. It's about putting 8 Japanese CV's within 4 hexes of 41 enemy ships, without adequate air cover and sinking only two DE's and an AK confirmed by 111 bombers out of 240 and worse yet only one attack was launched. My opponent had no clue my CV's were about to strike, he withdrew his CV's not expecting an attack. He made a big mistake, and got off so lightly as to be ridiculous. Was that smart play on his part, or luck? To me that was pure luck. Don't forget, that was the second running of the same turn. If the first turn stood I wouldn't have attacked Lunga at all, but PT boats 7 hexes away. Was that poor planning on my part, or simply bad luck?
With his play style, I won't get that many more opportunities like I just had, so every missed opportunity is HUGE in this game simply due to the lact of them. You'll have to forgive me for still being upset by that turn, but this isn't chess. Any game that generates random outcomes based on a die roll is hugely affected by luck. Yes, you do what you can to put the odds in your favour. What were KB's odds for success? KB's strike might have had a 5 in 6 chance for a successful outcome, yet the 'roll' was still a 1. I did everything right and yet suffered an extremely poor result. I get that there's always that chance. It's just happening far too often.
I played a boardgame against a friend one time. I had a 6:1 attack odds to win the game as long as I didn't 'roll' a 1. Well guess what, I rolled a '1' and lost. Was I a poor player, did I not plan my attack properly? No, I was unlucky. I don't discount luck whenever playing a game that has random outcomes such as this one does. I just ask that I get some good luck now and then when I have the odds in my favour, I don't think that is unreasonable. [:D]
You really need to be in my shoes to understand. These kinds of results can be devastating, especially when applied directly in the context of how this particular PBEM has gone. I honestly can't understand the acceptance of KB's poor strike by other players. I don't see how any person would have been happy with those results considering the circumstances. Is it just me? [&:] And Chickenboy or Pax, don't say it's just me.
Anyway. I am trying to put myself in a position to garner better odds for the next appearance of the Allied Fleet, I just hope that isn't until the Essex arrives!
I'm going back to looking at pictures of Dana. [8D]