ORIGINAL: yvesp
In your picture, the CV in box 1 is pretty much useless : I believe it could be more usefull
in the 0 box.
There is also a CV in the 0 box. The CV in the 1 box is extremely useful. At the end of the turn it will stay at sea, starting the following turn in the 0 box. That way if the Axis have the initiative, the convoys are still defended.
By the way, your move is defensive, and I think you cannot afford it: you must disable the
minor countries fleet as fast as possible. Port striking the Spanish fleet comes on top :
this doubles up with the fact that either Germnay reacts by moving the fleet out of port,
still risking a naval combat, and renouncing a land action, or acccept the risk of the port
attack.
Port striking from where? The CW carrier planes aren't strong enough to do much, and Gibraltar should fall quickly to the Spanish, backed up by the Italian fleet. And the Spanish are in Italian hands, not German, precisely because Italy is more free to take naval actions.
Going into Norway was the historical move (which never happens in standard WiF play as it
would require its own special rule) ; but it is bound to fail: the allies have not enough
land power to dislodge the Norvegians mountains units ; furthermore, you're entering winter...
And of course, Norway is not menacing ; cutting the Baltic is worthless: Germany can
perfectly live without the 4 resources from Sweden/Finland. In addition, with the rules
you've chosen, only one division can invade : if it fails, the whole naval move will serve
no purpose (but you can still land 3 of these units in France! I'm unsure about French coop
with the British once the US are in the war, but I believe it is unchanged.)
A british division invading on a suprise impulse is an auto win. And even if that were not true, the units in the North Sea who are intended for follow up landings in Norway could still land in France following a failed invasion of Norway. Taking out Norway makes it much easier to secure Murmansk convoys - remember the choice isn't between leaving Norway neutral or attacking, Norway is now in the war as a German ally. And there's no need to attack the Norwegians in the mountains. And yes, the CW still needs HQ support to enter France. The US does not.
So, as the allies, I would use all available air naval power to clean up the Atlantic
(including the US Pacific naval forces)
That's a bit tricky since the Panama canal is closed to the US Pacific fleet.
; prepare division level invasions against targets
that have no défenses (at +21) so as to conquer territories that border the Atlantic
(e.g. Netherland Guyana.)
How is Dutch Guyana more strategically important than Norway? I don't understand why you would ignore Norway but take out Dutch Guyana. And the +21 thing applies to Norway too, so no failed invasion.
; I'd leave one convoy in each med area (east/west) to prevent
easy Italian invasions (e.g. Cyprus, but later Egypt)
The convoy doesn't prevent an Italian invasion of Cyprus. Italy invaded Cyprus on the surprise impulse, when it was in supply, and it was still a +21 attack. Once Spain is an active Italian minor, the UK has no hope of maintaining convoys in the Med.
The theme is interesting, but the allies will rout very fast. I would find it more interesting
if you'd keep the allies their natural allies at least, these countries that either have an
ongoing trade agreement (Persia, Venezuela), and these that can be aligned (Brazil, Mexico,
Panama.) Poland should not automatically fall.
In your setup, France should fall within 3 turns, or at least be seriously invaded from all
sides. Russia will follow very fast with a devastating "Barbarossa 40" (but as a matter of
fact, I'd make it a "Barbarossa 39" and just enter Russia after the fall of Poland.) Egypt
should then fall very fast (you should be able to rail two German corps to help the Türks.)
Gibraltar, well, it's a matter of luck how long it stands. With a crippled Commonwealth which
will have a pathetic production (few resources), that leaves only the USA.
It leaves a US with 50 BP's in 39, going up to over 60 in Sep/Oct '40. That's more than the combined Axis total. Even with just convoys running to the US/Canada, the UK gets double digit BP's. Russia also gets an early bump, assuming the Axis moves in to Russia. Taking France out that quickly, in the winter, with US units coming in, isn't as easy as you seem to think. In Sep/Oct, there will be 2 US artillery units. In Nov/Dec, there will be at minimum 1 Inf Corps, and it goes up from there. The US units are stronger than the CW units they are replacing and have much greater freedom of deployment. Germany can't declare Vichy, and my house rule makes it tough to force a French surrender - probably impossible by your timeline. And even if France were to last only 3 turns, you would still have a D-Day size American force in France by early '41. The only thing slowing down an invasion will be Amphibs.
Germany could ignore France and hit Russia in 39, but that gives the US free reign to move into France for a year, and then Germany is toast. To hit France, Germany really needs 2 of their 3 initial HQ's, which greatly limits their options in Russia.
Germany can afford to rail a unit or two to Rumania and Russia is not yet a threat.
Especially if you consider that they'll have to soon deal with Swedish and Finnish units.
Yes, I expect Germany to win the early part of the war, as always.
Turkey can attack Syria and close on Egypt.
Persia is not at risk as it has time to close the mountains.
Yes, Italy should take out Syria, Palestine, Trans Jordan and Egypt without too much trouble. Persia has only 2 small units and Russia will attack in '39 before Italy can rail in reinforcements. They may not take Persia out, but they can also block the mountains and protect the oilfields.
France is not able to contain the threats by the minors : Spain + Swiss + Belgium + Netherland
is hard ; but if you add in Italy and even half the German army, it should be reduced to
little very soon, unless the US sends massive reinforcements, but they don't have them because
at the start of the game they have few units, and these will be needed at least to prevent the
Mexican to enter into the USA and risk them destroying factories/oilfields.
If Mexico enters the US, the US production goes from 50 to 60. I'm not playing with factory construction/destruction. Any Mexican units that do cross the border will be easy to get rid of. That said, the US does need to secure their border and yes, some of their initial units will be tasked to an invasion of Mexico.
The Japanese should consider the immediate invasion of Honolulu which might be undefended
and easily put OoS. I'd consider rebasing half the Japanese fleet to Panama, just to give
the allies something to ponder : but the problem would be keeping it in supply.
Immediate is a bit of a stretch. It would take a minimum of two turns. The moment a Japanese division or marine unit lands in Truk or Kwajalein with a naval unit close enough to carry them to Pearl where they can invade from the 3 box, the US will garrison it. And even if not, good luck keeping an invading force in supply. The US fleet is stronger and will grow faster. The Japanese must devote a chunk of their fleet to protecting their convoys from NEI, and in your scenario must also protect the supply line to Hawaii. And putting their fleet in Panama is just begging for it to be port struck. Not to mention Panama is a German ally and the Japanese can't base their fleet there.
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