ORIGINAL: princep01
Late summer to be a bit more precise, but that's just picking.
An offensive along the Lae-New Britain-New Ireland axis can be expensive and attritional for both sides, I'd think. Sort of a landlubbers approach to things, but attrition favors the Allies, so it might be a wise approach by Wolfpack. It also tends to isolate the Solomons and New Caledonia. Another plus for the Allies. Interesting appoach.
Also interesting is how little the Allies have been able to take back by this date. Even Baker Is. is still under the banner of the Rising Sun. Perhaps some of Wolfpack's previous offensive strikes were a bit premature, resulting in heavy CV losses that are now retarding his ability to mount a renewed seaborne assault.
A game with so many viable strategies for both sides is a game destined to be played over and over.
To date has the IJN lost a CV? I remember Akagi and Hiryu were seriously damaged, but I don't recall a CV actually sunk. I's guess that both are back in service now.
The Japanese have yet to lose an aircraft carrier. There is going to be a lot more information about Kido Butai coming soon in the AAR, so I won't say anything more about that now. Japanese estimates (emphasize estimates) of Allied carrier losses are between 5 and 8 CV's sunk, plus 3 or 4 CVL's and CVE's. It has definitely impeded the Allies' ability to launch amphibious attacks out of range of their land-based air cover to this point. Japanese intelligence is unsure how many carriers the Americans may have launched since the start of the war.







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