ORIGINAL: treespider
So to set the record straight concerning the events surrounding the Japanese attack of May 8, 1942
per Lundstrom's First Team -
There were 69 Japanese aircraft
- 18 Zeros
- 33 Dive Bombers (DB)
- 18 Torpedo Bombers (TP)
Summary of Kills -
p250 - F4F downs 1 TP
p251 - SBD's down 2 TP (SBD's were on Anti Torpedo Patrol and not assigned to CAP but participated as such)
p252 - Yorktown AA downs 2 TP post drop
p253 - SBD downs 1 TP
p253 - Lex AA downs 1 TP
p257 - Lex AA downs 1 DB, damages several others
p257 - F4F downs 1 DB
p258 - F4F downs 1 DB
p260 - Lex AA downs 1 SDB (not counted in below subtotals)
p260 - SBDs downs 2TP, 1 DB
p261 - F4F downs 1 TP, 1 DB
Subtotals so far -
F4F - 2 TP, 3 DB
SBD - 5 TP, 1 DB
AA - 2 TP, 1DB
SubTotal - 9 TP, 5 DB
Strikes now return to Japanese carriers and here the record is open to interpretation.
p277 - Japanese sent Shokaku away thus leaving a single flight deck to land returning strike aircraft.
p277 - Japanese made the consicious decision to ditch 1 Zero, 5 DB and 1 TP because they did not want to tie up Zuikaku Flight Deck with damaged aircraft. (1 additional) Zero diverted to Deb. Isl. Presumably had Shokaku been around they could have recovered these damaged planes.
Now how these aircraft were damaged is open to interpretation - lets attribute 1/2 to AA so 3 DB and 1 TP because CAP did damage some returning bombers.
So additional Subtotals (Damaged then Ditched) -
A2A - 2 Zeros, 2 DB
AA - 3 DB, 1 TP
Subtotal - 2 Zeros, 5 DB, 1 TP
Loss Grand Totals-
2 Zeros, 10 DB, 10 TP
Of these AA "likely" accounted for 4 DB and 3 TP....but definitely accounted for 3 aircraft (and one friendly)
7 aircraft out of 51 Attack planes = 14%
EDIT:
p278 After landing the japanese pushed an additional 3 Zeros, 4 DB and 5 TP that were damaged over the side...so using our above assumption of AA we will add an additional 2 DB and 3 TP to the AA losses.
so 12 out of 51 attack planes = 24% lost to AA of which 3 were definite kills and 9 were damaged & written off...
Well 24% is less than my 30% low, but it’s still far more than the one or two airframes going down to flak that we see in game for carrier airstrikes. That big strike the Japanese launched in one of the AARs saw what, 3 planes downed by flak (can’t remember for sure) and I think the US counter-attack saw no planes go down to flak.
That said, I’d be leery of using just one source to lock in kill numbers. Based on the data you collated from the book, it appears he’s using US pilot claims for the data he gives (found a copy for sale for $100.00, so I took a pass on picking it up for myself, I may get it later if I find a better price) and we all know how pilots regularly claimed 50% -200% or more on air to air kills.
Chances are some of those F4F kills were AAA as the F4Fs were clearly out of position when the Japanese strike arrived. They perhaps took part in shooting down some planes after the strike, but before? I’m not too confident those pilot claims are real air to air kills.
Jim
Edit: You also only account for 22 kills, when most sources state 27 were lost. The ones pushed over the side of the Japanese CVs were not part of that 27.