ORIGINAL: Nikademus
ORIGINAL: Panther Bait
The part about the "they knew there was going to be an attack" theory that I can never fathom is why they would have to act like they didn't know for the ploy to be effective, regardless of where they thought the ball was going to drop.
One explanation would be that they didn't know 'specifically' where/when an attack would take place but that it was likely. Like i said, i don't think Roosevelt knew specifically that PH was going to be attacked, hence I don't buy into the Pearl Harbor betrayed conspiracy theory. I havn't read the book which generates so much angst on Internet boards. I do at least give benefit of the doubt on speculations on matters of Higher policy and the actions and movements of forces that were implemented prior to the suprise attack. Did Roosevelt consider PH as a target when he made the decision to move the Fleet to PH? What was going through his head? etc etc. I know at least one Fleet Admrial IIRC was against the move on strictly military premises.....the Fleet was about as safe and secure as it could be on the West Coast. It is far more likely that an attack, if expected would occur closer to Japan given there 'was' a serious underestimation of the [potential] enemy's military power. I do wonder sometimes. In the end though it may have just come down to mistakes and errors of judgement as Chez alluded too.
Nik, one thing that hasn't been discussed on this thread so far, but which might lend support to your point and points others are making, is the situation with Halsey and the Enterprise. Supposedly the Enterprise and Lexington were sent from Pearl Harbor to deliver planes to Wake and Midway, with the Enterprise supposedly scheduled to return to Pearl on Dec 6. Weather delayed the Enterprise so that it was in the waters off Pearl in time to get involved in the air battle on Dec 7. However, upon leaving Pearl, and before the actual attack, Halsey issued "Battle Order No. 1". He told his team that they were to be on a war footing. I don't have ready access to the full quote attributed to him, but supposedly he said they might encounter Japanese naval vessels and were to assume that they were unfriendly and so his plan was to shoot first and ask questions later. Halsey, for whatever reason, had an awareness of the possibility of a hostile encounter and apparently felt he was justified in engaging in combat without further orders from above. The fact that he was due back on Dec 6th might indicate that nobody knew for certain Pearl would be attacked on Dec 7th, but his order to his team would seem to indicate that higher authorities authorized him to engage Japanese forces who if encountered would be there for the purposes of making an attack. Do we have reason to believe that Halsey didn't instruct his team this way? If he did, do we have reason to believe he was acting completely on his own initiative? Was he a rogue? Is it perhaps the case that the Enterprise and/or Lexington were to be the pickets that made first contact with a potential attacking force? Prange, in At Dawn We Slept refers to Halsey's instructions to the Enterprise, but I don't think Prange adequately discusses it (cf. p. 420). Any thoughts on this?