ORIGINAL: bklooste
ORIGINAL: Mynok
I'm also all for keeping in mind the law of unintended consequences. Certainly I'm of the opinion that well-established CD systems should be death on invasion fleets.
I think its worth revising how effective we think it should be invasions against heavy guns are few and far between .
The Dieppe raid and Dday faced heavy guns , these guns were not that effective versuses the landings as has been mentioned most large guns had AP shells. In most cases the landings got to the beaches where the really problems happened.
Tarawa landings are interesting since the bombardment created casualties equal to half the island yet did not supress most guns. While the 8" gun fired on ships the 37mm infantry guns , mortars and Machine guns/ 20 mm cannons did most of the damage.
In the 2nd Wake landings the damaged ships just beached themselves and unloaded the cargo.
So the effect on landings would not really kill that many though disruption effects were huge ( ie similar to Tarawa where the reef naturally created it and forced a lot of wading) . ie i cant see even the heaviest CD fire kill more than 10% of a large landing. Though i can see a disorganised , demoralized mess on the beach.
One thing we probably fail to measure is landing against any sort of fortifications without armour /air support is an issue as the pill boxes are hard to take out.
Another thing is all opposed landings should do automatic shock attacks. That way heavy disruption results in massive casualties by the defenders and locations poorly defended but with CD guns are easily overrun.
The problem is that you aren't talking about established Coast Defense Systems. Yes, there was artillery on the coast in Normandy..., but it was emplaced simply to drop shells along the beach. True Coast Defense Artillery is tied into a sophisticated naval-style Fire Control System.
Most Pacific islands had some guns mounted to use direct fire under local control against naval targets..., but when you are talking about Oahu or Singapore or the Tsushima Straits the Fire Control systems could bring down accurate directed fire on moving targets the guns themselves could not see.
The basic difference is between guns that could fire on Higgins Boats and Diahatsus along the beach---and guns that could sink the transports before they could put those boats in the water.





