May 16, 1942
The Japanese should strike Russia in the next day or two. Let me share my current defense plan;
30-some Japanese units are poised to cross the river at or near Khaborvsk. I have about 1500 AV in a level 5 fort at this city but it’s a clear hex so I don’t anticipate I’ll hold for long. It is also clear that the Japanese intend to sail up the river and land at Komsomolsk within the first few turns of the Soviet-japanese war.
I have no reports from sigint of any other movement towards or planning to attack any other Russian bases. Therefore, I intend to try to isolate the invasion to the Khaborvsk-Komsomolsk area.
Strong elements of 1st Red Banner Army will move from the Vladivostok area to take up a blocking position in the woods around Bikin. Meanwhile 36th army will move to Birobodizhan from Chita to form the northern blocking force. Both of these forces are already camped out at the railway stations waiting for the order to move (all units are already in Strategic mode). 17th army is currently at Ondorhaan and will have to march over bad roads to reach the nearest railway station. Once they arrive at the front, I will see about going on the offensive.
Even with such large forces moving to stop the Japanese, I will still have plenty of troops to hold off small to moderate Japanese attacks all along the border. I may even conduct some modest raids of my own. Especially in the north.
I will have to wait and see how things develop before I decide for sure what to do with the large soviet airforce. The problem is that fighter replacements are limited to 16 MIGs per month until late 1943. I will likely defend several strongpoints (like Vladivostok) and setup CAP traps to try to attrit the Japanese airforce. This strategy has worked well for me all game and even with amped up production, the Japanese can’t handle taking heavy losses to their bombers for very long. My fighters are currently on 70% CAP. I will be curious to see if they will fly on the first turn the Soviets are active.
A Japanese move against the Russians means that he will be unable to mount any significant attacks vs. Australia, Ceylon, India, or the American pacific islands. The Americans will move up their timetable for moving large forces to Australia. I anticipate beginning my counteroffensive in late 42-early 43. That’s nearly 6 months earlier than I originally planned. However, it all depends on where the KB goes and what happens to it….
