June 21-25, 1942.
The Japanese are grinding down Birobidzhan. Meanwhile, the Russians are grinding down the Japanese blocking the rail line. The race is on! the Japanese can probably only hold out another couple turns. How long Birobidzhan can hold out without assistance is uncertain.
Actually, I made a huge error. If I had made every effort to reinforce the blocking units as soon as I saw what the Russians were doing, I would have been almost guaranteed to take Birobidzhan. Now, he will probably be able to reinforce it. Once that happens, Japanese efforts will refocus on containing and reducing the Vladivostock pocket. I don't forsee any problems doing that, but it could take a while.
The heavy industry in Vladivostock is getting pounded every day, and is now down to the 10 or so. Once gone, his supply production in the pocket should be down to 60 or so per day - there is no way that can sustain the troops for long.
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Here's the Japanese assault:
Ground combat at Birobidzhan (117,39)
Japanese Deliberate attack
Attacking force 150134 troops, 1768 guns, 1120 vehicles, Assault Value = 4700
Defending force 39205 troops, 1249 guns, 1082 vehicles, Assault Value = 1138
Japanese engineers reduce fortifications to 3
Japanese adjusted assault: 2480
Allied adjusted defense: 4669
Japanese assault odds: 1 to 2 (fort level 3)
Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+), forts(+), leaders(+), experience(-)
Attacker:
Japanese ground losses:
3321 casualties reported
Squads: 50 destroyed, 308 disabled
Non Combat: 165 destroyed, 316 disabled
Engineers: 33 destroyed, 55 disabled
Guns lost 3 (0 destroyed, 3 disabled)
Vehicles lost 139 (102 destroyed, 37 disabled)
Allied ground losses:
2095 casualties reported
Squads: 9 destroyed, 159 disabled
Non Combat: 12 destroyed, 389 disabled
Engineers: 1 destroyed, 27 disabled
Guns lost 30 (4 destroyed, 26 disabled)
Vehicles lost 127 (9 destroyed, 118 disabled)
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And here's the Russian assault:
Ground combat at 116,38
Allied Deliberate attack
Attacking force 53310 troops, 1062 guns, 1371 vehicles, Assault Value = 2226
Defending force 28480 troops, 244 guns, 42 vehicles, Assault Value = 911
Allied adjusted assault: 787
Japanese adjusted defense: 1417
Allied assault odds: 1 to 2
Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+), experience(-)
Attacker:
Japanese ground losses:
1149 casualties reported
Squads: 11 destroyed, 128 disabled
Non Combat: 9 destroyed, 141 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 13 disabled
Vehicles lost 6 (0 destroyed, 6 disabled)
Allied ground losses:
1766 casualties reported
Squads: 10 destroyed, 90 disabled
Non Combat: 10 destroyed, 216 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 8 disabled
Guns lost 12 (1 destroyed, 11 disabled)
Vehicles lost 52 (4 destroyed, 48 disabled)
