10/16-10/17/44
STRATEGIC BOMBING OF JAPAN
The Allied strategic bombing campaign seems to be imploding now.....a combination of bad weather, very good Japanese interceptors and heavily damaged cities that dont readily suffer from fire bombing any longer.
Bad weather on 10/16 over Osaka grounds all the Allied 4Es and then on 10/17 everything goes FUBAR:
We have thunderstorms again over Osaka and the strategic bombers go in before the fighter sweeps:
AFTER ACTION REPORTS FOR Oct 17, 44
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Morning Air attack on Osaka/Kyoto , at 109,59
Weather in hex: Thunderstorms
Raid detected at 120 NM, estimated altitude 12,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 41 minutes
Japanese aircraft
A6M5b Zero x 13
A6M5c Zero x 7
J2M3 Jack x 17
Ki-43-IIIa Oscar x 4
Ki-84a Frank x 16
Allied aircraft
Liberator II x 3
Liberator GR.III x 16
Liberator GR.VI x 23
B-24D1 Liberator x 40
B-24J Liberator x 161
P-38L Lightning x 20
P-47D25 Thunderbolt x 43
PB4Y-1 Liberator x 23
Japanese aircraft losses
A6M5b Zero: 3 destroyed
A6M5c Zero: 1 destroyed
Ki-84a Frank: 1 destroyed
Allied aircraft losses
Liberator GR.VI: 1 damaged
B-24J Liberator: 1 damaged
P-38L Lightning: 1 destroyed
P-47D25 Thunderbolt: 11 destroyed
PB4Y-1 Liberator: 1 damaged
Light Industry hits 5
Heavy Industry hits 12
Aircraft Attacking:
11 x PB4Y-1 Liberator bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 10 x 500 lb GP Bomb
12 x PB4Y-1 Liberator bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 10 x 500 lb GP Bomb
11 x B-24J Liberator bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 10 x 500 lb GP Bomb
9 x Liberator GR.III bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 8 x 250 lb GP Bomb
9 x Liberator GR.VI bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 8 x 250 lb GP Bomb
7 x Liberator GR.VI bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 8 x 250 lb GP Bomb
7 x Liberator GR.VI bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 8 x 250 lb GP Bomb
7 x Liberator GR.III bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 8 x 250 lb GP Bomb
9 x B-24J Liberator bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 10 x 500 lb GP Bomb
6 x B-24J Liberator bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 10 x 500 lb GP Bomb
10 x B-24J Liberator bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 10 x 500 lb GP Bomb
12 x B-24D1 Liberator bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 10 x 500 lb GP Bomb
12 x B-24J Liberator bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 10 x 500 lb GP Bomb
11 x B-24J Liberator bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 10 x 500 lb GP Bomb
11 x B-24J Liberator bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 10 x 500 lb GP Bomb
11 x B-24J Liberator bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 10 x 500 lb GP Bomb
8 x B-24J Liberator bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 10 x 500 lb GP Bomb
9 x B-24J Liberator bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 10 x 500 lb GP Bomb
10 x B-24D1 Liberator bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 10 x 500 lb GP Bomb
8 x B-24J Liberator bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 10 x 500 lb GP Bomb
8 x B-24J Liberator bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 10 x 500 lb GP Bomb
8 x B-24D1 Liberator bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 10 x 500 lb GP Bomb
10 x B-24J Liberator bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 10 x 500 lb GP Bomb
9 x B-24J Liberator bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 10 x 500 lb GP Bomb
10 x B-24D1 Liberator bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 10 x 500 lb GP Bomb
9 x B-24J Liberator bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 10 x 500 lb GP Bomb
10 x B-24J Liberator bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 10 x 500 lb GP Bomb
9 x B-24J Liberator bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 10 x 500 lb GP Bomb
3 x Liberator II bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 8 x 500 lb GP Bomb
CAP engaged:
332 Ku S-1 with J2M3 Jack (3 airborne, 0 on standby, 0 scrambling)
(7 plane(s) diverted to support CAP in hex.)
3 plane(s) intercepting now.
0 plane(s) not yet engaged, 4 being recalled, 0 out of immediate contact.
Group patrol altitude is 20000
Time for all group planes to reach interception is 10 minutes
332 Ku S-1 Det with A6M5c Zero (0 airborne, 0 on standby, 0 scrambling)
(7 plane(s) diverted to support CAP in hex.)
0 plane(s) not yet engaged, 5 being recalled, 2 out of immediate contact.
Group patrol altitude is 38500
Time for all group planes to reach interception is 30 minutes
2 planes vectored on to bombers
352 Ku S-1 with A6M5b Zero (2 airborne, 0 on standby, 0 scrambling)
(14 plane(s) diverted to support CAP in hex.)
2 plane(s) intercepting now.
0 plane(s) not yet engaged, 8 being recalled, 3 out of immediate contact.
Group patrol altitude is 21000
Time for all group planes to reach interception is 43 minutes
13th Sentai with Ki-43-IIIa Oscar (2 airborne, 0 on standby, 0 scrambling)
(4 plane(s) diverted to support CAP in hex.)
2 plane(s) intercepting now.
0 plane(s) not yet engaged, 0 being recalled, 2 out of immediate contact.
Group patrol altitude is 20000
Time for all group planes to reach interception is 39 minutes
22nd Sentai with Ki-84a Frank (0 airborne, 0 on standby, 0 scrambling)
(6 plane(s) diverted to support CAP in hex.)
0 plane(s) not yet engaged, 3 being recalled, 3 out of immediate contact.
Group patrol altitude is 34440
Time for all group planes to reach interception is 42 minutes
381 Ku S-1/B with J2M3 Jack (0 airborne, 2 on standby, 3 scrambling)
0 plane(s) not yet engaged, 0 being recalled, 1 out of immediate contact.
Group patrol altitude is 37450 , scrambling fighters between 5000 and 13000.
Time for all group planes to reach interception is 35 minutes
1 planes vectored on to bombers
381 Ku S-1/C with J2M3 Jack (0 airborne, 0 on standby, 2 scrambling)
0 plane(s) not yet engaged, 2 being recalled, 0 out of immediate contact.
Group patrol altitude is 37450 , scrambling fighters to 14000.
Time for all group planes to reach interception is 17 minutes
52nd Sentai with Ki-84a Frank (3 airborne, 7 on standby, 0 scrambling)
3 plane(s) intercepting now.
Group patrol altitude is 19000 , scrambling fighters between 9000 and 19000.
Time for all group planes to reach interception is 21 minutes
Morning Air attack on Osaka/Kyoto , at 109,59
Weather in hex: Thunderstorms
Raid detected at 80 NM, estimated altitude 13,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 29 minutes
Japanese aircraft
A6M5b Zero x 7
A6M5c Zero x 5
J2M3 Jack x 11
Ki-43-IIIa Oscar x 5
Ki-84a Frank x 15
Allied aircraft
Liberator II x 6
P-38L Lightning x 16
P-47D25 Thunderbolt x 2
No Japanese losses
Allied aircraft losses
Liberator II: 2 destroyed, 3 damaged
P-38L Lightning: 2 destroyed
P-47D25 Thunderbolt: 1 destroyed
Aircraft Attacking:
4 x Liberator II bombing from 10000 feet
City Attack: 8 x 500 lb GP Bomb
CAP engaged:
22nd Sentai with Ki-84a Frank (2 airborne, 0 on standby, 0 scrambling)
(5 plane(s) diverted to support CAP in hex.)
2 plane(s) intercepting now.
2 plane(s) not yet engaged, 3 being recalled, 0 out of immediate contact.
Group patrol altitude is 34440 , scrambling fighters between 8000 and 34440.
Time for all group planes to reach interception is 28 minutes
6 planes vectored on to bombers
13th Sentai with Ki-43-IIIa Oscar (0 airborne, 0 on standby, 0 scrambling)
(3 plane(s) diverted to support CAP in hex.)
2 plane(s) not yet engaged, 0 being recalled, 3 out of immediate contact.
Group patrol altitude is 20000 , scrambling fighters between 13000 and 20000.
Time for all group planes to reach interception is 43 minutes
5 planes vectored on to bombers
381 Ku S-1/B with J2M3 Jack (0 airborne, 0 on standby, 0 scrambling)
3 plane(s) not yet engaged, 0 being recalled, 0 out of immediate contact.
Group patrol altitude is 37450 , scrambling fighters between 10000 and 14000.
Time for all group planes to reach interception is 46 minutes
2 planes vectored on to bombers
381 Ku S-1/C with J2M3 Jack (0 airborne, 0 on standby, 0 scrambling)
3 plane(s) not yet engaged, 0 being recalled, 0 out of immediate contact.
Group patrol altitude is 37450 , scrambling fighters between 14000 and 16000.
Time for all group planes to reach interception is 19 minutes
332 Ku S-1 with J2M3 Jack (0 airborne, 0 on standby, 0 scrambling)
5 plane(s) not yet engaged, 0 being recalled, 0 out of immediate contact.
Group patrol altitude is 20000 , scrambling fighters between 14000 and 17000.
Time for all group planes to reach interception is 30 minutes
5 planes vectored on to bombers
332 Ku S-1 Det with A6M5c Zero (0 airborne, 0 on standby, 0 scrambling)
5 plane(s) not yet engaged, 0 being recalled, 0 out of immediate contact.
Group patrol altitude is 38500 , scrambling fighters between 6000 and 17000.
Time for all group planes to reach interception is 34 minutes
3 planes vectored on to bombers
52nd Sentai with Ki-84a Frank (0 airborne, 0 on standby, 0 scrambling)
7 plane(s) not yet engaged, 0 being recalled, 1 out of immediate contact.
Group patrol altitude is 19000 , scrambling fighters between 7000 and 18000.
Time for all group planes to reach interception is 32 minutes
3 planes vectored on to bombers
352 Ku S-1 with A6M5b Zero (0 airborne, 0 on standby, 0 scrambling)
6 plane(s) not yet engaged, 1 being recalled, 0 out of immediate contact.
Group patrol altitude is 21000 , scrambling fighters between 2000 and 16000.
Time for all group planes to reach interception is 33 minutes
7 planes vectored on to bombers
Then the fighter sweeps go in a day late and a dollar short:
Morning Air attack on Osaka/Kyoto , at 109,59
Weather in hex: Thunderstorms
Raid detected at 160 NM, estimated altitude 38,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 47 minutes
Japanese aircraft
A6M5b Zero x 4
A6M5c Zero x 1
J2M3 Jack x 9
Ki-43-IIIa Oscar x 3
Ki-84a Frank x 7
Allied aircraft
P-38L Lightning x 12
P-47D25 Thunderbolt x 33
Japanese aircraft losses
A6M5b Zero: 1 destroyed
J2M3 Jack: 3 destroyed
Ki-43-IIIa Oscar: 1 destroyed
Ki-84a Frank: 2 destroyed
Allied aircraft losses
P-38L Lightning: 1 destroyed
Aircraft Attacking:
14 x P-47D25 Thunderbolt sweeping at 37000 feet
7 x P-47D25 Thunderbolt sweeping at 37000 feet
9 x P-47D25 Thunderbolt sweeping at 37000 feet
CAP engaged:
381 Ku S-1/C with J2M3 Jack (0 airborne, 0 on standby, 0 scrambling)
2 plane(s) not yet engaged, 1 being recalled, 0 out of immediate contact.
Group patrol altitude is 37450 , scrambling fighters to 10000.
Time for all group planes to reach interception is 19 minutes
332 Ku S-1 with J2M3 Jack (0 airborne, 0 on standby, 0 scrambling)
1 plane(s) not yet engaged, 3 being recalled, 0 out of immediate contact.
Group patrol altitude is 20000 , scrambling fighters to 10000.
Time for all group planes to reach interception is 13 minutes
13th Sentai with Ki-43-IIIa Oscar (1 airborne, 0 on standby, 0 scrambling)
1 plane(s) intercepting now.
1 plane(s) not yet engaged, 1 being recalled, 0 out of immediate contact.
Group patrol altitude is 20000 , scrambling fighters to 10000.
Time for all group planes to reach interception is 40 minutes
22nd Sentai with Ki-84a Frank (2 airborne, 0 on standby, 0 scrambling)
2 plane(s) intercepting now.
2 plane(s) not yet engaged, 1 being recalled, 0 out of immediate contact.
Group patrol altitude is 34440 , scrambling fighters between 5000 and 10000.
Time for all group planes to reach interception is 10 minutes
381 Ku S-1/B with J2M3 Jack (0 airborne, 0 on standby, 0 scrambling)
0 plane(s) not yet engaged, 2 being recalled, 0 out of immediate contact.
Group patrol altitude is 37450
Time for all group planes to reach interception is 13 minutes
332 Ku S-1 Det with A6M5c Zero (0 airborne, 0 on standby, 0 scrambling)
1 plane(s) not yet engaged, 0 being recalled, 0 out of immediate contact.
Group patrol altitude is 38500 , scrambling fighters to 10000.
Time for all group planes to reach interception is 13 minutes
352 Ku S-1 with A6M5b Zero (1 airborne, 0 on standby, 0 scrambling)
1 plane(s) intercepting now.
2 plane(s) not yet engaged, 1 being recalled, 0 out of immediate contact.
Group patrol altitude is 21000 , scrambling fighters to 10000.
Time for all group planes to reach interception is 16 minutes
52nd Sentai with Ki-84a Frank (0 airborne, 0 on standby, 0 scrambling)
1 plane(s) not yet engaged, 0 being recalled, 1 out of immediate contact.
Group patrol altitude is 19000 , scrambling fighters to 10000.
Time for all group planes to reach interception is 49 minutes
The "invinceable" P-47D25s are merely ordinary when escorting at 15,000' and get decimated. The Allies lose 31 AC in A2A combat this turn vs 24 Japanese AC. Even worse.....the Japanese CAP severely disrupts the Allied bomber formations and a mere 30 strategic bombing points are scored.
Its very difficult to strategic bomb central Japan.....its all about defeating Jap CAP to get the bombers thru. The carriers can only remain on station and conduct fighter ops for about a week or so and the land based fighters at Tanegashima are flying at max range with fuel tanks and have trouble suppressing the amazingly robust Japanese late war fighters.
We need a new solution.
Admiral Hill begins to load his amphib transports at Babeldaob for an assault on Miyake-jima....we can build a level 5 AF on this small island and base another 300 fighters for short range air superiority ops over central Japan.
Meanwhile...the CVEs depart Tanegashima and the fast carriers shove off from Okinawa to again assemble off the coast of central Japan. As usual....the weather forecast is poor over almost every major city save Nagoya....all of the B-24s/Liberators and the B-29s from Tinian are ordered to precision bomb LI and HI at Nagoya next turn. The CVEs will hit shipping in port at Nagoya and try to clear out Jap CAP over the city.
